Invest with Henry 对 $SOFI 的判断变化

2026-08-30
《How to Make $10,000/mo Running The Wheel Strategy on SoFi》
SoFi是一只优质股票,增长强劲且具有支撑位;适合采用轮动策略,在持有股票的同时产生收入。

如果你打算退休并创造收入,那么你只需关注SoFi和轮动策略。SoFi是一家高质量的公司,轮动策略是一种高质量的期权交易策略,可以产生收入,降低你购买股票的平均成本,并从持有高质量股票中获利。

If you're looking to retire and create income, you should look no further than SoFi and the Wheel Strategy. SoFi is a high-quality company and the Wheel Strategy is a highquality option trading strategy that can generate income, reduce your average cost of purchasing stock, and make money from holding a highquality stock.

让我们打开我的投资组合。各位,看看SoFi。SoFi目前交易价格为每股18美元。我持有10,500股。我的平均成本是21.18美元,目前在该股上处于亏损状态。

So let's open up my portfolio right here. All right, guys. So, take a look at SoFi. SoFi is currently trading for $18 per share. I have 10,500 shares. My average cost is $21.18 and I'm currently down on the stock.

然而,这并没有考虑到轮动策略或我已经赚了多少钱。在SoFi上简直是赚得盆满钵满。就权利金收取而言,这简直是荒谬的。

However, this does not factor in the wheel strategy or how much money I have been making. Literally hand overfist money on SoFi. It has been ridiculous in terms of premium collection.

所以尽管SoFi的股价,如你所见,从每股约31美元大幅下跌,我的平均成本再次是每股21美元。

So although SoFi stock, as you can see here, it went from like $31 per share and it fell down a lot. My average cost again is $21 per share.

尽管回报几乎不存在,但对我们投资者来说,这真是太棒了。这些回报是不存在的。自三月以来,这只股票几乎没有任何表现。我的意思是,甚至从二月开始,这只股票基本上一直保持在19美元,现在跌到18美元。所以,它实际上下跌了1美元。

Now, it has been so fantastic for us investors despite really kind of non-existent returns. These are non-existent. This stock has done absolutely nothing since March. I mean, even February, this stock has only been basically the same price at $19 and now it's $18. So, it has actually lost $1.

我也会讨论SoFi作为一家企业的情况。所以,我们将在本视频中涵盖技术面和基本面。你可以在这里看到,SoFi的股价是每股18美元。

And I'll discuss SoFi as a business as well. So, we'll cover both the technicals and the fundamentals in this video. And you can see here, SoFi is at $18 per share.

所以如果SoFi什么都不做,只是下跌1美元,那真的无关紧要。我的意思是,你会以每股18美元被行权。但如果你收取了整整1美元,你的平均成本实际上就是17美元。

So if SoFi does nothing where it falls $1, literally doesn't even matter. I mean you would get assigned at, you know, $18 per share. But if you collected a whole dollar, your average cost is effectively 17.

这不是一个昂贵的策略,因为在SoFi上,看,17美元的行使价,你实际上需要投入大约1,700美元左右。

This is a not that expensive strategy because on SoFi, look, $17 strike price, you're effectively have to put up about 1,700 bucks roughly.

所以,无论SoFi上涨、横盘还是下跌,这都不重要。我们在17美元没问题,因为回到技术分析,不仅存在支撑位,而且尽管这是一家非常强大的公司,股价却只是横盘整理。

So, it doesn't really matter if SoFi were to go up or go sideways or even come down. We're okay at $17 because again, going back to the technical analysis, not only is there like support levels, but the stock is just going sideways despite this being a really strong company.

我的意思是,他们的会员增长非常迅速。SoFi在2026年第一季度达到了1470万会员,同比增长35%,同时在该季度增加了创纪录的1.55亿会员。

I mean, their member growth is very rapid. SoFi reached 14.7 million members in quarter 1, 2026, up 35% year-over-year, while adding a record 1,55,000 million members during the quarter.

庞大的会员基础给了SoFi更多机会来销售额外的金融产品,而不必每次都获取全新的客户。所以,被获取的客户正在使用更多的SoFi产品。这就是我喜欢这家企业的原因。

And a large member base gives SoFi more opportunity to sell additional financial products without acquiring a completely new customer each time. So customers that are acquired are using more SoFi products. That's what I like about this business.

当我们看到股价在每股18美元时,我坚信他们在每股17美元左右拥有任何股票中最强的支撑,因为他们的收入仍在快速增长。

And when we see the stock here at $18 per share, I firmly believe that they have the strongest support of any stock at around $17 per share because their revenue is still growing very quickly.

