SMH引领风险偏好情绪；除非日收盘价高于50日均线确认，否则当前突破可能面临拒绝。
逐段跳播
接下来是SMH。现在，这真的是关键所在，伙计们，我告诉你们这个已经很长时间了。SMH，也就是半导体，它们引领潮流。它们展示了在增长领域，尤其是在这个AI数据中心建设背景下，这些半导体有多少风险偏好。
Next up into the SMH. Now, this is really where the story is, guys, and I've told you guys this for a long time. The SMH, the semis, they lead the way. They illustrate how much risk-on appetite there is in the growth sector with these semiconductors, especially with this AI data center build-out.
所以，让我们进入这张图，真正分解一下，好吗？所以，我们在这里看到的是，对于任何新观众来说，我们有什么，好吗？我们有从2025年4月低点隔离出来的低点，你可以看到我们有一个上升的平行通道，它包含了大部分价格走势，直到我们在3月偏离，然后直接突破了它的上端。
你可以看到在过去的几次下跌中，我们不断回到这个平行通道内。现在，过去3天让我们直接穿过了平行的顶部。周五，我们暂停，在触及顶部时抛售。现在，今天，我们高开突破它，为上方运行留出更多空间，与8月17日这里发生的情况非常相似。
So, let's Let's into this chart and really break it down, all right? So, we see here what we've got going on for any of the new viewers, all right? We've got the low uh isolated down here from the April 2025 lows, and you can see we have an inclining parallel channel that encapsulated most all of that price action until we deviated here in March and then ripped right through the top end of it. And you can see over the last few dips, we keep coming back down into this parallel channel. Now, the last 3 days have taken us straight through the top of the parallel. On Friday, we paused, sold off at the once we reached the top. Now, today, we gapped up over it, allowing more space overhead to run, very similar to what occurred here back on August 17th.
注意当我打开日线移动平均线时会发生什么，我们也有一个非常相似的情况。价格高开突破这条蓝色的日线50移动平均线，就像之前那样。但是，第二天抛售回落到这条下降趋势线下方，没有确保和确认突破。
所以，我们处于一个非常相似的情景，正如我所说。一根K线收在这个上升平行通道上方。我们明天会跟进吗？嗯，历史告诉我们我们可能不会，并且可能会看到这次突破被拒绝。但这是我正在非常密切关注的事情。
And notice what happens when I flip on the daily moving averages, we also have a very similar situation. Price gapped up over this daily 50 moving average in blue, much like what it did back here. But, the following day sold off back under this declining trendline, uh not securing and confirming a breakout. So, we're in a very, as I said, similar scenario here. One candle closing up above this inclining parallel channel. Will we follow that up tomorrow? Well, history shows us we likely will not and likely see a rejection from this breakout. But, that's something I'm monitoring very closely.
自从这次下跌以来，我一直在说，如果我们开始日线收盘高于SMH的50移动平均线，市场可能会进入更近期的看涨情绪，特别是对SMH而言。你可以在这里看到我们基本上收在了那条50移动平均线上。
明天，我们会延伸超过今天的K线吗？我们拭目以待。那将更倾向于看涨活动，延续到下周，也就是FOMC会议。
I've been talking ever since this decline that the markets will likely get into more near-term bullish uh sentiment if and when we start putting in daily closes above this 50 moving average on the SMH specifically. You can see here we closed basically right at that 50 moving average. Tomorrow, do we extend up above today's candle? We'll have to see. That then would lead more towards bullish activity leading through next week, which is the FOMC.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 6 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。