SPY 突破因缺乏延伸而失败；若收益率维持高位，可能跌至 $760.40 支撑位。
逐段跳播
首先，看标普500，我们来看标普500日线图。过去两个交易日发生了什么？周一我们迎来一波猛烈上涨，把价格推升到这条下降趋势线上方。但周二又发生了什么？我们没有突破周一K线的高点。
或多或少，我们没有获得进一步的延伸。看看当价格突破某条线时这对图表意味着什么——那波延伸走势对于维持这张图上的突破情形至关重要。而标普500并没有做到。正如你在这里看到的，今天它就是一路直接下跌。
First off, guys, with the S&P 500, we see here on the S&P 500 daily chart. What happened over the last two trading days, guys, we had a rip roaring rally on Monday, pushing us above this declining trend line.
But then what happened here on Tuesday, guys? We didn't push up further than the high on Monday's candle. More or less, we didn't get any further extension. Look at what that does to the chart when price breaks out from a certain line. that that extension move is critical to maintain the breakout scenario on this chart.
And the S&P 500, guys, did not do it. We simply are coming straight down on the chart as you see here for the day.
现在看10分钟时间框架，我们可以看到，当价格跌到那条趋势线时，我们实际上刺穿了它，停顿了一下，然后试图反弹回到其上方，但随后就在图表上进一步下滑。
Now, getting into the 10-minute time frame, we can see when we came down to that trend line, we actually pierced it, paused, and then tried to rally to get back above it, but then we just slid down further on the charts.
正如我们在这里看到的，标普500收在接近低点的位置。所以，如果10年期收益率继续成为问题，我们很可能会看到spiders下跌，回落到此前这个支撑位，这个我们已经触及并刺穿了好几次的位置。就在760.40美元。
As we see here, we're closing down near the low range on the S&P 500. So, if the 10-year yields continue to be an issue, guys, we're likely to see the spiders come down, connect back down to this previous level of support, one that we've hit and pierce now several times. That's at $76040.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 15 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。