SPY在支撑位有技术性反弹的形态,但宏观因素削弱了持续反弹的可能性。
逐段跳播
好的,我们先来看标普500指数,在日线图上的SPY。你们可以看到,我一直在说会发生什么,应该发生什么,因为我们在这个节目中经常讨论这个。我们讨论突破和回踩那条被突破的趋势线。我们清楚地看到6月2日这里有一个高点。
今天价格回落并触及完全相同的价格点,获得支撑并从这个区间反弹。现在,如果你忽略背景中发生的一切,这应该是一个反弹设置。我们有三个急剧下跌的交易日,直接进入一个支撑区域。明天我们应该反弹,并测试昨天交易行为留下的缺口回补。
但考虑到宏观背景和价格行为已经如此接近这个支撑水平,实际上削弱了这个区域,这降低了潜在反弹的概率。但是,我不会感到惊讶如果我们明天收高并收正,仅仅因为图表上的技术面。我们很可能需要10年期收益率和美国石油部门的帮助才能使这次反弹实现。
All right, let's jump into the S&P 500 first with the SPY on the daily time frame. You can see here guys, what have I been saying was going to happen and what should happen because we talk about this in this show so often. We talk about breakouts and retraces to that trend line from which it broke out from. We clearly see we have a high pivot back here on June 2nd. Today was the day we had price come back in and tag that exact same price point and get support and bounce up off of this range. Now, if you take away everything that's going on in the background, this should be a bounce setup. We have three sharp days moving lower right into an area of support. We should be bouncing up tomorrow and testing the gap fill from trading action yesterday. But with the macro backdrop and with price action already coming so close to this level of support in essence weakening this area, that's reducing probabilities of a potential bounce. But, I would not be surprised to see us up and close positive tomorrow just because of the technicals on the chart. We very well likely will need help in the 10-year yield and US oil department for that bounce to materialize.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。