ElliottWaveTrader 对 $IREN 的判断变化
这个频道在这只股票上的每一条判断，按时间倒序，每一步都读完那条视频里关于这只股票的全部内容。相邻两条方向不同的地方标出方向翻转。
我要讲一下 Iris Energy，但它不算是加密货币。我做多这只股票。我不会把它当作加密货币股票来讲，但我要谈谈这个设置。
I am going to go over Iris Energy, but it's not really a crypto. I'm long the stock. Not really going to go over that as like a crypto stock, but I'm going to talk about the setup.
从长期角度来看，Iris Energy 是我长期持有的仓位。我不认为这是一张漂亮的图表，但它一直处于强劲的上升趋势中。为什么这么说？因为它是一条对角线，从长期角度看，这张图表没有冲动性，尽管在较小的时间框架上我们可以找到一些冲动。
这使得许多水平从艾略特波浪的角度来看不太可靠。冲动结构是高度可靠的结构，我们有可以预期市场转向的区域，而进入对角线结构时，可靠性会降低。这张图表的情况正是如此，因此一直很难把握。
然而，只要它守住 14 和 17，实际上就简化为 14，我预计会涨到大约 150。再次强调，这并不意味着它一定守住 14。如果进入支撑位，在这个水平上过度持仓会很痛苦，如果你打算把 14 作为支撑位的话。
如果你想增加仓位，你需要更紧的止损，以免在突破时损失大量资金。请记住这一点。我实际上持有非常小的仓位，因为我说过我是长期交易，这意味着 14 是我的止损，所以我保持仓位足够小，以免在 14 时承受太多痛苦。
我可能会选择在这只股票上增加期权和快速时间框架的交易，因为我喜欢这个设置。现在，当我们移动时，这个底部很有趣，因为我原本预期低点大约在 21，但它似乎在抵抗这个水平。现在有可能过去一周的行动变弱，失去了冲动结构。
所以有可能这个股票开始显示出看跌的设置，最终会跌到 21。目前，只要它守住 40 以上，我认为有合理的机会突破到 60 多，然后这将设置 B 浪，最终会带我们到 59。无论如何，无论这个设置是否成立，你几乎可以说这里有一个区间可以交易，即在这个水平和下方的支撑位之间。
我经常用三角形来表示这个。所以有几种方法可以处理。我的方法是，我在寻找三角形。你也可以这样交易，在接近 14 的支撑位时增加仓位。这基本上就是我的处理方式，如果我看到一个我真正喜欢的短期设置，我会采取一些期权，用少量资金建立非常短期的仓位，但如果成功，回报很高。
这就是我的方法。另一种方法是，你可以在这个区域建立更大的仓位，至少用 2886 作为止损。所以这取决于你的方法。但话虽如此，这个设置的短期潜力在 40 处开始突破，当这个低点被触及时就肯定突破了。
所以，我们看看会怎样。再次强调，只要守住 14，我看到 150。这里有点模糊，它试图设置，试图筑底，但目前没有保持可靠性。如果它显示出三波 A 浪，这意味着 A 浪已经见顶，那也没关系，只要它守住这个区域的中点，或者最坏情况下守住 618 回撤位，即 31。
所以那里有一些选择。好了，这变得有点模糊。如果有任何具体问题，请告诉我。
Iris Energy is just from a long-term perspective. I mean, this is um a chart that I've got a long-term position on. Um, see where is that? A Oh, AA is belongs here. Um, that I have a long-term position on. Um, I don't think it's a beautiful chart, but it's been a strong uptrend. Why do I say say it that way? It's just it's a diagonal. There's nothing impulsive about this chart from a long-term perspective, although we can find some impulses on smaller time frames. uh that makes a lot of the levels um less reliable from an Elliot way perspective. Again, impulses are highly reliable structures. We have areas where we can expect the market to turn. We get into diagonals that gets a little looser. Um and that is definitely the case of this um chart. It's always been hard to to nail this chart for that reason. However, as long as it holds 14 and 17 literally, but just round it off to 14, I do expect a move to about 150. Again, that doesn't mean that it holds one that holds 14. Okay? So, if gets into the support level, um it's be painful to be overpositioned up in this level if you're if you're going to leave that as your support level. Um if you want to get more positioned, you want to have a tighter stop again so you don't lose a heck of a lot of money when things break. Um so, keep that in mind. Um, I actually have a very small position because again I I said I'm trading it longterm. That means 14 is my stop and uh so I'm keeping it small enough to not take a lot of pain at 14. Um I might choose to add options and quick time frames on this stock as I like the setup. Now when we move in um this bottom is interesting because I had expected a low right at about 21 and it seems to be pushing back on that. It is possible now that this action that we have the action uh over the last week getting weak. It's lost its impulsive structure now. So it may be possible that this one starts to show a bearish setup that is finally going to take to 21. Right now as long as it holds over 40, I see reasonable chance that it breaks into the 60s in this A and then that'll set up this B. Um that will take us to 59. Either way, um again, uh whether this setup holds or not, um there, you know, you can almost you can almost say, okay, there's a range here that you can also trade, which is between this level and the support level here below. And often I use triangles to represent that. So there's a a few ways you can approach this. Um my approach to this has been see I'm looking where's the tri Yeah, triangle. So you can al you can also trade it this way where a position gets larger near a support level of 14. Um, and that's by and large the way I'm treating this with um, if I see a setup that I really like short-term, I'll take some options and um, and sort of create a very short-term position with little capital but but uh, high return if it works. Um, so that's my approach. Uh, the other approach again, you could take a a larger position in this region and at least the very least use 2886 as a stop. So I'll leave that up to you in terms of your approach. Um but that said, uh the shortterm potential of this setup starts to break at 40 and definitely breaks um as this low is hit. So, so we'll see how that works. Um so again, uh as long as 14, I see 150. Uh this is a little bit murky here. It's trying to set up, trying to bottom, but it's not keeping that reliability together right now. if it um there's another possibility that it shows a three-wave Awave, which meaning the Awave has already topped. And that's fine as long as it holds into the sort of midpoint of this region or or or at the worst case the um the 618 retrace um which is at at 31. So there's some options there. All right, that got a little murky. So if there's any specific questions about it, let me know.