$SOFI

看多 SOFI,理由是其估值偏低(PEG 0.7),且在全国性银行牌照推动下具备强劲基本面,支撑高增长与盈利能力。

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《I Can't Stay Quiet on SoFi Stock Any Longer》
Ale's World of Stocks发布 2026-09-26 · 34 段内容
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34 段内容
0:0413:11

各位,我最看好的金融科技股刚刚与Mastercard启动了一项重大合作。鉴于该股当前价格大幅下跌,我认为现在正是好时机,不仅可以分享我对这件事的看法,还可以列出我最乐观的五个理由,说明我为什么会在整个2026年选择买入SoFi股票。

And guys, my favorite fintech stock just launched a huge partnership with Mastercard. Given the significant decline in the stock's current price, I thought it was a good time not only to share my views on the matter, but also to outline my five most optimistic reasons why I would choose to buy SoFi stock throughout 2026.

其中一点同样涉及与Mastercard的新合作,我认为从长期来看,这可能成为其业务和股价的真正转折点。好,首先是我今天买入SoFi股票的第一个理由。这关乎市场对SoFi股票的定价与我感觉它们实际应有的价值之间的巨大差距。

Again, one of those points involves the new Mastercard partnership, which I believe could be a real game-changer for their business and for the stock in the long run. Okay, first, the number one reason I bought SoFi stock today.

It's about the huge gap between how the market prices SoFi shares and what I feel they should actually be worth.

各位,当我寻找要加入投资组合的股票时,我会专门寻找那些市场完全不知道该如何正确估值的公司。SoFi可能是这方面最好的例子之一。

Guys, when I'm looking for stocks to add to my portfolio, I specifically look for companies that the market has no idea how to properly value. SoFi may be one of the best examples of this.

目前,该股已下跌约其总价值的一半。这使市盈率相对盈利增长比率(PEG)降至仅0.7。这比行业平均水平便宜30%以上。

Currently, the stocks have fallen by about half their total value. This brought the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio down to just 0.7. It is more than 30% cheaper than the sector average.

关于这一点,有两点要说。首先,PEG指标考虑了未来的增长。该指标任何低于1的数值就已经被视为非常划算。但更重要的是,在这个特定案例中,它的价值更加惊人,因为整个金融板块本身就是整个市场中最便宜的板块之一。

Well, there are two things about that. Firstly, the PEG index takes into account future growth. Any value for this indicator that is less than one is already considered a great deal.

But more importantly, in this particular case, it's an even more amazing value because the finance sector as a whole is already one of the cheapest sectors in the entire market.

原因在于,它包含了所有那些增长极少、增速极低的传统老牌银行。因此,它们往往获得一些最便宜的估值,因为如果它们不会出现显著增长,你为什么要买它们呢?因此,它们往往很便宜。

The reason for this is that it includes all those old traditional banks that rarely grow more than at very small rates. Therefore, they tend to get some of the cheapest valuations, because why would you buy them if they weren't going to see significant growth? Therefore, they tend to be inexpensive.

但SoFi是一家金融科技公司,这意味着它也像科技股一样拥有巨大的增长潜力,而不像传统金融股。所以,市盈率相对盈利增长比率(PEG)不仅低于1,这本身就是一个惊人的估值,而且还比本已非常便宜的传统金融板块低30%。

这是我感觉市场不知出于什么原因似乎尚未领会的一点,至少就SoFi而言是这样。

But SoFi is a financial technology company, which means it also has tremendous growth potential like technology stocks, not like traditional finance stocks. So, not only is the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio less than one, which is in itself an incredible valuation, but it is also 30% lower than the old traditional finance sector, which was already very cheap.

This is something that I feel the market, for whatever reason, doesn't seem to grasp yet, at least when it comes to Sophie.

这就引出了第二个理由。惊人的增长,外加获得全国性银行牌照的额外优势。根据分析师的估计,SoFi的收入和每股收益预计在未来几年将以每年约30%的速度增长。这是你在任何传统银行几乎都看不到的增长水平。

This leads us to the second reason. The remarkable growth with the added advantage of obtaining a national banking license. According to analysts' estimates, Sofi's revenue and earnings per share are expected to grow by about 30% annually over the coming years.

This is a level of growth that you will almost never see in any traditional bank.

但正如我所说,就SoFi而言还有一个额外优势:它不再只是一家科技公司,现在拥有全国性银行牌照,这像传统银行一样增强了其盈利能力。这也有助于它们扩大净利润的范围。

But as I said, there is an added advantage when it comes to Sofi: it is no longer just a technology company, but now has a national banking license, which enhances its profitability like traditional banks.

