The Motley Fool 对 $ROAD 的判断变化
这个完全偏离主题了。让我问你,Travis,你最近开车有没有遇到过坑洼?我肯定遇到过。是的。这并不罕见,因为目前很多人给美国道路的维护状况打F。这是一个问题。而且,在东南部的一些地区,问题更严重,因为东南部或阳光地带正在发生人口迁移,很多人搬到东南部,道路设计时没有考虑到这么大的交通量。
道路需要拓宽,需要更频繁的维护,因为交通量太大了。这对Construction Partners有利,这是股票代码为ROAD的公司。
This one is way off the trail completely. Let me ask you Travis, have you hit a pothole with your car recently? I'm sure I have. Yes. Well, it wouldn't be uncommon because right now many people give America's roadways an F as far as where they're at in being maintained. It is a problem. And you know what? It's even a bigger problem in some areas of the Southeast because what's happening in the Southeast or the Sunb Belt is that there's so much population shift that so many people are moving to the southeast that roads weren't designed to handle this amount of traffic. Roads need to be widened. uh they need uh maintenance on a faster schedule now because there's just so much more traffic that plays to construction partner strengths and this is ticker symbol R O A D road.
那么Construction Partners有什么优势呢?它确实铺设道路。这就是它的业务。它运营这些团队,承接大型道路项目,从设计到最终铺设沥青。但想想这样的业务,垂直整合有竞争优势。
你基本上拥有供应,可以在工厂搅拌沥青,但沥青不能运输太远,否则会冷却。从重量和热沥青混合料需要保持温度的角度,运输距离有限。所以,它实际上在业务中实现了垂直整合。它一直在收购热沥青混合料公司。
这些公司不会以30倍销售额的价格出售,你可以以相当有吸引力的价格收购它们,这使它的业务更好。它能够锁定更多业务,因为它拥有整个生态系统,道路需要铺设。
So what does construction partners have going for it? Well, it does pave roads. I mean that's kind of what it does. It runs these crews. They have these huge road projects from the design all the way to putting that final blacktop on top. But you think about a business like this, there are competitive advantages to having vertical integration. So you basically you have the supplies. You you can mix the asphalt in a plant somewhere, but that can't be transported very far before it starts cooling down. There's a limit to how far you want to be transporting that from a weight, but also that especially that hot asphalt mix that needs to stay hot from where it's mixed all the way to the the job site. So, [snorts] it actually has vertical integration in the business. It's been acquiring these hot asphalt mix companies. I mean, these aren't going for, you know, 30 time sales. You can get these for fairly attractive prices, and it makes its business better. it is able to lock up more business because it it has the whole ecosystem where the roads need to be paved.
那么,说这是道路业务中的一种整合,是否公平?百分之百。公司的CEO或公司的组建实际上有更多私募股权背景,一个运营者与有投资银行经验的人合作。他们结合两者创建了这家公司,他们确实进行了整合,每年都有大量资金用于收购这些小型的夫妻店企业。
他们还收购了像Vulcan Materials这样的公司部分业务,最近我相信是在休斯顿市场。他们收购了一些工厂,以更好地服务于德克萨斯市场的道路铺设目标。
So, is it fair to say that this would be something of a roll up in the road business? 100%. And the CEO or the formation of the company actually has more private equity roots um kind of a operator coming together with somebody with investment banking experience. They kind of combine the two to create this company and they do they roll up a lot of money goes every single year to acquiring these small mom and pop businesses. They also have acquired parts of the businesses from like even Vulcan Materials here recently. I believe it was in the Houston market. They acquired some of their plants to better serve their road paving uh objectives in that in that Texas market.
我确实喜欢这些顺风。我喜欢这里的顺风故事。整合市场,你可能会有一些利润率扩张,因为利润率不会很高,快速看一下:净利润率4.1%,IBIT利润率约13.7%。所以,如果你能提高效率,但竞争仍然激烈。
所以你在玩宏观。再次,你处于与所有这些公司相同的估值区间,远期市盈率约为30倍,这就是该股的交易价格。
I do like the tailwinds. I like the the story of the tailwinds here. The rollup market. you maybe have a little bit of an expansion in margins because those margins are not going to be super high just looking at those quickly. 4.1% net margin even the IBIT margin about 13.7%. So potentially if you are able to get some efficiencies there but that is still a pretty competitive market. So you're you're you're kind of playing the macro there. Again you're you're right in the same zone here with all the the price for all these companies on a forward basis about third earnings is where the stock is trading for.
第二,我选Construction Partners,因为也许我对那个业务更了解一些。再说,我喜欢宏观面。我很想以更好的价格买入。这是那种我希望以目前交易倍数一半的价格买入的公司。
所以,也许现在它只是观察名单上的公司。也许甚至不建立初始仓位。它只是,嘿,这应该在我的关注范围内,因为顺风不是一年、两年的顺风,就像我们在内存市场可能有的那样。可以说是代际顺风。
Number two, I got to go with Construction Partners just because that maybe I can wrap my head around that business a little bit more. Again, I like the macro. I'd love to get this at a much better price. This is one of these companies that I would love to get it at half the multiple that it's trading for right now. So, maybe it's just a watch list company at this point. Maybe not even building some sort of starter position. It's just one, hey, this this should be on my radar because the tailwinds are not one year, two-year tailwinds like we maybe have in the memory market. It's generational tailwinds, if you will.