Steve Miller 对 $HTGC 的判断变化
这个频道在这只股票上的每一条判断，按时间倒序，每一步都读完那条视频里关于这只股票的全部内容。相邻两条方向不同的地方标出方向翻转。
我们来看HTGC，这只股票之前已经讨论过几次了。在周K线上，目前正处于一个上升阶段，价格从9.28涨到了大约11.9。
Uh let's go ahead and jump over to HTGC. We've had this one a few times. On uh on the weekly bar, rising phase that's going on here. In 928 to about 11 9.
坦率地说，它表现得相当稳健。你可以画出你的区域。真正重要的只有那个78.6（斐波那契回撤位）。17.70是摆动低点，所以你要尽可能对齐这些位置。
It's holding up, you know, just fine, frankly. You can draw on your areas. Only thing that really is going to matter is that 78.6, really. 1770 is the swing low, so you try to align as best you can.
这里有78.6（回撤位），可以看到我就是在那里画的线。是的，这对应的是17.97。
You got the 78.6. You can see that's where I just really drew it to. Yeah, so that's at uh 1797.
9.28到11.9，这是一个短期的上升阶段，走势非常强劲。看看这个旗形整理，它回到了200日均线那里。这很有意思。
928 11 9, short-term rising phase, really strong action. Look at the flag back to that uh back to that 200 SMA. That's interesting.
想想看，对吧？看看那张图。至少在我的时间框架内，我的目光第一时间就落在了这里，因为机会就是从这儿来的。回到那些指数移动平均线，守住21日均线，守住200日均线，你知道，这相当重要。
Think about it, right? Look at that chart right there. This is where, you know, at least my eyes went right away in terms of where the where that opportunity came from, at least from you know, my own time frame, right here. Move back to those EMAs, holding the 21 SMA, holding the 200 SMA, you know, pretty important.
然后你会在17附近开始清理障碍。你知道，这样你就有了一个清晰的结构化止损点，对吧？
And then you start to clear right around 17. You know, and you have a clear structural stop, right?
思考一下你将如何构建你的风险，对吧？最重要的是，你在哪里会出错，对吧？那就是你的风险所在。那是我用红色标出的风险。我就把它标成红色，这样你能看清楚。那就是你的风险。
Think about how you're going to structure your risk, right? Most important, where are you wrong, right? So that's your risk right there. That's your risk in red. I'm just going to put that in red so you can see it. That's your risk.
显然，这是最坏的情况，但你知道，你承担的风险大约是0.46美元。而在这个趋势交易中，你已经获利大约0.72美元。
Obviously, worst case, but you know, you're risking right about 46 cents. And you know, you're up about 72 on this what is a trend play.
这是一个趋势，因为所有的指数移动平均线都是向上的，对吧？它们是平行的。所以，如果我想做趋势交易，那么我不希望它跌破X。对我来说，我不希望它跌破21 EMA，对吧？所以那才是我真正应该放置止损的地方。
This is a trend cuz all EMAs are up, right? Are in parallel. You so So if I am looking to play a trend, therefore I I do not want it to lose X. For me, I do not want it to lose the 21 EMA, right? So that's where I would be placing my stop, really.
嗯，所以，就在附近，甚至可能更高一点，实际上应该是在那里，对吧？16.65。假设这就是你的止损位，16.65，前提是干净地穿过那个摆动低点，对吧？
Uh so, right around it could be even higher, really should be about there, right? 1665. So, let's say that's that's really your stop, 16 1665 on a clean on a a clean move through that swing, right?
这个风险比我之前的还要小，对吧？0.33美元。所以，你知道，你的收益超过了风险的两倍，也就是这个小机会上的2R。
That risk is even tighter than what I had, right? 33 cents. So, you're up you know, more than two times your risk or a 2R on on that little opportunity.
但是，看看这个，你知道，每一张图表，去看看在哪里你会买入，为什么，你的止损会在哪里，以及你会在哪里寻找退出点？
But, look at that, you know, every chart, look at see and look and see where would you have bought, why, where would your stop have been, and where would you be looking at exits?
关于上方的区域，你有17.83，这是161.8（扩展位），来自8.27到9.14这一段。
Uh in terms of the areas on the upside, you have 1783 is the 161.8, 827 to 914.