SPY 呈现潜在看涨的技术形态（牛旗/通道），需要突破才能确认；由于处于图表高位，成功概率有所降低。
逐段跳播
先从标普说起。目前标普上涨约 1%，回补了周二价格走势留下的缺口。这对市场来说相当不错，因为我们正开始有可能尝试测试标普此前的历史高点。
Let's start with the S&P. Now, the S&P is currently up about 1%, filling the gap created from Tuesday's price action. This is pretty good for the markets as we're beginning to potentially try and test previous all-time highs on the S&P.
我在关注什么？我在关注那个双顶 779 37，这是关键的阻力位。但有一点我特别想强调，我们开始看到这条下行倾斜的平行通道呈现出一种漂亮的形态。你甚至可以把它看作牛旗，因为我们先有这一波漂亮的上涨，随后是向下横盘的整理，倾向于向上突破。
What am I watching? I'm watching that double top 779 37, the key level of resistance. But something I really want to highlight there is we're starting to create kind of a beautiful look at this downs sloping parallel channel. Um you can even consider this a bull flag because we had this nice move up followed by this downward sideways um downward sideways consolidation favoring a move to the upside.
虽然这是一个看涨形态，但它并不一定意味着必然会兑现。为什么呢？原因是，位于图表高位的看涨形态，相比位于图表底部的看涨形态，兑现的可能性更低。
Now while this is a bullish pattern, it doesn't necessarily mean that it needs to play out. Now, why is that? Well, the reason why is because bullish patterns at the highs of the charts have a lower um lower likelihood of playing out compared to if they were at the bottom of the charts, right?
虽然这有潜在的看涨意味，但只有当我们能突破这条下行倾斜的平行通道时，它才是看涨的。股票可以在相当长一段时间内持续处于下跌趋势。所以我不会一口咬定这一定会涨。
And while this is potentially bullish, it's only bullish if we can break above this down sloping parallel channel, right? um it stocks can continue in a downtrend for a significant portion of time. So I wouldn't go all in saying this is going up for sure.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 9 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。