Zscaler因技术面强劲及机构活动,不适合波段交易,但适合长期持有。
逐段跳播
我们会看看Z Skiller这家公司,因为这个位置很有意思。它非常契合网络安全这个领域。ZSkiller就是那种想要弄清楚情况的公司之一,正如他们的程序所说:“好,你来了。很好。
你有权限待在这里吗?哦,你有吗?太好了。”然后另一个程序说:“哦,好,你有权限待在这里。很好。你打算做什么?我不确定我是否想让你做这件事。”所以确实有一整套安全防护,而Z Skiller大致就处在其中间位置。
We will take a look at the company " Z Skiller" because this position is interesting here. This fits perfectly with the field of cybersecurity. ZSkiller is one of those companies that wants to know, as their program says: "Okay, you're here.
Good. Do you have permission to be here? Oh, do you? Great." Then another program says: "Oh, okay, you got permission to be here. Good. What are you going to do? I'm not sure if I want you to do it or not."
So there really is a package of security, and "Z Skiller" is kind of in the middle of it.
我们在这只股票上涨时交易它,最终在接近顶部的位置平仓,但它完全跌了下来,并形成了一个相当不错的倒头肩形态,算是吧。
we were trading this stock as it rose and finally closed it near the top, but it dropped completely and formed a fairly good inverted head and shoulders pattern . somewhat.
它更像是一个“双底”形态,而到了某个时候你必须摆脱那些标签,比如:“哦,那是旗形突破形态。”或者这是“三重袋熊”形态之类的。你只需要看着它说:“各位,我们是在往下走吗?我们是在触底吗?
我们是在派发阶段吗?我们是在往上走吗?价格到底发生了什么?”
It's more like a " double bottom" pattern, and at some point you have to move away from labels like: "Oh, that's a flap burst pattern." Or this is the " triple wombat" pattern or something like that .
You just have to look at it and say, " Guys, are we heading down? Are we hitting the bottom? Are we in a distribution phase? Are we heading up? What's happening to the price?"
至于Zscaler,我可以说:“嗯,这里算是一个头肩形态。”但我要把头部放在哪里呢?所以我把头部放在这里,然后这是肩部,然后这是另一个肩部,而这是颈线。所以,你得到这样一条线。
我该换个方式画吗?这就是我的看法。这是一个非常简单的方法。
As for Zscaler, I can say, "Well, that's kind of a head and shoulders model here." But where will I put the head? So I have the head here, then this is the shoulder, then this is the other shoulder, and this is the neckline.
So, you got a line like this. Should I do it differently? This is how I see it . It's a very simple method.
你看到这个120区域了吗?它已经被测试了两次。我来过这里好几次,但我不在乎。一次在这里,一次在这里。因此,它已经被测试了两次。它在中间这里上涨。好,那就是峰值,190。嗯,你一个多月都没能突破它。
最终,我在两周前强力突破了它。这就完成了,然后你会注意到这里的移动平均线交叉。好吗?所以这就完成了反映。这就完成了趋势反转,天哪,这一路真是疯狂。从底部到顶部,这里的涨幅是60%。
Do you see this 120 area? It has been tested twice. I've been here several times, but I don't care. Once here, and once here. Therefore, it has been tested twice. It rises here in the middle.
Okay , that's the peak, 190. Well, you couldn't break through it for over a month . Finally, I broke through it forcefully two weeks ago. This is complete, and then you will notice the moving average crossover here.
Good? So this completes the reflection. This completes the trend reversal, and man, it's been a wild ride. From bottom to top, here the percentage was 60%.
我的意思是,我们可以把它拆解成几个部分,说:“好,这里就是倒头肩形态。”我不会那样做。我只想让我们现在在这个非常艰难的市场里赚点钱。因此,我想这样来看它。这是一次大规模的抛售。
这里有很多波动。很多事情正在发生。但最终我们得到了这个可交易的区间,大约在190到170或165之间,最终它在周五突破了。非常糟糕的一天。嗯,它当时下跌了10%,然后今天,当许多其他股票也下跌的时候。
I mean, we could break this down into fractions and say, "Okay, that's the inverted head and shoulders pattern here ." I will not do that. I just want us to make some money now in a very difficult market .
Therefore, I want to look at it this way. This was a massive sell-off. There are a lot of fluctuations here. A lot of things are happening . But finally we got this tradable range here between 190 and 170 or 165 approximately, and finally it broke through on Friday.
A very bad day . Well, it dropped by 10% then today when many of these other stocks also dropped.