This also helps them to expand the scope of their net profits.

事实上,可自由支配的自由现金流预计到2028年将超过20亿美元。换句话说,这不再是5年前那个烧掉数亿美元风险资本、不盈利的SPAC。相反,SoFi现在已经实现了连续11个季度的盈利,并继续刷新纪录。

In fact, discretionary free cash flows are expected to exceed $2 billion by 2028. In other words, this is no longer the unprofitable SPAC it was 5 years ago, burning through hundreds of millions of dollars of venture capital.

Instead, Sophie has now achieved 11 consecutive quarters of profitability and continues to break new records.

从长期来看,这背后的主要驱动力同样是那张银行牌照。这正是它真正区别于市场上任何其他金融科技公司的地方,后者几乎完全依赖那些大型传统银行来为其所有贷款提供资金并发放贷款。而那些合作银行拿走了所有费用和利息收入的巨大份额,这也是传统银行一开始就如此盈利的原因之一。

Again, the major driving force for this in the long run will be that banking license. This is what truly distinguishes it from any other financial technology company in the market, which relies almost entirely on those large traditional banks to finance and issue all of its loans.

While those partner banks take huge shares of all fees and interest income, this is one of the reasons why traditional banks are so profitable in the first place.

SoFi多年来就预见到了金融科技公司的这个问题。因此,他们努力在2022年为自己获得了全国性银行牌照。这现在使他们能够用客户的存款来为其贷款提供资金。

Sophie saw this problem coming for years for fintech companies. Therefore, they worked hard to obtain a national banking license for themselves in 2022. This now allows them to use their customers' deposits to fund their loans.

哇,他们成功吸引了大量存款。2022年,他们约有12亿美元存款。但看看今天,这个数字已经飙升至超过460亿美元。因此,SoFi总资金基础中约93%现在直接来自这些低成本存款。

Wow, they've succeeded in attracting massive deposits. In 2022, they had approximately $1.2 billion in deposits. But, looking at today, that figure has skyrocketed to over $46 billion.

Because of this, approximately 93% of Sofi's total funding base now comes directly from those low-cost deposits.

这一步现在帮助他们在融资费用上每年节省超过7亿美元,相比从公开市场借款。这正是他们的净息差接近6%的原因。这是传统商业银行只能梦想的水平。这个数字通常是该水平的一半左右。

That step has now helped them save more than $700 million a year on financing expenses compared to borrowing from the open market. This is precisely why their net interest margin is close to 6%.

This is a level that traditional commercial banks can only dream of. This number is usually about half of that amount.

所以,通过SoFi,你获得的是一家科技公司惊人的增长,同时盈利能力不断提升,最终可能媲美老牌金融机构。但把两者结合起来,你得到的是一家极佳的金融科技(fintech)公司。

So with SoFi, you get incredible growth for a technology company with increasing profitability that may eventually rival established financial institutions. But by combining them, you get a fantastic financial technology (fintech) company.

但对我来说,第三个理由是,如果没有他们极具吸引力且互动性强的生态系统,这一切都不可能实现。在这个生态系统中,他们鼓励消费者储蓄、借贷、投保甚至投资,全部通过一个整合的金融应用和一个非常流畅的电子平台完成。

But the third reason for me is that none of this would have been possible without their highly attractive and interactive ecosystem, where they encouraged consumers to save, borrow, insure and even invest, all through an integrated financial application and a very smooth electronic platform.

为了不纠结于该银行的牌照问题,我只想指出,这是众多人涌向SoFi的又一个原因。由于没有实体网点的运营成本,也无需向第三方支付费用,SoFi已经能够为储户提供更高的回报、为借款人提供更优惠的利率,从而吸引更多人加入该平台。

In order not to dwell on the subject of the bank's licensing, I would just like to point out that this is another reason why so many people are flocking to SoFi. Because there are no operating costs for physical branches or fees to third parties, SoFi has already been able to offer higher returns to savers and better interest rates to borrowers, helping to attract more of them to the platform.

其他金融公司必须花费数百美元营销费用才能吸引每位客户购买一款产品,而SoFi则专注于在生态系统内对同一客户交叉营销其所有产品,这正在取得很好的效果。

While other finance companies have to spend hundreds of dollars on marketing to attract each customer to just one product, SoFi instead focuses on cross-marketing all of its products to the same customer within the ecosystem, which is achieving great results.

例如,在上个季度,我们看到了这种加速效应的强劲表现:总会员数升至1580万,同比增长35%,而总产品数增幅更大,达到42%,产品总数达到2440万。需要说明的是,这也是公司历史上首次新增产品数量恰好是新增会员数量的两倍。

In the last quarter, for example, we saw the strength of this accelerating effect, with total members rising to 15.8 million, an annual increase of 35%, while total products grew by an even greater percentage of 42% to reach 24.4 million products.

