波音。从布林带顶部一路直线下跌到底部，穿过控制点，有大量的抛售。这些是我在股票中寻找的移动类型，当我们看到这种大幅上涨，我们看到下跌，我们将得到反弹。我们已经突破了枢轴点。这里有看涨玩法的潜力。
Boeing. Tons and tons of selling all the way from the top of the bowlinger just straight down to the bottom of it past the point of control. Uh these are the types of moves I look for in stocks when we we see this large move to the upside, we see a move to the downside, and we're going to get a bounce. We've blown past the pivot. There's potential here for a bullish play.
我们将在这里查看BA，我们将看看波音，因为我们之前看过图表，我向你展示了我认为它处于布林带底部。稍等一下。我向你展示了我认为它处于其通道顶部或底部的事实。
We'll go through uh BA here and we'll we'll take a look at Boeing because we looked at the chart before and I showed you how uh I thought it was at the bottom of its bowlinger band. Hang on one second. I showed you uh the the fact that I thought it was on the top at the bottom of its channel.
这是Mumu在绘制的图表。Mumu是一个很酷的平台，有一些很棒的功能。你可以看到它自动绘制了这个，不是我手动添加的。
This is something that Mumu is charting. Mumu is a cool platform. It's got some really awesome things. So, you can see that it is automatically charting this on here. I did not put this on.
所以，我们有盈利显示，然后有一个小红箭头，我可以点击它，它说喇叭顶部。所以，它始于8月24日。
So, we've got earnings showing and then there's this little red arrow and and I can just click on this and it says megaphone top. So, it started August 24th.
然后有一个小红箭头，我可以点击它，它显示“扩音器顶部”。该模式是看跌的，概率为50%，支撑位在207，阻力位在214。
And then there's this little red arrow and and I can just click on this and it says megaphone top. The pattern is bearish, probability is 50%, the support is at 207 and the resistance is at 214.
这是一个看跌形态，表明我们可能会触及支撑位。这个指标是昨天才出现的，支撑位显示在207。信不信由你，这会不会继续下跌？
So, this is a bearish pattern and uh and it's showing that we could hit support. I mean this just started when yesterday I guess this little indicator came out. Um and support showing at 207. So take it as you will. Like is this going to continue down?
我们来做一个交易，模拟一个能在波音上赚钱的交易。今天上涨了，我们要做同样的事情，这将是围绕207的潜在看跌交易。
Let's do a little trade. Let's do a little modeling of trade that could could make some money on Boeing. So we're up today. We're going to do the exact same thing. This is going to be a a potentially bearish trade around that 207.
我可以以110美元买入，或者卖出207，我可以卖出3天到期的20750认沽期权，收取111美元。如果我买入一周后到期的相同认沽期权，这是日历价差。我们看看会发生什么。这是203到212的盈亏平衡点。
我有明确的最大亏损，这个交易有正theta，盈利概率为50%。
So I can get that uh for $110. I can buy a 207 or I can sell rather. I can collect $111 by selling the 3-day to expiration uh uh 20750 put. Well, if I was to buy that same put a week out, uh this is a calendar spread. We're looking at what happens here. This is a 203 to 212 break even. I have a defined max loss. I have positive theta on this trade and uh I have a probability of profit of making of 50%.
这是理想的交易类型，因为如果价格跌至207，这个交易虽然成本144美元，但未来3天可能盈利170美元。
This is what these are ideal types of trades because if it does drop down to that 207 mark, this trade, although it costs $144, could make a profit of $170 over the next 3 days.
这可能会使我愿意承担的风险翻倍。现在，我再次展示了如何调整这些。如果我想更看跌，我只需多花一点钱，卖出207，买入210。
This could double the amount that I am willing to risk towards this trade. Now, again, I showed you how I might adjust these. So, if I wanted to have a more bearish tilt, all I would do is I would spend a little bit more money on this. I would sell the 207. I'd buy the 210.
如果BA在未来几天继续下跌，这将给我带来无限或几乎无限的下跌利润。轻微正theta，这很好。我们可以看到，theta评级为15美元，但它是负delta。最大亏损243，最大盈利215。
This would give me unlimited uh profit, mostly unlimited profit to the downside if BA just continued to drop over the next couple of days. Slightly positive theta, which is good. We can see that here. Uh we've got theta rating of $15. We've got but it's short delta. Uh max loss is 243, max profit is 215.
通常我会开始添加不同类型的东西。比如，如果我买入210，同时买入205，然后回到模拟器，增加合约数量。
Now, usually what I do is I start to just add different different types of things on here. So, if say I buy the the 210, what if I was to also buy the 205 and then if I was to go back to the simulator here and I was going to increase the number of contracts.
这就是我喜欢玩的地方，看看我能把事情弄得多复杂。这个最大亏损333，最大盈利372美元，盈利概率50%，正theta衰减，峰值在307附近。
And this is where I just love to play and see how complex I can make things. So, this has a max uh max loss of 333, a max profit of uh $372. It's got a 50% probability of profit. It's got positive theta decay. has the peak around the 307.
实际上，我知道我会拿回一些钱，除非股票自动发生什么，股价直线飙升，这可能是因为明天可能宣布加息，这对股票是看涨信号，可能推动市场上涨。我们明天可能根本看不到那个。
And really what's happening is um I know I'll get some of my money back unless the stock just automatically something happens and the stock just goes screaming upwards which could I mean we could see a we could see a rate uh rate hike announcement tomorrow which would be a bullish signal for stocks and that could just like shoot the market up. Well, we may not see that at all tomorrow.
所以，如果我在寻找看跌头寸，我可能会设置这样的头寸，在周末前保持轻微看跌。这样的好处是容易扩展。虽然我只展示300美元，但我可以做5份合约，那就是1500美元。然后会有更大的theta衰减和更大的潜力，我可以轻松扩展。这就是为什么我一直展示这么小的交易。
So BA, if I was looking for a bearish position, I would probably be setting up something like this where I have this slightly uh bearish position leading into the weekend. The nice thing about something like this is it's easily scalable. So although I'm only showing you this is $300, I could do five contracts of this. This would be $1,500. Then it would have bigger theta decay uh bigger potential and I could and I could uh scale it easily. That's why I show such small trades all the time.
我们看了一个关于波音的看跌交易想法。
We looked at a bearish trade idea on Boeing.