SMH 表现出相对强势，但需要在关键水平上方获得技术确认，才能维持向 600 美元以上的涨势。
逐段跳播
SMH 表现非常出色，相比纳指和标普上涨约 2%。还没有完全回补周三留下的缺口，但上涨 2% 对半导体行业来说已经相当不错了。
Right on the SMH, SMH comp uh performing extremely well compared to the Q's and the S&P up around 2%, guys. Not quite filled that gap from Wednesday, right? But a 2% move up uh is not too shabby for uh the semiconductor industry, right?
说到下行趋势线，我们有一条非常非常关键的下行趋势线，今天刚刚突破。可以看到我们在这里、这里、这里都测试过它，然后突破了。实际上是开盘就在它上方，随后回落，跌破，再次回测，现在有望再次突破。
And speaking of downs sloping trend lines, we have this really, really key downstoping trend line that we just broke above today. You can see we've tested it here, here, here, broke above it, right? Actually opened up above it, came back down, right? Went below, retested it, and now are looking to potentially break above it.
我们希望看到确认，基本上就是站上这条下行趋势线并突破 580，那么 SMH 有可能向 600、610、625 美元区域走高。
We want to see confirmation above basically above this down sloping trend line and above 580 and potentially right we can see a move higher closer to that $600 610 625 region on the SMH
我这么说已经有一段时间了，标普和纳指之所以出现脱钩，部分原因是半导体行业不像以前那么火热了，这一点在图表上可以明显看到。纳指距历史高点 4%，标普就在那里，而 SMH 下跌约 15%。
and I've said this for a while right part of the reason the S&P and the Q's kind of decoupled is the semiconductor industry isn't as hot as it once was right you can you can definitely see that in the charts right the Q's 4% from all-time highs. The uh S&P right there and the SMH down about 15%.
15%，对于这个曾被认为是股市中最重要的行业或板块来说。所以，接下来有意思的是看 SMH 能否守住这个水平、收在其上方，并继续向 600 左右水平推高，尤其是在 8 月 17 日这个高点枢轴位附近。
15% for you know what was definitely thought of to be the most you know uh important industry or sector rather in the stock market. Right? So, it's going to be interesting to see if the SMH can hold this level, close above, and continue to push higher closer to the 600ish level, especially at this high pivot here from the 17th of August.
对我来说，这是成败关键区域。如果能突破那里，我真的认为它可以大幅走高，但这将是 SMH 的一次重大考验。
This for me is the make or break it um area. If we can get above there, you know, I'm I really think it can go significantly higher, but that's going to be a huge test for the SMH.
这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 8 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。