Workday相对于其历史中位数倍数被低估;回归至该倍数意味着100%的上行空间,且基本面稳健、盈利增长。
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最后,我要谈谈Workday,股票代码WDAY。这是另一家遭受SAS末日影响的软件公司。他们从高点下跌了62%,最近几周有所反弹。部分原因是传闻Silverlake将收购它,进行私有化,类似于他们参与将Electronic Arts(EA)私有化的方式。所以,一些私募股权对这些受打击的软件股感兴趣。原因就是我们之前讨论的。它们是稳健的业务。它们的基本面没有下降。仍在增长。可靠的订阅收入产生真正的自由现金流。自由现金流同比增长28%,过去12个月为29.7亿美元。一些人开始将这些受打击的软件股视为价值投资机会。它们过去以溢价倍数交易。在过去5年中,Workday股票的中位数倍数是41.2。那是调整后的每股收益或过去5年的过去12个月。其当前倍数是20.62。如果公司回到那个中位数倍数,从这里将有100%的上涨空间。但你还必须记住,公允价值在增长,因为业务在增长。他们的盈利在增长。所以在某个时候,向上重新评级,可以把它视为你投资时安全边际的一部分。你不想纯粹依赖市场对你的股票的看法,他们如何选择估值,但如果你已经相信业务的实际盈利和基本面将继续改善,它可以是一个强大的安全边际。
And then to wrap it up, I'm going to talk about Workday, ticker symbol WDAY. This is another software company that has been a victim of the SAS apocalypse. They sold off 62% from their high and they have rebounded in recent weeks. Part of that was that there is rumors of an acquisition from Silverlake, a take private, similar to how they were involved in taking Electronic Arts, EA, private. So, there's some private equity interest in some of these beaten down software stocks. And the reason is what we've been talking about earlier. They're solid businesses. Their fundamentals haven't declined. It's still growing. Reliable subscription revenue generates real free cash flow. Free cash flow is up 28% year-over-year, $2.97 billion over the trailing 12 months. And some people are starting to look at these beaten down software stocks as value plays and opportunities. They used to trade at premium multiples. Over the past 5 years, the median multiple for Workday stock is 41.2. That's adjusted earnings per share or the trailing 12 months past 5 years. Its current multiple is 20.62. If the company returned to that median multiple, it would be 100% upside from here. But you also have to keep in mind that the fair value is growing because the business is growing. Their earnings are growing. So at a certain point, a rerating upwards, think of it as it could be part of your margin of safety when you're investing. You don't want to be purely reliant on what the market thinks about your stock, how they choose to value it, but it can be a powerful margin of safety if you already believe that the actual earnings and fundamentals of the business are going to continue improving.
他们从高点下跌了62%,最近几周有所反弹。其中一部分原因是,有传言称Silverlake将对其进行收购,即私有化,类似于他们参与将Electronic Arts(EA)私有化的方式。因此,一些私募股权对这些受打击的软件股感兴趣。
They sold off 62% from their high and they have rebounded in recent weeks. Part of that was that there is rumors of an acquisition from Silverlake, a take private, similar to how they were involved in taking Electronic Arts, EA, private. So, there's some private equity interest in some of these beaten down software stocks.
原因就是我们之前一直在讨论的。它们是稳健的业务。基本面没有下滑。仍在增长。可靠的订阅收入产生真正的自由现金流。自由现金流同比增长28%,过去十二个月为29.7亿美元。
And the reason is what we've been talking about earlier. They're solid businesses. Their fundamentals haven't declined. It's still growing. Reliable subscription revenue generates real free cash flow. Free cash flow is up 28% year-over-year, $2.97 billion over the trailing 12 months.
一些人开始将这些受打击的软件股视为价值投资和机会。
And some people are starting to look at these beaten down software stocks as value plays and opportunities.
它们过去以溢价倍数交易。过去5年,Workday股票的中位数倍数为41.2。这是调整后的每股收益或过去5年的过去十二个月。当前倍数为20.62。如果公司回到那个中位数倍数,从这里将有100%的上涨空间。
They used to trade at premium multiples. Over the past 5 years, the median multiple for Workday stock is 41.2. That's adjusted earnings per share or the trailing 12 months past 5 years. Its current multiple is 20.62. If the company returned to that median multiple, it would be 100% upside from here.
但你还必须记住,公允价值在增长,因为业务在增长。盈利在增长。所以在某个时点,向上重新评级,可以把它视为你投资时安全边际的一部分。你不希望纯粹依赖市场对你的股票的看法,以及他们如何选择估值,但如果你已经相信公司的实际盈利和基本面将继续改善,它可以是一个强大的安全边际。
But you also have to keep in mind that the fair value is growing because the business is growing. Their earnings are growing. So at a certain point, a rerating upwards, think of it as it could be part of your margin of safety when you're investing. You don't want to be purely reliant on what the market thinks about your stock, how they choose to value it, but it can be a powerful margin of safety if you already believe that the actual earnings and fundamentals of the business are going to continue improving.
他说在等什么
他自己说在等的东西,一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次,我们不合并,也不判断它有没有兑现。
这个频道对 $WDAY 的历次判断
Dividend Data 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。