看好TSLA的长期增长;由于波动性和技术形态,更倾向于通过期权/信用价差进行交易,而非直接持有股票。
逐段跳播
轻松获利就是把 Tesla 和 SpaceX 拿来比较。
Easy profit is asking Tesla vs. SpaceX.
很长一段时间里,我并不热衷于交易 Tesla 股票,但我相信它的长期增长。我也相信 SpaceX 和 Tesla,而且我认为它们拥有的技术很有意思。
For a long time, I wasn't keen on trading Tesla stock, but I believe in its long-term growth. I also believe in both SpaceX and Tesla , and I think the technology they have is interesting.
另一方面,针对这两家公司的负面论点是,这些技术人人都能获得,而且 Elon Musk 的离开会导致它们的股价随时间下跌。
On the other hand, the negative argument against the two companies is that the technology is available to everyone, and that Elon Musk's departure will cause their stock price to fall over time.
所以,我的想法是看价格链,然后说:“在价格上涨的那一天,如果我现在没有交易头寸,那对 Tesla 股票来说根本就不是一个牛市日;但如果卖出价差能获利,比如说,Tesla 现在的价格是 354。
如果我假设它在下个月会保持在 400 以下呢?那是一个非常大的波动,对于一只通常每天波动 3 到 6 美元的股票来说,50 美元是很大的。我能不能建立一个头寸,投入 2,500 美元?
就是这样,2,500 美元。如果我们一年 12 个月都重复这样做,我们就能把利润最大化。这笔交易有 83% 的概率实现利润最大化。如果我们这样做,这笔交易年回报率将超过 100%。”
So, my idea is to look at the price chains and say, "On a day when the price is rising, if I don't have a trading position now, it's not a bull day for Tesla stock at all , but if there's a profit to be made from selling the spread, say, Tesla is trading at 354.
What if I assume it will stay below 400 for the next month? That's a very large move, $50 on a stock that usually moves between $3 and $6 a day. Can I enter a position where I allocate $2,500?
That's it , $2,500. If we repeat that for 12 months of the year, we'll maximize our profit. This trade has an 83% chance of maximizing profit. If we do that, this trade will return more than 100% annually."
但是,当我们看图表,当我们看 Tesla 股票并说:“该股已经大幅上涨,现在正在经历小幅回调。”如果价格从这里反弹,会发生什么?“如果形成双顶形态,那么用信用价差开一个空头头寸可能是明智的。”
But, when we look at the chart, when we look at Tesla stock and say, "The stock has made a significant rise, and now it's experiencing a slight pullback." What will happen if the price bounces back from here ?
"If a double top pattern forms, it might be wise to open a short position with a credit spread.
这个频道对 $TSLA 的历次判断
Drawbridge Finance 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。