预测：标普500指数（SPX）表现强劲，但面临短期回调，目标位7528-7456；突破7770则否定看跌观点。
逐段跳播
我们先看看标普500指数，SPX。同样，我们之前在这里看到的也是同样的情况，即可能再下跌两周。现在，次级支撑位就设在这里。
We'll take a look at the S&P 500 first, SPX. And again, the same thing we were looking at here, which is the possibility of another two weeks of decline. Now, the secondary support levels have been placed right here .
当我在本周早些时候进行分析时，市场似乎正在跌破日线级别，我显示它进一步向下倾斜，但现在我必须尊重我所看到的。这很强势，并且从这个早期低点已经走高，而纳斯达克在此处录得更深的低点。
问题是，这是否是我们一直在寻找的底部，价格只是保持在3个月区间内，然后向上突破？
When I conducted my analysis earlier in the week, and the market appeared to be breaking the daily level, I showed it to be sloping further downwards, but now I must respect what I see. This is strong, and it has moved higher from this early low point where the Nasdaq has recorded a deeper low than this. The question is, was this the bottom we were looking for, where the price simply stayed within a 3-month range and then broke out upwards ?
当某物突破其区间，然后回撤测试该区间的顶部时，那是因为所有卖方都在这里。那些在该水平持有了3个月的每一个卖家，现在当价格再次开始下跌时，他们都想回来。他们想回补他们的空头头寸。
价格回到他们卖出的地方，他们想买入。因此，这就是为什么你在区间顶部获得支撑。这就是我们谈论它的原因。这对分析很重要。
When something breaks through its range and then comes back to test the peak of that range, it's because all the vendors were here. Every one of those sellers who have been at that level for 3 months now wants to come back when the price starts to fall again. They want to cover their open selling positions. The price is going back to where they sold it, and they want to buy it. Therefore, this is why you get support at the top of the range. That's why we talked about it. This is important for analysis.
所以，再次，似乎有两个可能的星期，因为当我看日线图时，我发现日线周期已经跌破。这让我更加悲观。我曾预期在这里。我预期它会下跌7.3%到那里的较低水平，那是一个周线支撑位。鉴于我们目前的情况，这不是一个主要的修正期，因为三个下行周期正在交汇。
这是一个强劲的市场，也许它做不到那样。因此，我撤回了那个预测，并将其置于次级周线支撑位。
So, once again, it seems there are two possible weeks because when I look at the daily chart, I find that the daily cycle has broken. This made me more pessimistic. I had expected that here. I expected it to drop 7.3% to that lower level there, which is a weekly support level . This is not a major correction period given our current situation, where three downward cycles are intersecting . This is a strong market and perhaps it cannot do that. Therefore, I removed that forecast and placed it at the secondary weekly support levels.
如你所知，我预计未来两到三周将从7528修正至7456。所以，我已经更新了我的预测，因为它在区间顶部找到了支撑，然后再次上涨，突破了61.8水平。我必须尊重这一点。
As you know, I am targeting a correction over the next two or three weeks from 7528 to 7456. So, I have updated my forecast because it found support at the top of the range and then rose again, breaking above the 61.8 level. I must respect that.
记住，我们不偏向任何方向。再次，正如我在节目中早些时候所说，当我们讨论这个以及Arnie和我讨论我们不同的分析方法时，Arnie会看这个——我代表他说——然后说：“嘿，我们这里有一个正的OBV（现金流入）指标。”
我们这里没有任何负面的东西。“Slim”均线至少仍然稳定，并且正在向上转。你看到那个绿色箭头。所以，有很多理由尊重这个市场不想下跌的事实，同时，我仍然在看这些协议并说：“我所看的……”
Remember , we are not biased in any direction. Again, as I said earlier on the show, while we were talking about this and Arnie and I were discussing our different approaches to analysis, Arnie would look at this—and I'm speaking on his behalf—and say, "Hey, we have a positive OBV (Overflow of Cash) indicator here." We have nothing negative here. The "Slim" Ribbon is still stable at least and is turning upwards. You see that green arrow. So, there are plenty of reasons to respect the fact that this market doesn't want to go down, and at the same time , I'm still looking at the concordats and saying, "All I look at..."
当我转向标普500指数时，因为我想说：“好吧，什么会让我更乐观？”它正在突破这里的这个水平，假设那个水平是7770。所以，如果它超过7770，那就意味着这里的这次崩盘是虚假的，并且它获得了支撑，因此它处于一个更好的位置。
When I turn to the S&P 500 index, because I want to say, "Okay, what would make me more optimistic ?" it's breaking through this level here, and let's say that level is 7770. So, if it surpasses 7770, it means that this collapse here was false and it gained support, and therefore it is in a much better position.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $SPX 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。