XME近期低点是多时间框架的周期底部;预计价格将在一年内重新测试135.68。
逐段跳播
这条视频里关于 $XME 说的每一段,按说话顺序排列。点任意一行,上面的视频跳到那一刻。
所以,在本视频中,我们的分析师 Katie 将作为投资者聚焦的一部分,研究 XME 的较长周期。
So, in this video, we'll have our analyst Katie look at the longer time frame in the XME as part of the investor up spotlight.
这是 Spiders 金属和矿业 ETF,股票代码为 XME。在底部,我们有一个周期括号,显示平均周期长度为 16 根 K 线。这些周期括号是一种绘图工具,显示理想周期,实际周期谷底由这些垂直虚线显示,你可以将其与理想周期括号进行比较,以了解周期的一致性。
在这个最近的理想周期谷底周围,我们有这些蓝色垂直虚线。这些代表我们预期最新周期形成谷底并开始进入新周期上升阶段的时间段。如你所见,这可能发生在上个月。那将使我们距离周期低点一个月。
但我们仍在时间窗口内,这是一个风险期。我们的反转侦察兵,这个绿色和紫色带,尚未恢复为正,以帮助我们确认那个谷底。然而,下一个周线周期要到 2 月才到期,那会相当晚。这就是为什么我们认为上个月的低点可能是同步的长期、中期和短期低点。
It's the Spider Metals and Mining ETF, ticker symbol XME. On the bottom, we have a cycle brackets showing an average cycle length of 16 bars. These cycle brackets are a drawing tool showing ideal cycles where the actual cycle troughs formed is shown by these vertical dotted lines which you can then compare to the ideal cycle brackets to get a sense of the consistency of the cycles. Around this most recent ideal cycle trough, we have these blue vertical dashed lines. These represent a period of time when we expect the latest cycle to form a trough and for price to begin moving up in the rising phase of the new cycle. As you can see, that may have happened last month. That would put us one month off the cycle low. But we are still inside the timing window, which is a period of risk. And our reversal scout, this green and purple ribbon, has not yet returned to positive to help us confirm that trough. However, the next weekly cycle isn't due to trough until February, which would be way out here quite late. So that is why we believe this low last month may have been the synced long-term, intermediate term, and short-term low.
现在,这当然是一个长期图表。因此,我们对未来一年的预测是至少重新测试 13568 的高点。我们有一些更高的扩展位,大约在 141 和 152。
Now, this is a long-term chart, of course. So, our projection over the course of the next year would be for at least a retest of this high at 13568. We do have some extension levels higher than that at about 141 and 152.
在这个时间框架中,我们有 32 根 K 线的平均周期长度。我们距离之前的周期谷底已经 4 周,那个谷底与月线图同步。所以,在 4 周内,我们已经到达了这个阻力区的顶部。在这个时间框架中,反转侦察兵的动量已恢复为正。
我们的下一个上行水平是 78.6% 斐波那契位,大约在 127,然后是之前的周期高点 13568。
In this time frame, we have a 32 bar average cycle length. We're uh 4 weeks off the prior cycle trough, which was the one that synced with the monthly chart. So, in 4 weeks, we've made it to the top of this resistance zone. Uh momentum has returned to positive on the reversal scout in this time frame. Our next levels up are the 78.6% 6% fib at about 127 and then that prior cycle high again at 13568.
这里就是那个与中期和长期低点同步的谷底。这是我们的反转侦察兵转正,给了我们早期预警。然后精简带逐渐从负转为中性再转为正。它根据动量条件将我们的 K 线着色为红色、绿色或灰色。这个时间框架的平均周期长度是 42 根 K 线。
这个周期预计在 9 月下半月见底。因此,对于入场,你可以将其保留在雷达上,等待那个谷底形成。你也可以观察下方的精简带 PO,寻找动量延续信号。上一次是在 8 月 19 日,你可以看到它给了我们一个牛市旗形,然后再次上涨。
Right here is that uh trough that synced up with both the intermediate and long-term lows. Here was our reversal scout turning positive, giving us an early warning. And then the slim ribbon gradually improved from negative to neutral to positive. It colors our candles red, green or gray depending on momentum conditions. The average cycle length in this time frame is 42 bars. We have this cycle due to trough out in the latter half of September. So for an entry, you could keep this on your radar and wait until that trough forms. You could also watch the slim ribbon PO down here for a momentum continuation signal. The last one was right here uh back on August 19th and you can see it had uh given us a bull flag and then up again.
这里是 XME。
Here's XME right here.
他说在等什么
他自己说在等的东西,一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次,我们不合并,也不判断它有没有兑现。
这个频道对 $XME 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。