$USO

由于倒头肩形态仍然有效,USO 上涨至 116 美元的概率较高。

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Verified Investing发布 2026-09-17 · 10 段内容
09:48/ 打开原视频

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10 段内容
9:4811:27

接下来,我们来看美国原油。正如我提到的,10 年期国债利率和美国原油今天都下跌了,但我们看到美国原油再次上涨,回到盘整阶段。

Next, we have American oil. As I mentioned, both the 10-year bond interest rate and US oil fell today, but we are seeing US oil rise again, returning to a phase of consolidation.

现在距离收盘还有 29 分钟。如果我们在这一时段收盘,从K线来看,我们仍处于吸筹阶段,各位。我们连续两天出现了大幅下跌,但很快又回到向上的吸筹阶段,与这里发生的情况非常相似。

Now we have 29 minutes left until closing. If we close during this period , the candles, we are still in the accumulation phase, guys. We saw a significant drop for two days, but it quickly returned to an upward accumulation phase, very similar to what happened here.

注意,在上行过程中,我们在这些枢轴点遇到了阻力。我们最终也来到了这条平行通道的 50% 区域。好,在接下来的一次上涨中,我们走向了哪里?我们直接进入了这些关键点位,此后就停了下来。

Note that during the upward movement, we encountered resistance at these pivot points. We also ended up at the 50% area of ​​this parallel channel. Okay, on the next rise, where did we head?

We went straight into these pivotal points, and since then we have stopped.

但在这个位置,这次停顿只持续了 3 天。你可以看到,这一走势被拉长了,因为我们停下来并稍微回撤了一点。

But at this location, this shutdown lasted for only 3 days . You can see that this movement has extended because we stop and step back a little.

那么,如果美国原油图上继续下跌,我们会在哪里停下来?这条向上的平行线有助于厘清关键支撑位。当我们下移到这条平行线的 50% 区域时,我们遇到了什么?往左看,这就是 6 月 3 日出现在图上的这个高点枢轴点。

Now, if we continue to fall on the US oil chart , where will we stop? Well, this upward parallel line helps to clarify the key support levels. When we move down to the 50% area of ​​the parallel line, what do we encounter?

Look to the left, this is the high pivot point that appeared here on the chart on June 3.

那么,如果我们继续下移到 9319 这一主要斐波那契回撤位,它会走向哪里?它将直接走向刚刚出现的这些关键点位。

Now, if we continue down to this major Fibonacci retracement level at 9319, where will it go ? He will head straight to these pivotal points that have just occurred.

正如你所看到的,这将是一次逐步下移,那么美国原油图上我们会继续下跌吗?

As you can see, this will be a gradual move downwards , so will we continue to fall on the US oil chart ?

至于上行趋势,必须突破 106.40 附近的平行上升高点。下一站位于 108.26。倒头肩形态仍然有效,量度上行目标位已在 116.50 美元处完成。

As for the upward trend, the parallel rising peak around 106.40 must be broken. The next station is at 108.26. The inverted head and shoulders pattern is still active, with the measured upward target move completed here at $116.50.

因此,这一形态依然存在。很明显,价格走势尚未跌破那条向下斜向绘制的颈线。

Therefore, this pattern still exists . It is clear that the price movement has not yet fallen below the neckline drawn diagonally downwards.

这就是价格需要做出的走势,以取消美国原油触及 116 的可能性。所以,从图表上我看到的是,尽管出现了这点小幅回落,美国原油在图表上仍有很高概率上涨至 116 美元。

This is what the price needs to do to cancel the chance of US oil reaching 116. So, what I see on the chart, regardless of this slight pullback, is that US oil still has a high probability of rising to $116 on the chart.

观察点

价格跌破斜向绘制的下行颈线
跌破颈线
未来图表
削弱看涨判断,使触及 $116 的可能性落空

这个频道对 $USO 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-17看涨本条
接下来,我们来看美国原油。
2026-09-15
接下来看美国原油。你可以看到,正如我所描述的,美国原油今天继续走高。只有两天的盘整。现在,我们在图表上更早的地方,9月2日,看到过这种情况,当时价格走势最初突破了倒头肩形态的颈线,该形态有一个目标测量移动位在116美元。但眼下,原油表示它并不真的想暂停或回调,尽管看看这个。我们已经超买了。在美国原油日线时间框架上,我们已经超过了70这个阈值。所以,我们该出现某种技术性回调了,这很可能就在下一个阻力位108.26附近出现,短期支撑在9319美元。由于美国原油今天的持续上涨,我已经把那个支撑位略微上移了。
原话 09:20 ›
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