Dividendology 对 $DIVO 的判断变化
第三,我们有 Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF,股票代码 DIV O,其过去 12 个月的收益率约为 6.12%,但实际上,前瞻性收益率甚至更高,我稍后会解释原因。
And third, we have the Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF, stock ticker DIV O, which has a trailing 12-month yield of about 6.12%, but in reality, the forward-looking yield is even higher, and I'll explain why that's the case here in just a moment.
现在,重要的是我们要了解我们正在看的是什么类型的 ETF。我们正在看的是期权收益 ETF。我想非常明确地指出,市面上有很多糟糕的期权收益 ETF,很多风险高且收益率不可持续的。
这不是那些 ETF 之一。这只 ETF 非常不同,因为它的结构旨在创造非常可持续的收入,这是基金经理非常有意为之的。因此,股息不仅可持续,而且表现也非常强劲。事实上,看看过去一年的表现。
尽管它的收益率约为 6% 到 7%,但在总回报基础上略微跑赢了标普 500 指数。即使我们把时间拉长到过去 5 年,它实际上在总回报基础上也跑赢了标普 500 指数。对于期权收益策略来说,这是极其罕见的。
Now, it's important we understand what type of ETF we're looking at here. We're looking at an option income ETF. And I want to be abundantly clear. There's a lot of bad option income ETFs out there. A lot of risky ones with very unsustainable yields. This is not one of those ETFs. This one is very different because it's structured in a way to create very sustainable income. And this is very intentional by the fund managers. And as a result, the dividend is not just sustainable, the performance has been very strong as well. In fact, take a look at the performance over the last year. Despite the fact it's yielding around 6 to 7%, it's slightly outperformed the S&P 500 on a total return basis. Even if we zoom out over the last 5 years, again, it's actually outperformed the S&P 500 on a total return basis. That's extremely rare for an option income strategy.
如果我们仔细看一下这里的概览,我们可以看到有两个潜在的收入来源。DIVO 寻求从支付股息的股票中获取收入,并通过机会主义地对这些股票卖出备兑看涨期权来获取收入。因此,他们通过两种方式产生收入。
他们从实际持有的底层资产中产生收入,而不仅仅是从对底层资产卖出期权中产生收入。当他们确实卖出这些期权时,他们是机会主义地进行的。这一点很重要,因为它有助于不完全限制上行空间。
Well, if we take a close look at the overview over here, we can see there's two potential income streams. DIVO seeks income from dividend-paying stocks and by opportunistically writing covered calls on those stocks. So, they're generating income in two ways. They're generating income from the actual underlying holdings, not just from writing options on the underlying holdings. And when they do write those options, they do it opportunistically. That's important because it means it helps not completely cap the upside.
如果我们放大来看,你会看到 DIVO,D I V O 就在这里。现在,如果我们一直滚动过去,这里是我们需要密切关注的地方。他们通常有大约 50% 的投资组合期权覆盖率。这一点非常重要,需要理解,为什么?
如果你看看大多数这类期权收益 ETF,通常你会看到 100% 的投资组合期权覆盖率。绝大多数都在利用接近 100% 的投资组合期权覆盖率。为什么这如此重要?如果你看一下指南,滚动过去,你能看到什么?
这是 ETF 底层投资组合中被卖出看涨期权覆盖的百分比。例如,50% 的覆盖率意味着只有一半的投资组合有卖出看涨期权。记住,当基金使用备兑看涨期权时,它自然会限制上行空间。所以,如果你对 100% 的投资组合卖出备兑看涨期权,上行空间会受到显著限制,这意味着通常不会攀升得更高,至少从资产净值的角度来看是这样。
有些人可能会争辩说这没关系,我只关心分配。但这里的问题是,如果资产净值继续走低,那么随着时间的推移,分配也会开始降低。但是,当我们有一只像 Amplify 的 DIVO 这样的基金,只使用 50% 的投资组合期权覆盖率,结果是我们的资产净值不断增加。
And if we zoom in, you'll see DIVO, D I V O right here. Now, if we scroll all the way over, here's what we need to pay close attention to. They typically have portfolio options coverage of around 50%. Now, this is incredibly important to understand because why? Well, if you look at most of these option income ETFs, typically you see 100% portfolio options coverage. The vast majority are utilizing close to 100% portfolio options coverage. Why is that so important? Well, if you look at the guide, scroll over, what can you see? This is the percentage of the ETF's underlying portfolio that is overwritten or covered with call options. For example, 50% coverage means only half the portfolio has calls written against it. Now, remember when a fund is using covered calls, what it naturally does is it caps the upside. So, if you're writing covered calls on 100% of the portfolio, the upside is significantly limited, which means typically doesn't climb higher, at least from a net asset value perspective. Now, some people would argue that's okay, I only care about the distributions. But here's the issue with this. If the net asset value continues to climb lower, then the distributions start to go lower as well over time. But when we have a fund like DIVO from Amplify who only uses 50% portfolio options coverage, the result is we get an increasing net asset value.
看看这个结果。如果我们跳到股息明细表,看看股息支付,让我们看看 DIVO。你可以看到分配随着时间的推移而增长,偶尔在年底,我们会看到一次大规模的分配。为什么这在基金历史上发生过两次?
你必须明白,为了获得他们想要的税收地位,通常在年底,如果基金表现非常好并且看到了大量资本收益,他们必须进行更大的分配以获得最优的税收地位。所以,通常当你看到年底的大规模分配时,这意味着基金从资本增值的角度来看表现非常好。
这也是为什么如果你看这些期权收益 ETF 的股价,偶尔你会看到一个相对较大的下跌,这不是典型的。就像这里。这是他们进行那次大规模分配的时候。记住,这是从资产净值中支付的。
And look at the result of this. If we jump over to our dividend breakdown sheet and look at the dividend payments, let's take a look at DIVO. What you can see is distributions grow over time with occasionally at the end of the year, we'll see a massive distribution. Why has this happened two times in the fund's history? Well, you have to understand to get the tax status that they want, typically at the end of the year, if the fund has done really well and seen a lot of capital gains, they have to make a larger distribution to get optimal tax status. So, typically when you see a massive distribution at the end of the year, that means the fund from a capital appreciation standpoint has done really well. It's also the reason if you look at the share price for these option income ETFs, occasionally you'll see a relatively large drop that's not typical. Like right here. This is when they made that large distribution. Remember, it's paid out of the net asset value.