ElliottWaveTrader 对 $GDX 的判断变化
这个频道在这只股票上的每一条判断，按时间倒序，每一步都读完那条视频里关于这只股票的全部内容。相邻两条方向不同的地方标出方向翻转。
这是更大级别的GDX。我的意思是，目前显然有足够的波浪形态，可以认为它已经以五浪结构见顶。现在，这个五浪结构能否成为这个替代B浪的C浪？绝对可以，而且可能指引我们下行。但我必须告诉你，这是可能的，只是我认为可能性不大，因为要成为五浪C浪，你必须将此视为A浪底部，然后是一个A浪、非常不寻常的B浪，然后是C浪上涨？
我的意思是，你知道，我们偶尔会看到扩张平台形，但我必须告诉你，这一个将是非常不寻常的。因此，我将其视为第五浪的第一浪。是的，信不信由你，我们可能会看到深度第二浪，因为有相当多的个股强烈暗示它们会创出新低。
我认为GDX不一定强烈暗示这一点。如我所说，你可能会看到深度第二浪，但我不认为它强烈暗示任何超过深度第二浪的东西。
This is GDX on the bigger degree. I mean clearly we have more than enough waves in place right now for this to have considered topped in a five-wave structure. Now, can that five-wave structure be a C wave of this alt B wave? Absolutely and it could and point us down it. But I got to tell you it's possible. Just don't think it's probable because in order for this to be a five-wave C wave you have to view this as the A wave bottom here, then you have an A, very unusual B wave and then a C wave rally? I mean, you [snorts] know, we see expanded flats, you know, every now and then. But I got to tell you this one would be extraordinarily unusual. For that reason I'm I'm viewing this as wave one of wave five. We Yes, we could see a deep wave two believe it or not because there are quite a number of individual mining stocks that are strongly suggestive of those in lower lows. Um, I don't think GDX is necessarily um, strongly suggestive of that. Like I said, you could see a deep wave two but I I'm I'm not strongly indicative um, of uh, I don't think it's strongly indicative of of a uh, of anything more than just a deep wave two.
好的？但我实际上卖出了比最初打算更多的个股，原因有两个。第一，其中许多股票上涨了50%或更多。第二，深度第二浪的可能性。因此，我减轻了仓位，为其他持仓增加了一些保护性看跌期权。
这还能再涨一点吗？当然可以。但说实话，这看起来确实相当完整。1 2 3 4 5。这看起来相当完整，是一个五浪结构。
Okay? But there are two reasons that I actually sold a lot more of the individual stocks than I was intending initially. First, so many of them had 50% rallies or more. And second, the potential of a deep wave two. So for that I have lightened my load, added some some uh, some um, some uh, protective puts for the other stuff. Uh, can this still push a little higher? Of course it can. But to be honest, this is really looking quite complete. 1 2 3 4 5. This is looking quite complete here uh, for a five-wave structure ball.
小级别。看起来是五浪，但我必须告诉你，我们还没有跌破任何支撑位。我想跌破236回撤位。你知道吗？实际上，由于深度第二浪的可能性，我会看得更低。但现在，你必须跌破236，然后我会观察走势如何发展。
Small degree. It looks like five waves, but I got to tell you we haven't broken any support. I'd like to get below the 236 retracement here. You know what? I'm actually going to go lower on this because of the potential for a deep wave two. But right now, you got to break down below the 236 and then I'm going to be looking to see how this develops.
好的？我们可能会得到深度第二浪。要知道这一点。我们可能会。我不会忽视这一点，因为有许多股票，个股看起来可能会创出新低，那可能会拖累GDX进一步下跌。
Okay? We can get a deep wave two. Just realize that. We can. I'm not going to disregard that because there are a number of stocks, individual stocks that would look like they could get lower lows and that could pull GDX down a little further.