但最终,它的收盘价高于开盘价。但在这里,这是一个非常明确的迹象。这是从20这个水平非常漂亮的反弹。所以如果你想买入这只股票,这就是我会怎么交易它。如果你在认真寻找一笔交易,一笔短线日内交易,那么你在这里买入。
把你的止损单放在这里,低于当天的最低点。这是6%的风险。这不是世界上最好的交易,因为你必须假设这只股票最多会回到这里,至少会磕磕绊绊。至少它会在这个最后的顶峰遇到一个障碍。那这能给你带来什么?
8.5%?所以你冒着6%的风险去赚8.5%?这不是一个良好的风险与回报平衡。
But in the end, it closed higher than the opening price. But here, this is a very clear indication of that. This is a really nice bounce off the 20 level. So if you're looking to buy this stock, this is how I would trade it.
If you are seriously looking for a trading deal, a short-term day trade , then you buy it here. Place your stop loss here, below the lowest level of the day . This is a 6% risk.
It's not the best deal in the world because you have to assume the stock will come back here at most and stumble at least. At least he will face an obstacle here at this final summit .
And what does that give you ? 8.5 percent? So you risk 6% to earn 8.5%? This is not a good balance between risk and return.
所以在这种情况下,你会转向日内交易,说:“好,我们需要稍微换个做法。”让我们看看30分钟、60分钟、一小时,然后是日线图。那么,我到底该把止损单放在哪里?然后你会得出结论——我现在不会教你如何做日内交易。
但你会得出一个更紧的止损点,而不是等价格完全回落到这里,因为想一想。假设你明天要买入这只股票,并且要把止损单放在下面底部那里。嗯,明天到了。你真的需要箭头到达这个点吗?我会把它说得非常现实。
好。你真的需要股票一路跌到这里,才知道这笔交易不奏效吗?我的答案是:不,你不需要那样。所以,你可能会在这里下一个止损单。你可能会把它放在顶部某个位置,但底线是,如果你是把这只股票当作便宜货来买,当作波段交易,你需要一个止损点,而不是最底部那个。因为这个原因,我不推荐这只股票做波段交易。
So in this case, you would move on to day trading and say, "Okay, we need to do this a little differently." Let's take a look at the 30-minute, 60-minute, one-hour, and then the daily planner.
So, where exactly do I place my stop-loss order? And then you will come to the conclusion - I will not teach you how to day trade now. But you will arrive at a tighter stop-loss point rather than waiting for the price to fully pull back down here , because think about it.
Let's say you're going to buy this stock tomorrow and you're going to put your stop-loss order down there at the bottom. Well , tomorrow has come. Do you really need the arrow to reach this point ?
I'm going to make it very realistic. Good. Do you really need the stock to fall all the way down here to know that this deal is not working? My answer is: No, you don't need that.
So, you might place a stop-loss order here. You might put it somewhere at the top, but the bottom line is if you're buying this stock as a bargain , as a swing trade, you need a stop-loss point other than the one at the very bottom .
For this reason, I do not recommend this stock for swing trading.
然而,如果你是想买入这只股票并持有一段时间,我认为这是正确的入场位置,因为再次强调,它有很多积极因素。它的50日和200日移动平均线有很好的交叉。它在这里有一个很好的形态。你可以看到机构的入场。
看看这里的成交量。活动肯定增加了。当你看到这种活动增加时,那是好事,但接着你必须看价格,说:“好,所有这些增加的活动,这只股票到底发生了什么?”嗯,看这个,我们这里有一个大的上升趋势,伴随着一个巨量交易日。
这到底是什么?天哪,这是一个大跌日。嗯,那是昨天,或者实际上是周五,但今天,我们得到了一个反方向的平均成交量。所以,这只股票正在吸收周五发生的大规模抛售。
However, if you are looking to buy this stock and hold it for a while, I think this is the right place to go, because again, it has a lot of positive factors. It has a good crossover of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
He has a great model here. You can see the entry of institutions. Look at the trading volume here. There is definitely increased activity. When you see this increased activity, that's good, but then you have to look at the price and say, " Okay, all this increased activity, what's happening to the stock?"
Well, looking at that, we have a big uptrend here, with a large-volume trading day. What the hell is this? Oh my God, it's a big landing day . Well, that was yesterday, or actually Friday, but today, we got an average trading volume in the opposite direction.
So, this stock is absorbing the large sell-off that occurred on Friday.
所以,结论如下。我认为这是一只你现在可以买入的股票,但我不推荐它做波段交易。我只会把它看作一个长期投资标的,好吗?
So, the conclusion is as follows. I think this is a stock you can buy now, but I wouldn't recommend it for a swing trade. I'll only look at it as a long-term investment center, okay?
这个频道对 $ZS 的历次判断
Stock Market Mentor 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。