To clarify, this was also the first time in the company's history that they added literally twice as many new products as new members.

最令人印象深刻的是他们的交叉购买率,该指标衡量现有用户采用的产品数量,它加速升至51%,这意味着如今SoFi解锁的产品中有一半以上是由已经活跃在平台上的人购买的。这推动每位会员的平均产品数升至1.54的历史新高。

Most impressive was their cross-buying rate, which measures the number of products adopted by existing users, and which accelerated to 51%, meaning that more than half of the products unlocked in SoFi today are acquired by people already active on the platform.

This pushed the average number of products per member to a record high of 1.54.

而且,在我看来,所有这些互动都是由他们绝对高质量的服务所驱动的。事实上,SoFi已被《福布斯》杂志评为美国客户满意度和整体信任度排名第一的银行,超越了该领域所有传统巨头。

And again, in my opinion, all this interaction is driven by that absolutely high quality of their services. In fact, SoFi has already been ranked as the number one bank in the United States in terms of customer satisfaction and overall trust by Forbes magazine, outperforming all the traditional giants in the field.

说实话,这对他们来说相当难堪。你们怎么会在这里输给这家新公司?你们在市场里经营了几十年,本应该把这件事搞定,不是吗?就连J.D. Power也把整体投资者满意度第一的位置给了SoFi。他们在这方面超越其他所有人,这太不可思议了。

Honestly, this is rather embarrassing for them. How are you losing to this new company here? You should have gotten this under control after being in the market for so many decades, shouldn't you?

Even J.D. Power also gave SoFi the top spot in overall investor satisfaction. It's crazy that they outperform everyone else in this aspect.

我想说,这些是高层次的、证明业绩的奖项,它们应该能让你很好地了解SoFi的表现有多么出色,即便是在消费者层面也是如此,自下而上地推动着一切。这就是你需要的基础。

I would say that these are high-level proving-performance awards, which should give you a good idea of how outstanding SoFi is performing, even at the consumer level, driving everything from the bottom up. This is the foundation you need.

第四,这一点会说得很快,但它在于这样一个事实:他们的CEO——我认为这是件大事——一直非常积极地亲自回购公司股票。这是我在自己投资的任何股票中都希望看到的事情。如果你是CEO,如果公司像你说的那么好、那么强,那你也应该买它的股票。

不应该只有我买,也应该包括你。你领导着公司,你知道它有多棒。如果你没有信心买入自己经营和领导的公司的股票,就别告诉我一切有多好。

Fourth, this would be quick, but it lies in the fact that their CEO—and I think this is a big deal—has been very active in buying back the company's shares himself. This is something I always want to see in any stock I invest in.

If you are the CEO, and if the company is as good and strong as you say, then you should also buy its shares. It shouldn't just be me, it should include you too. You lead the company, and you know how great it is.

Don't tell me how great everything is if you don't have the confidence to buy shares in your own company that you run and lead.

幸运的是,这位CEO是我真心非常尊敬的人,因为他正是这么做的。每当股价下跌,他就会出手买入股票,表明他真心相信这家公司在当前价格下被市场低估了。

Fortunately, this is a CEO I honestly have a lot of respect for, because he does exactly that. Whenever the stock falls, he goes out and buys shares, demonstrating that he truly believes this company is undervalued in the market at today's prices.

事实上,仅今年一年,Anthony Noto的买入金额就超过了他前两年买入总额的两倍,仅2026年上半年买入金额就超过220万美元。其中一些买入价格超过每股18美元,而且平均来看,所有买入价都高于该股今天的交易价格。

换句话说,即便在高价位,SoFi的CEO也认为该股仍被低估。即便当时的价格高于今天。而现在的价格比那时更低。

In fact, this year alone, Anthony Noto has spent more than double what he spent in the previous two years combined, with more than $2.2 million in purchases in the first half of 2026 alone.

Some of those purchases exceeded $18 per share, and on average, all were higher than the stock's trading price today. In other words, even at high prices, SoFi's CEO believed the stock was still undervalued.

Even when it was higher than it is today. It is now less than that.

最后,我关于SoFi的第五点也是最后一点,不只是关于他们持续进行产品创新的速度。SoFi没有像我认为所有传统金融机构那样自满和无所作为,而是继续大力突破边界,始终保持在最前沿。我认为这将在长期内持续下去。

Finally, my fifth and final point about SoFi is not just about the pace of their continuous product innovation. Instead of complacency and inaction, which I contend all traditional financial institutions have done, SoFi continues to push the boundaries hard to always remain at the forefront. I think this will continue in the long term.

