Ulta在9月具有强劲的季节性（72%的时间上涨），但目前处于下行趋势；只有价格突破580枢轴点才构成看涨信号。
逐段跳播
首先我要提到的是Alta。回顾过去20年，这包括2026年9月，但这段录音是在8月录制的，所以9月没有数据，这不重要。我们去掉2026年，只看过去20年，对Alta来说是19年。
9月上涨的概率是72%。也就是说，在72%的9月里，Alta都是上涨的，这几乎是每四次中有三次。而只有11月和3月这两个日历月对Alta来说上涨的频率高于9月。所以这是一个相当不错的季节性表现，对吧？
So the first one that I would pull up is Alta. So Alta, if we go back and we look over the last 20 years, now that's going to include September of 2026. Well, this is being recorded in August, so there is no data in September, so it doesn't matter. But let's just look at let's get rid of 2026. We'll just look at the last 20 years, 19 years in the case of Alta. And September has been up 72% of the time. SE 72% of September we've seen Alta advance. That's almost three out of every four with November and March being the only two calendar months that go up more often for Alta than September. So that's a pretty good seasonal performance, right?
现在我看一下Alta的图表。我看到这只股票一直处于下跌趋势，AD线也在下移。所以我并不特别兴奋。我认为580这个区域一直是一个关键转折点。那是2025年12月跳空上涨的位置，之后股价起飞。
然后我们跳空跌破580，上涨并两次测试580，但未能突破。所以，我认为Ulta在突破580之前不会显得特别强劲。如果它能在9月之前或9月初突破580，考虑到9月的历史表现，对我来说，这是一个额外的看涨信号。所以这是值得关注的。
Now I look at the chart of Alta. Now I look at the chart here and I'm seeing a stock that's been downtrending. I see an AD line that's moving lower. So I'm not exactly excited here. I think um this 580 area has been kind of a key pivot point. That's where we gapped up to back in December of 2025 before taking off. Then we gapped down below 580, went up and tested 580 twice, couldn't get through. So, I don't really think Ulta it looks particularly strong until we get through 580. Now, if it can get through 580 either before or in the early stages of September, knowing the history of September, to me, that's an added bonus signal for uh a bull added bullish signal, I should say, for um Alta. So, that's something to look for.
所以这值得关注，但同样，这将取决于股票的交易情况。
So this is one worth watching but again it's going to depend on how the stock trades.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $ULTA 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。