XLY 评级下调至轻微负面；若守住关键的 4 年支撑位，可能走向横盘企稳，而非立即上行。
逐段跳播
最后一个是非必需消费品板块，这是一个有意思的板块，因为它已经拐头。它此前是蓝色评级，即轻微正面。我将把它改为轻微负面，而不是表现落后。虽然这样做非常诱人，我稍后会在价格图上向你展示为什么我仍然为非必需消费品板块留有一点改善的空间。
And then the last one is consumer discretionary and that is an interesting one because it has hooked around. It was at a like a blue rating, like mildly positive. And I'm going to change it to a mildly negative, not an underperformer.
While it's very tempting to do that, and I'll show you on the price chart while I why I am still keeping a little bit of room for improvement for the consumer discretionary sector in a minute.
接下来是非必需消费品板块，我刚才告诉过你，我不想对这个板块完全转为负面。原因是它正停在一个相当重要的上升支撑位上。这是一条一年、两年、三年、几乎四年的长期趋势线，连接着多个重要低点，而我们正处在该水平上。
所以如果我们守住这里，如果XLY守住这个水平并开始回升，它不会一下子变成上升趋势，但会减缓下跌。如果这种情况发生，你也可以看到这里相对强度正停在前一个低点，而你知道，动量在100以上但已经回落。
所以这有点不确定。我想给它一个疑点利益。如果它守住、小幅上行，并导致RS线守住这个低点，这可能会让非必需消费品板块进入更横盘的走势，你知道，随着时间推移略有改善。但也很有可能我们正在看到这段相对下跌趋势的结束。
不确定。但价格守在这条主要支撑线上方这一事实，我认为给了XLY疑点利益。
And then we have consumer discretionary which I just told you that I didn't want to go completely negative on this one. And the reason is that it is resting at a pretty important rising support level.
This is a one two three almost fouryear long trend line with serious lows all connecting and we're right at that level. So if we hold here, if XLY holds this level and starts to move back up, it's not all of a sudden going to be an uptrend, but it's going to slow down the decline.
And if that happens, and you see also here that relative strength is resting at that previous low and the, you know, momentum is above 100 but rolled over. So it's kind of uncertain.
And I want to give this the benefit of the doubt. If this holds, ticks up and that causes the RS line to hold this low here, this might move into a more sideways move for consumer discretionary and you know over time a little bit of improvement.
But it may well be the case that we've we are seeing the end of this relative downtrend here. Not sure. But the fact that we're holding up above this major support line in price, I think gives XLY the benefit of the doubt.
观察点
这个频道对 $XLY 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。