三星的抛售是由对其股东回报计划的失望所驱动,该计划低于预期且偏重股息,可能表明管理层认为股价昂贵;盈利不及预期幅度较小,不足以证明下跌的合理性。
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三星在韩国市场的跌幅一度达到那么大。
Samsung was down as much as it was in the Korean market.
三星公布了他们所谓的股东回报计划。他们在周五收盘后公布了这一计划,该计划承诺返还约90到111万亿韩元,但这还不够市场满意。市场预期的是更大的回购和回报计划。所以看看这个,三星下跌了8.7%。
Samsung announced their quote unquote shareholder rep return plan. They announced it Friday after the market closed and it was a program that is promising like 90 to 111 trillion of of you know Korean dollars going back and that just wasn't enough for the market. The market was expecting a bigger buyback and bigger return plan than than they had in mind. So look at this. Samsung down 8.7%.
这相当多了。这是单日的大幅波动。现在,显然,内存股一直表现很好。所以,你知道,我们还没有回到6月和7月那种满杠杆、全保证金、全债务的水平。但是,你知道,该股过去一年仍然上涨了259%,这真是棒极了。
That's quite a lot. That's a That's a big move in a day. Now, obviously, memory stocks have been doing very well. Uh so, you know, we're not back at the LEO pole, LEO fold, full margin, all-in debt levels of uh June and July. But, you know, the stock's still up 259% over the last year, which is freaking awesome.
所以今天很多人会关注内存板块,看看我们这边的定价最终会怎样。我确实认为,嗯,我们今天会做不少内存研究,但我认为很多人必须记住,市场往往是由预期驱动的,那么三星的情况是怎样的呢?
So a lot of people are going to be looking at the memory sector today to see what ends up happening uh with uh with our pricing over here. I uh I do think there are well I mean we'll go through a good bit of memory research here uh today but I think a lot of folks h have to remember that the market is often driven by expectations and so what what did we have with Samsung?
那么,三星发生了什么?三星的每股收益也低于预期。他们的营收差了大约0.25个百分点。所以实际上非常微小。他们的每股收益差了1.77%。所以稍微多一点。这真的能证明9%的抛售是合理的吗?不能。但他们还公布了股东回报计划。
So, what happened with Samsung? So Samsung also missed on earnings per share. They missed on revenue by about a quarter of a percent. So very nominal actually there. They missed on earnings per share by 1.77%. So a little bit more. Does that really justify a 9% sell-off? No. But they also had their shareholder plan that they revealed.
所以有预期认为三星将返还高达200万亿韩元。结果他们只返还了100万亿韩元。他们恰好落在了最低可能区间,一分不差。
So there were expectations that Samsung would return as much as 200 trillion one. So they came in at a 100red trillion. They came in at literally to the dime the lowest possible end.
至少140万亿是常规预期。是的。而他们公布的回报实际上更接近90到110万亿,如果包括一些股息的话。也许更接近104到110万亿。
At least 140 was a regular expectation. Yeah. And and the returns they announced were really closer to 90 to 110 if you include some dividends. Maybe maybe closer to 104 to 110.
巴克莱曾上调其回购预期。摩根大通表示,以股息为主的结构是失望的关键,投资者希望更大规模、更直接的回购。哦,这真的很有趣。
Barclays had increased its buyback expectations JP Morgan div okay dividend heavy structure was key to the disappointment investors wanted a larger more immediate buyback oh that's really interesting
目前尚不清楚三星管理层为何选择股息而非回购,因为我们认为许多投资者更倾向于回购,认为这是更有效的选择。对吧?嗯,因为他们希望看到股价被推高。但老实说,这可能有点信号意义,表明三星认为股价太贵了,对吧?这是可能的,因为如果你在回购自己的股票。哦,我打赌这正是原因。让我们逻辑地想一想。假设你经营一家冰淇淋公司,你的股票交易价格是1000美元,你看着财务报表想,1000美元,这对这只股票来说不错。我了解账目。这只票在行情好的时候也就值500美元。然后它交易在1000美元。人们说:“嘿,你应该回购。”你说:“是的,我们会返还一些股东资本,但让我们先派些股息。”为什么?因为如果它跌回500美元,如果你回购了股票,那你就亏了,对吧?
it remains unclear why Samsung management team chose a dividend over a buyback as we believe many investors prefer the buyback as a more effective option right well because they want to see the stock get pumped up but honestly it might be a little bit of a signal that Samsung thinks the stock is too expensive right that's possible because if you're if you're buying back your own stock. Oh, I bet you that's exactly what it is. Just think about this logically for a moment. Okay, let's say you run, you know, an ice cream stock and your stock's trading for a,000 bucks and you're looking at the financials going, thousand bucks, that's nice for this stock. I know the books. This puppy's worth like 500 bucks on a good day. uh you know and then and then it's trading for a thousand bucks. People are like, "Hey, you should do buybacks." It's like, "Yeah, we'll return some shareholder capital, but uh let's just do some dividends." Why? Because if it goes back to $500, if you bought the share back, now you've got an L, right?
现金股息优先于股票注销。这是来自NH投资的一位人士的引用。
Cash dividends were p prioritized over share cancellation. This is a quote coming from uh who is this? NH Investment
三星的抛售真是让所有人都很恼火。该死。
That Samsung selloff is really pissing everybody off. Damn.
三星股价下跌了8.9%或8.7%。
Samsung stocks down 8.9 or 8.7%.
他说在等什么
他自己说在等的东西,一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次,我们不合并,也不判断它有没有兑现。
这个频道对 $SMSN 的历次判断
Meet Kevin 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。