我想我们可以通过向人工智能领域的扩张以及与Mastercard达成的历史性支付协议来快速说明这一点。在人工智能领域,他们最近推出了SoFi Coach,这是该行业首个由AI驱动的智能财务指南。

它连接用户的所有财务账户。它实时分析他的消费习惯。它还监控信用报告。它在我们谈到的那个一体化生态系统内,直接在应用中提供定制化和自动化的财务报告与建议,帮助会员改善财务状况并做出正确决策。

I think we can highlight that quickly through the expansion into artificial intelligence and the historic payments deal with Mastercard. In the field of artificial intelligence, they recently launched SoFi Coach, the first AI-powered smart financial guide in the sector.

It connects to all of the user's financial accounts. It analyzes his spending habits in real time. It also monitors credit reports. It provides customized and automated financial reports and advice directly within the application, within the integrated ecosystem we talked about, helping members improve their financial situations and make the right decisions.

此外,他们还收购了Composer,从而将真正的AI代理也纳入SoFi平台。这些不只是提供一般性建议的简单聊天机器人。这些工具甚至可以为用户或投资者实时构建、测试并自动化完整的交易策略。这一点极其重要。

Furthermore, they acquired Composer to include actual AI agents within the SoFi platform as well. These are not just simple chatbots offering general advice. These tools can even build, test, and automate complete trading strategies for the user or investor in real time. This is extremely important.

同样重要的是,SoFi成为有史以来第一家使用其稳定币在Mastercard全球网络上即时结算支付的银行。从历史上看,交易商一直不愿使用任何形式的加密货币,因为他们必须培训员工、更换刷卡机、更改会计软件,还要应对价格波动和复杂的立法。

但SoFi转而使用自己的货币SoFi USD,该货币完全锚定美元并以现金作为支撑,帮助他们克服了其中大部分障碍。

Equally important, SoFi became the first bank ever to use its stablecoin to settle payments instantly across Mastercard's global network. Historically, traders have been hesitant to use any form of cryptocurrency; Because they would have to train staff, replace card machines, change accounting software, and deal with price fluctuations and complex legislation.

But instead, SoFi uses its own currency, SoFi USD, which is fully pegged to the US dollar and backed by cash, helping them overcome most of these obstacles.

那么,比如每当有人在Mastercard网络上使用SoFi卡时呢?就是那张带有Mastercard标志的卡。每次使用时,SoFi不仅收取处理费,而且由于每一枚币都在美联储有实际现金作为支撑,他们还能从这些巨额资金中赚取利息。

So, every time someone uses a SoFi card over the Mastercard network, for example? That card that bears the Mastercard logo. Each time it is used, SoFi not only collects processing fees, but because each coin is backed by actual cash at the Federal Reserve, they also reap interest on those huge sums.

由于SoFi会员每年已经通过他们的卡消费超过250亿美元,日常消费立即变成其他竞争对手尚未开发的高利润来源。SoFi是第一个做到这一点的,就像它在许多其他事情上一样,这确实令人惊叹。

With SoFi members already spending over $25 billion annually through their cards, everyday purchases instantly become a high-profit source that other competitors have yet to exploit.

It is truly amazing that SoFi is the first to do this, just as it does with so many other things.

无论如何,这只是又一个很好的例子,说明当你从大局来看时,你会意识到SoFi是一台增长引擎,确实是其领域中的一头巨兽,我不知道该怎么形容。我觉得市场可能仍然如此固守过去,以至于没有充分认识到SoFi已经取得的、现在正在做的以及未来将会做的所有成就。

In any case, this is just another great example that when you look at the big picture, you'll realize that SoFi is a growth engine, indeed a monster in its field, I don't know how to describe it.

I feel that the market may still be so stuck in the past that it doesn't fully appreciate all that SoFi has accomplished, is doing now, and will do in the future.

至于我,我在这只股票中看到了许多真实的长期价值。这就是为什么我至今仍在继续买入该股。你同意我对SoFi的乐观看法吗?还是你对SoFi当前的市场地位以及它长期未来可能面临的前景更为悲观?

As for me, I see a lot of real, long-term value in this name. This is why I continue to buy stocks to this day. Do you agree with my optimistic view on SoFi? Or are you more pessimistic about SoFi's current market position and what the long-term future may hold for it?

这个频道对 $SOFI 的历次判断

Ale's World of Stocks 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-09-26看涨本条
各位,我最看好的金融科技股刚刚与Mastercard启动了一项重大合作。
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