WYNN是一家基本面被误解的公司,值得买入;它在拉斯维加斯高端市场没有竞争,以94亿美元市值提供显著价值。
逐段跳播
这四只股票中的第四只是Win Resorts。如果你知道他们,我叫他们Winning Resorts。好的,Win Resorts。今天91美元。如果你了解我,我总告诉你们,低于100美元就是买入。
你越低于100,就越划算,对吧?这只股票过去一个月表现不佳,上涨了约9%。
Fourth of these four stocks is Win Resorts. If you know them, I call them winning Resorts. Okay, Win Resorts. $91 here today. If [clears throat] you know me, what I always tell you guys, under $100 is a buy for win. The further you can get under 100, the more it's like a steel deal, right? This stock's had a rough past month, up about 9%.
对于Win Resorts,这是一家独一无二的公司,就是赚钱。他们支付股息,而且未来有空间支付更大的股息。记住,Wind Resorts经历了一段艰难的时期,度假村被迫关闭,所以他们经历了你能想象的最残酷的三年之一,对吧?
他们的度假村,我住在拉斯维加斯。度假村被迫关闭。然后当他们终于被允许重新开放时,只是部分开放,对吧?在美国,这比澳门好。澳门基本上半关闭了大约三年。疯狂,对吧?所以你要明白,这对公司造成了很大的财务损失。
所以,在过去几年里,公司一直在从那次因为百年一遇的健康事件造成的财务损失中恢复,就是这样,对吧?就是这样。所以,那是过去的事了。现在,我们向前看。公司再次赚大钱了。而且他们的资产负债表也在变得更好。
And when it comes to Win Resorts, this is a company that is a oneofone freak company that just makes bank. They pay out dividends and they have a lot of room to pay a lot bigger dividends in the future. Now, keep in mind, Wind Resorts had a weird time period to work through a very we like the resorts were forced to be closed and so they had one of the most brutal, you know, kind of three-year runs you could have possibly imagined, right? Their resorts were for I live in Las Vegas. The resorts were forced to be closed. Then when they were finally allowed to open again, it was like partial open, right? And in the United States that was good compared to how Macau was. Macau was basically semi shutdown for like three years. Insane, right? So, you got to understand that that does a lot of financial damage to a company. And so, over the last like few years here, the company's just been kind of like climbing back from that financial damage that was caused the company because of a once in aundred-year health event that it was what it was, right? It just was what it was. And so, that's a thing of the past. Now, we're moving forward. The company's making great money again. And um they're now getting their balance sheet into a much better position as well.
对吧?所以他们有拉斯维加斯的物业,没有竞争,这是你必须了解的。你可以说有很多地方可以玩老虎机。很多地方可以玩二十一点。很多地方可以吃饭,对吧?但你要明白,只有你去过Win并且是更高净值的人,你才会真正明白,他们没有竞争。
我住在拉斯维加斯。如果我晚上出去,如果我带朋友或家人去,他们想去拉斯维加斯大道,我们会去Win和Encore。你们可能知道,因为我多年来在Win见过很多私人团体成员。你们总是打招呼。
所以如果你在拉斯维加斯见到我,我在大道上,你可能会在Win见到我,对吧?就像没有竞争。我要去Win。所以就是这样,对吧?所以在这个领域没有竞争。就像Win的客户不会说,哦,我要去Caesar's Palace玩。
不。什么?拜托。去Bellagio玩。什么?我们得回到1998年。你会去最好的地方。有最好的餐厅。有最好的俱乐部。有最有吸引力的人。就是这样,伙计。就是这样。这就是Win Resorts,这就是他们吸引的人,对吧?
Right? So they have their Vegas properties which there's no compet that's the thing you got to understand about this company. You can say there's a lot of places you can go play a slot machine. A lot of places you can go play blackjack. There's a lot of places you can go eat at restaurants, right? But the thing you got to understand, and you really only understand this if you've gone to the win and you're higher net worth, they have no competition. I live in Vegas. If I'm going out for the night, if I'm going to take friends or family to they they want to go down the strip, we're going to the win in Encore. And you guys probably know this because I've seen a lot of private group members over the years at the win. And you guys always say hi. So if you ever see me in Vegas and I'm on the strip, you're probably going to see me at the win, right? Like there's no competition. I'm going to I'm going to the win. And so like that just is what it is, right? And so there's no competition in regards to that space. Like somebody that's a win customer isn't gonna say, "Oh, I'm gonna go play at Caesar's Palace." No. What? Gh. Come on. Go play at the Bellagio. What is it? We got to go back in 1998. Like, you're going to go to the nicest place. It's got the best restaurants. It's got the best clubs. That's got the most attractive people. Like, it's just simple, man. That's just what it is. And that's what Win Resorts is, and that's who they attract, right?
