Visa 具备稳健的技术动能，并作为科技标的受益于代币化支付趋势。
逐段跳播
今天大盘一片飘绿，这是对市场高度期待的加息作出的反应。
We've got a nice day of green across the big board here. in reaction to the highly anticipated rate hike that we got.
金融板块、至少是银行股这一周过得有点艰难，本周的一些评论也提到了这一点，但 Visa 并不在这个话题之内。是的，Marley，从技术角度看这只股票的动能，在我看来相当稳健。今天它回吐了一点涨幅，我认为过去几天它也回吐了一点涨幅，这是对《Clarity Act》未能通过作出的反应。
been a bit of a rough stretch for the financials, for the banks at least with some of the commentary this week, but Visa left out of that conversation. Well, yeah, Marley, as you look at the momentum in the stock and from a technical standpoint, to me it looks pretty solid.
Giving up a little bit of ground today and I think it's given up a little bit of ground the last few days in reaction to the Clarity Act and not getting through.
当然，我认为 Visa 将从向代币化支付结构的转型中受益，这些动态会持续向前推进，我认为这正是它在其他个股有所动摇时仍能保持上行势头的原因。
Certainly, I think Visa will benefit from the transition to tokenized payment structure and that those dynamics moving forward and I think that's a reason why you continue to see it maintaining it upward momentum when other names have kind of faltered a little bit.
但话说回来，在我看来 Visa 未必是一只金融股，它更像是一只科技股，我认为多年来一直如此，这也是我认为它同样受益于一些总体趋势的原因。
But again, Visa to me is not necessarily a financial play. It's more of a tech play and I think it has been for several years and that's why I think it also is benefiting from some of the general trends.
对。正如你所说，价格在这个通道形态之间来回震荡。我们有一条趋势线横穿这里的低点，用白色标出。把它复制一份，放到高点上方。在这个案例里它吻合得还不错。当然这并非金科玉律，但它是一种预测未来潜在支撑和阻力的方法。
那么反向趋势线就要从这些高点 38557 开始，把这些后续的高点也连接起来。所以在我们短期和较长期的价格形态之间，存在一点张力。我们现在正好处在通道形态的底部。因此，如果你更偏看空，这里是一个有意思的潜在突破点；如果你在寻找这只股票更多的上行空间、期待在这段下跌阶段之后继续上涨，这里则是一个支撑区域。
Right. As you say, bouncing around between this channel type shape. We have our trend line going across the lows here in white. Duplicate it, put it across the highs. It matches up decently in this case here.
Certainly not gospel, but it's a a way to project potential support and resistance going forward. So the counter trend would be starting with these highs 38557 connecting these subsequent highs as well.
So kind of a little bit of tension here between our short-term and longerterm price patterns. We now find ourselves sitting right at the bottom of our channel type shape. So an interesting potential breakout point here if you had more of a bearish outlook or a supportive area if you were looking for more upside in this name and for the move up to continue after this uh uh uh downward phase here.
那么需要考虑的水平位是接近 386 的高点。接下来一组相对高点在 377 附近。一些旧高点和随后的低点在 372 附近。然后是我们最近的一个相对低点，在 365 附近。此外，大约 356 到 358 之间也是一个支撑区域。
这让我们得以一窥基于财报后所见的低点以及 358 处反复出现的低点所形成的潜在支撑。
So horizontal levels to consider are highs near 386. The next set of relative highs here near 377. Some old highs and subsequent lows near 372. And then our most recent relative low near 365.
Also a bit of a a supportive zone here between about 356 to 358 as well. uh giving us uh uh a window into potential support based on the lows that we saw after earnings and a repeated set of lows uh at 358 as well.
接下来是我们这里关注的移动平均线，5 日、21 日和 251 日指数移动平均线。我们的 5 日和 21 日分别代表一周和一个月，它们彼此紧挨着，位于 371 到 372 之间。
所以今天到目前为止我们已经触及这一点位作为阻力位，尚未能突破上去。这可能是一个值得注意的枢轴点，因为它是两个指标汇合在一起。所以要关注收盘价是否显著高于或低于 371、372 附近的这一水平。
So next our moving averages that we look at here our 5day 2163 251day exponential moving averages. We have our 5-day and our 21-day representing one week and one month right on top of each other between 371 and 372.
So we have hit that as a resistance point so far today. haven't managed to break above it just yet here. So that could be a notable pivot point because it is a confluence of uh two indicators coming together.
So look for a close uh significantly above or below that that level near uh 371 372.
RSI 今天跌破了 50 中轴线。所以这更偏向看空信号，但这类指标你真的得等收盘价。盘中会出现各种各样的假突破。所以要关注价格是否跌破趋势线，同时 RSI 是否大幅跌破 50，这样才能得到更具确认性的看法。
RSI is slipping below our 50 midline today. So that would be more of a uh bearish signal here, but really you got to wait for the close with these things. There's all kinds of fake outs that can happen on an intraday basis.
So look for uh perhaps for price to break down below the trend line and for RSI to make a a big push below 50 at the same time to have a more of a confirmatory view.
我们的成交量分布研究显示，在 362 到 364 附近有一个小节点。在 380 附近还有一小块成交活跃区。但真正的大部分成交都远低于当前价格活动。所以目前在这些较高价位上，并没有太多清晰的信息。
Um our volume profile study shows we have a small node here near about 362 or so to 364. Another small area of activity here near 380. But really the bulk of all our trading is far below current price activity.
So, not too terribly uh much clear information at these upper levels at this time.
好的。现在，我们看到 Visa 报 36939。
All right. And right now, we're looking at Visa at 36939.
是的，我认为 Rick 指出了我从技术角度也在关注的一些关键区域。低端的 358 当然是今天这个交易示例思路的一部分，这是一个风险逆转策略。这是 11 月的风险逆转。卖出 360 看跌期权，买入 385 看涨期权。
这样做可以拿到一点权利金收入。所以理论上，如果未来 60 天内我们看到一些疲软——这是 11 月到期的行权结构——它会让你在略低于 360 的水平进入这只股票。因此，这既是在我认为从稍长期角度看存在支撑的位置被指派买入股票的机会，也是如果我们确实突破之前在 386 附近看到的那些高点时参与上涨的机会。
Yeah, uh I think Rick pointed out some of the key uh areas that I was looking at from a technical standpoint as well. Certainly 358 on the low end is a part of the thought process here for the trade example today which is a risk reversal.
This is a November risk reversal. Selling the 360 put. Buying the 385 call. You can do that for a slight credit here. So that would in theory put you in the stock around just below that 360 level if we did see some weakness over the next 60 days which is a November strike uh pattern here.
And so again, uh, opportunity to get put in the stock where I see some support as well from a little bit longer term perspective and also the opportunity to participate if we do break above those highs that we did see right around that 386 level.
这个频道对 $V 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。