Verified Investing 对 $EVER 的判断变化

频道资料 →本频道有 2 位标注的说话人:Nancy Pelosi、Wells Fargo共 1 条
2026-09-24
《Strait of Hormuz News Triggers Intra Day Market Reversal》
对EVER而言,技术分析(枢轴点/通道)比基本面催化剂(纳入标普500指数)更可靠,价格走势遵循技术位。

如你所见,这里我们有 EverRise,它今天出现了巨大上涨。9 月 22 日,这些股票被纳入标普 500 指数。所以,我们看到交易所交易基金(ETF)和其他对冲基金争相买入 P 股票,把它们从顶部推入这个平行通道。

我向你展示的这个通道,自 2023 年 5 月以来一直使价格稳定在该水平。价格在 2025 年 11 月涨到这里的峰值,随后下跌,在平行通道的 50% 区域找到集体支撑,然后在图表上向上启动。

有趣的是,当价格突破这个平行通道时,价格走势收在枢轴峰值趋势线与下一组枢轴峰值相连的这一点上。看看价格收在该水平正上方有多从容。但我该在哪里画趋势线,以确定价格通往这里峰值点的路径呢?

我的做法是寻找图表上出现的其他重要枢轴点,如这里所示,从一个枢轴峰值到另一个枢轴峰值。只需遵循这些步骤。然后,各位,突然之间,它就在这里了!我承认,今天早上看到这波急剧上涨时,我并没有做这笔交易,而且在该股被纳入标普 500 的情况下,我说:“市场正承受压力。

这是一波急剧上涨。现在让它涨吧。它上涨可能是有原因的,但最终,回头看,技术分析才是赢家。”正如我们能清楚看到的,从一个参照点到另一个参照点遭到拒绝。这就是图表上技术分析的美妙之处。

Here we have, as you can see, EverRise, which has seen a huge rise today. On September 22nd , these stocks were included in the S&P 500 index. So, we saw a rush from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other hedge funds to buy P stocks , pushing them up from the top into this parallel channel.

This channel, which I have shown you, has kept the price stable at this level since May 2023. The price rose to its peak here in November 2025, then fell, finding collective support at the 50% area of the parallel channel before launching upwards on the charts.

Interestingly, the price action closed at this point where the pivot peak trend line connected with the next set of pivot peaks when the price broke through this parallel channel.

And look how comfortably the price closed just above that level . But where do I draw the trend line to determine the price path towards the peaks here? Well, what I do is look for other important pivot points that occurred on the graph, as shown here, from one pivot peak to another.

Simply follow these steps. Then suddenly, guys, here it is! I will admit , I did not make this trade this morning when I saw this sharp rise, and with the stock being included in the S&P 500, I said: "The markets are under pressure.

This is a sharp rise. Let it rise now. There may be a reason for it to rise, but in the end, looking back, technical analysis was the winner." As we can clearly see, rejection from one point of reference to another.

This is the beauty of technical analysis on charts.