$VLO

做空Valero;预计当前高裂解价差利润率在劳动节后收窄。

看跌他说的是几周内
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Verified Investing发布 2026-09-04 · 3 段内容
16:00/ 打开原视频

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3 段内容

我要说的是,像瓦莱罗能源和PSX这样的炼油商现在有巨大的裂解价差,这太荒谬了,因为他们简直是在印钱,因为他们的利润率如此之高,就像他们在加油站向你和我收取的驾驶等费用,与他们购买石油的成本相比。

现在这非常巨大。我确实预计劳动节后这会缩小,我已经将瓦莱罗能源列为未来几周我最喜欢的做空标的之一。

One thing I will say is you have refiners like Valero and PSX which have a massive crack spread right now and it's so ridiculous because they are literally printing money because the the the margins of this are so like what they're charging you and I to drive etc at the gas pump compared to what they're getting that oil for. Um it is massive right now. I do expect that to shrink after Labor Day and I have highlighted Valero as one of my favorite shorts here over the next couple weeks.

像瓦莱罗能源和PSX这样的炼油商现在有巨大的裂解价差,这太荒谬了,因为他们简直是在印钱,因为他们的利润率如此之高,就像他们在加油站向你和我收取的驾驶等费用,与他们购买石油的成本相比。

现在这非常巨大。我确实预计劳动节后这会缩小,我已经将瓦莱罗能源列为未来几周我最喜欢的做空标的之一。

you have refiners like Valero and PSX which have a massive crack spread right now and it's so ridiculous because they are literally printing money because the the margins of this are so like what they're charging you and I to drive etc at the gas pump compared to what they're getting that oil for. Um it is massive right now. I do expect that to shrink after Labor Day and I have highlighted Valero as one of my favorite shorts here over the next couple weeks.

这实际上是我目前最大的空头头寸,做空瓦莱罗能源。我是Smart Money Stocks and ETFs会员中的瓦莱罗能源空头。

It's actually my largest short position right now on Valero. I'm a short Valero with members of Smart Money Stocks and ETFs.

他说在等什么

裂解价差利润率收窄
劳动节后下降
劳动节后炼油利润率数据/财报
若利润率如预期压缩则支持看跌论点

这个频道对 $VLO 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-04看跌本条
我要说的是,像瓦莱罗能源和PSX这样的炼油商现在有巨大的裂解价差,这太荒谬了,因为他们简直是在印钱,因为他们的利润率如此之高,就像他们在加油站向你和我收取的驾驶等费用,与他们购买石油的成本相比。现在这非常巨大。我确实预计劳动节后这会缩小,我已经将瓦莱罗能源列为未来几周我最喜欢的做空标的之一。
2026-09-03看跌
我最喜欢的做空标的之一仍然是瓦莱罗能源。瓦莱罗能源目前盘前上涨约1.5美元。看看这里的趋势线。这更像是一次波段交易,但瓦莱罗能源再次面临重大阻力,极度延伸,开始出现负背离。我确实认为这家炼油商在波段交易基础上即将迎来显著回调,而且我确实与智钱股票和ETF的成员一起持有该股的空头头寸。
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