TLT中期看跌；复苏需要不再创年度新低并突破83.25，否则仅是在下降趋势中的反弹。
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债券，债券刚刚遭到重创，我认为发生的情况是，财政部长说：“让空头舒服几天，然后我们会进去说些什么，我们会试图打击那些卖空者。”
The bonds, the bonds just got you know, they were they were getting hammered, and what I think happened in there is the Treasury Secretary said, "Let the shorts feel comfortable for a few days, then we'll go in and say something, and we'll we'll try to torch the short sellers."
他们确实这么做了，但随后其他人回来说：“等等，我们为什么要回补空头？让我们重新加上空头。”或者那些空头是加上的？
Which they did, but then other people came back in and said, "Wait a minute, why did we cover our shorts? Let's add that short back on." Or are those shorts added to it?
用言论很难让市场按照你的意愿行事。这是之前的低点，再次成为阻力位。为了让这些债券在中期内显示出任何真正的复苏迹象，它们必须不创年内新低，并且必须突破 83.25。
It's very difficult to top talk the market into doing what you want it to do. This is the prior you know, prior low that became resistance once again. In order for these bonds to show any real signs of recovery in the intermediate term, they're going to have to not make a new low for the year, and they're going to have to get above 83 and a quarter.
如果他们这样做，那么这可能会在这里形成一个更高的低点，然后也许你会看到一次反弹。关键词是反弹，因为它处于下跌趋势中。
If they do that, then this might end up being a higher low in here, and then maybe you get a bounce. Operative word is bounce, because it's in a downtrend.
它可能会反弹至50日均线附近。但债券就是，你知道，非常难看。没有其他看法。
It might get a bounce up towards that 50-day moving average. But bonds are just, you know, plain ugly. That There's There's no other way to look at it.
他说在等什么
他自己说在等的东西，一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次，我们不合并，也不判断它有没有兑现。
这个频道对 $TLT 的历次判断
Brian Shannon 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。