然后他们在旧澳门有两个物业,对吧?然后他们在波士顿有一个运营的物业。我在那里住了几晚。波士顿物业的房间很漂亮,而且赌场楼层确实做生意。真的做生意。我会这么说。嗯,在Everett的位置有点奇怪,但实际上很漂亮。
他们有他们的Kotaai物业,这是我认为他们在澳门地区的皇冠明珠,Kotai大道物业。然后他们现在正在建一个中东物业。这是我对那个物业的最新照片。它应该明年2027年准备好,这对Windtock来说将非常令人兴奋。
Then they have their two properties in Old Macau, right? Then they have their Boston property that they operate. I stayed there for a few nights. beautiful room um at that Boston property and they actually the gaming floor does business man. It really does business. I'll say that. Um you know, a little bit of a weird location in there in Everett, but it's actually gorgeous. The they have their Kotaai property, which is their um their crown jewel in my opinion in terms of that Macau area, the Kotai strip property. And then they're building a Middle East property right now. This is the latest photo I have of that property. It's should be ready to rock and roll next year in 2027 which is going to be very exciting for Windtock.
所以这是我见过的最接近那种机会的东西。Win Resorts目前的总市值是94亿美元,对吧?所以想想你花90亿能得到什么公司。想象一下成本。我的意思是,你今天在拉斯维加斯建Win和Encore都花不了90亿。
我不认为能做到。我不是开玩笑,因为那个项目当时是在05年到08年左右建的,对吧?那些物业当时的成本大概在60亿左右,大概。如果你试图在同样的土地上复制那些物业,同样的规模,同样的奢华环境,我看不出现在能用90亿建那些物业,然后再加上澳门的老物业,加上他们建的Wind Palace,光是Wind Palace现在就是一个50到80亿的项目。
他们大约有40%的中东物业所有权,对吧?他们仍然运营那个物业。想想你得到的是什么公司。当然,还有债务,对吧?我们必须考虑进去。但即使你把债务和物业成本加起来,那也太疯狂了。
And so this is the closest thing I've seen to that sort of opportunity. And Win Resorts has an entire market capitalization of $9.4 billion as of right now, right? So think about what you're getting as a company for 9 billion. I mean, just imagine the cost. I mean, you couldn't even build the win and encore in Vegas today for $9 billion. I don't think it could be done. I'm not kidding because that project back in the day when those were properties were built around ' 05 08 somewhere in there, right? The the cost of those properties back then was like probably like around 6 billion, you know, ballpark. I don't you if you try to replicate those exact properties in that scale in that luxury of an environment on that piece of land there I don't see there being any way you could build those properties for 9 billion nowadays and then add on the old part of the the Macau properties add on the property they built uh the wind palace I mean wind palace alone that's like a that would be easily a5 to8 billion project nowadays they have about if I recall about 40% % ownership in the Middle East property, right? They still operate the prop. Like, think about what you're getting as a company. And of course, it comes with debt too, right? Which we got to factor in. But even when you add up the debt versus just property cost, it's insane.
更不用说当我们开始谈论Ebidol以及这家公司能产生多少现金流时。记住,像Win Resorts这样的公司,他们总有大量的折旧可以产生现金流。所以净利润看起来总是小得多。因此,你通常应该更多地用EBITDA(息税折旧摊销前利润)来估值像Win Resorts这样的公司,而不是其他公司,因为如果你知道我是如何估值大多数公司的,我看的是净利润,对吧?
而且我做市盈率分析,对于像Win Resorts这样的公司,因为他们每年会有数亿美元的折旧,对吧?而且在我看来,关于他们的物业,实际上并不会贬值。比如,如果Win要出售那些物业,那些物业的价值会比建造时高得多。
所以,我甚至可以说这些物业会随时间增值,但Win却能够计提巨额的折旧,这使得盈利能力看起来更小。这是件美妙的事情,真是美妙。
Never mind when we start talking about Ebidol and what this company throws off. And remember, a company like Win Resorts, they have incredible amounts of depreciation they always can throw off. So, the the net income always looks a lot smaller. So you want to usually value a company like Win Resorts much more on EBITDA earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization than other companies because you if you know how I kind of value most companies, I'm looking at net income, right? And I'm doing P ratios for a company like Win Resorts since it's such you know like they'll have depreciation of like hundreds of millions of dollars a year, right? That that's and the thing is about their properties in my opinion, they don't actually depreciate. Like if wind was gonna sell those properties off like those properties are worth a lot more than what they were when they were built. So if anything I make an argument that those properties appreciate over time but yet wind's able to take massive depreciation numbers which makes the profitability look smaller. It's a beautiful thing man. It's a beautiful thing.
所以我认为Win Resorts是一家从根本上被误解的公司。就像一家从根本上被误解的公司,而且这是一笔好交易,对吧?所以Win Resorts,那是买入。
So I I think Win Resorts is a fundamentally misunderstood company. Like a fundamentally misunderstood company and um it's a great deal. It's a great deal, right? And so Win Resorts, that's a buy.
这个频道对 $WYNN 的历次判断
Financial Education 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。