SMH处于平行通道中；向上突破下降趋势线将确认看涨情绪，并允许半导体板块继续上涨。
逐段跳播
这条视频里关于 $SMH 说的每一段，按说话顺序排列。点任意一行，上面的视频跳到那一刻。
我要提醒大家，我一直在强调这张图上的移动平均线，这样做是有原因的。大家可以看到屏幕上蓝色的 50 日移动平均线。我们曾有一天收于该均线之上，随后便出现了技术性抛售。这次抛售已将价格推回至自“解放日”低点以来一直限制价格运行的平行通道内。
Most importantly, I'm gauging bullish sentiment with this chart right here, the SMH, guys. And the SMH, as you see here, finished basically flat on the day, down .01%. Now, after hours, slipping just ever so slightly in anticipation of these Nvidia earnings. And I'll remind you guys, I've been highlighting these moving averages on this chart, and I've been doing so for a reason. You see this 50-daily moving average in blue that comes in through the screen. We had one day above it, and then a technical sell-off from that point. The sell-off has pushed price back into the parallel channel that price has been contained since the liberation day lows.
因此，我们现在又回到了那个轨迹之中。回顾一下，这个轨迹始于此处。在触及底部并向上突破之前，我们在该区间内保持了很长时间的窄幅震荡。现在，我们正从顶部向下逼近这一区域。
So, we've now dropped back into that trajectory. This trajectory, to remind you, began back here. We were very tight within that range for an awful long time before we dipped to the bottom and broke to the upside. Now, we're knocking on the door from the top coming down.
这意味着，如果英伟达的财报表现不佳，下一个支撑位将是平行通道 50% 的位置，即 528.46。但各位，这正是此次英伟达财报对市场意义重大的原因：如果我们确实看到积极的上行动力，价格有可能重新突破这条上升平行通道；而更重要的是，就短期方向而言，需要突破这条下降趋势线。
So, that tells us any bad earnings on Nvidia, next support this 50% area of the parallel channel at 528.46. But guys, this is what makes this Nvidia report so much more significant for the markets if we actually have a positive push, we could potentially break back out of this inclining parallel, but then most importantly for near-term direction, break above this declining trend line.
大家注意到，我们离这条线并没有太远。事实上，过去两天价格一直在靠近它，呈横盘走势。这就是我关注的短期看涨情绪指标。如果价格能运行在这条下降趋势线上方，我就可以说半导体板块还有上涨空间，这也意味着其他市场同样会有上涨空间。
You notice we haven't gotten that far away from it. Matter of fact, last 2 days just getting closer, moving sideways. So, that's what I'm watching for near-term bullish sentiment. We get price action above this declining trend line, I could say then the semis have some room to run and that would also imply the rest of the markets will have some room to run, too.
他说在等什么
他自己说在等的东西，一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次，我们不合并，也不判断它有没有兑现。
这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。