看到股价低于每股20美元是荒谬的。我认为这不会持续,因为2026年第一季度他们的调整后净收入同比增长41%,达到10.9亿美元。对于一家已经达到SoFi规模的金融公司来说,这是异常强劲的增长。这太不寻常了。

It is ridiculous to see the stock under $20 per share. I don't think that's going to last because Q1 2026 their adjusted net revenue increase 41% year-over-year to $1.09 billion. This is unusually strong growth for a financial company that has already reached Sofi scale. This is so unusual.

更有意义的是盈利能力。SoFi在第一季度产生了1.667亿美元的GAAP净收入,并报告了连续第十个盈利季度。每次他们报告时,这家公司实际上几乎没有任何动静,这非常令人惊讶,因为,你知道,我们现在即将进入九月。

基本上周一是九月一日,对吧?而SoFi仍然低于每股20美元。

And what's even more meaningful is the profitability. So generated $166.7 million of gap net income in Q1 and report its 10th consecutive profitable quarter. And every time they report, literally this company doesn't really do anything, which is super surprising because, you know, we're going into September right now. Basically September 1st on on Monday, right? And SoFi is still under $20 per share.

所以当我运行轮动策略并卖出17美元的看跌期权时,我希望被行权。就像,真的,让我加入吧。隐含波动率非常好,在49,基本上就是50。49.9非常有吸引力。

So when I'm running the wheel strategy and I sell a 17 put, I hope I get it signed. like literally sign me up. The implied volatility is really good at at 49, which is essentially 50. It's 49.9 is very attractive.

所以,我在这里收取的权利金非常有吸引力。它不是疯狂地有吸引力。比如,在我的社区里,我的目标是4%以上,而且我有很多学生超过了6%。这是非常可能的,尤其是在牛市中。

So, this premium that I'm collecting here is is very attractive. It's not crazy attractive. Like, in my community, I do I'm aiming for like 4% plus, and I have many students that are exceeding 6%. That is something that's very possible, especially in a bull market.

在这里,我收取的这3%的溢价虽然不算疯狂,但非常有吸引力,因为这是一只我想持有的股票。所以,我从这个角度来看,即使SoFi下跌一美元,我也没有真正损失。

And here, this 3% premium that I'm collecting, it's not crazy, but it's very attractive because this is a stock that I want to own. So, I view this from the angle of I'm not really losing even if SoFi goes down a dollar.

再说,假设我们以每股18美元的价格被行权,我们对此感到满意,因为SoFi是一家伟大的企业。还有一点我想提的是,银行牌照给了SoFi资金优势。这是我非常喜欢SoFi的一点。这是他们的竞争优势,因为他们的存款超过了400亿,存款占上个季度平均负债的90%以上。

管理层估计,与仓库融资相比,存款融资每年节省了约6.22亿美元的利息支出。

So, again, let's say that we get assigned at $18 per share. And again, we're happy with that because, you know, SoFi is a great business. Um, and one thing more that I want to mention is the banking charter gives SoFi a funding advantage. That's something that I really like about SoFi. It's like a competitive advantage they have because their deposits reached over 40 billion and deposits represent more than 90% of average liabilities during their last quarter. So, management estimates that deposit funding saved approximately $622 million in annualized interest expense compared to, you know, with something like warehouse funding, right?

好的,它已经远不止是一家贷款公司。他们是一家全金融服务收入公司,收入同比增长了41%,而且基于费用的收入非常强劲,这创造了另一个增长引擎。我认为现在这是一只非常多元化的股票。

Okay. So, it's becoming much more than just a lending company. They are, you know, full financial services revenue company which increased 41% year-over-year and yeah, just super strong in the feebased revenue which creates another growth engine. I think this is very diversified stock right now.

所以这个狭窄的区间表明SoFi可能只会继续横盘交易。

So this tight range indicates that likely SoFi is just going to continue to trade sideways, right?

所以,这个区间很可能就是SoFi在接下来可预见的未来(比如20天)的交易区间。

So, this range right here is likely where SoFi will be trading at in the next, you know, foreseeable future, such as 20 days.

无论你是初学者还是中级投资者,像SoFi这样横盘的股票可能极具吸引力。

Whether you're a beginner or intermediate, something like a SoFi that's going sideways could be extremely attractive.

而这个轮动策略,SoFi的19美元行权价,这正是我每周一在我的社区里进行的交易类型。所以,这就是SoFi,这是我目前投入大量资金的一只股票。

And this wheel strategy right here, $19 strike price on SoFi. This is the exact type of trades that I'm placing in my community every single Monday. So yeah, this is SoFi and this is the stock that I'm currently running a good amount of my money.

让我们回到我的SoFi仓位。我想向你展示我个人在SoFi上投入了多少,以便你了解这种规模和风险管理,因为当你运行轮动策略时,你也不想过度杠杆,因为尽管SoFi看起来有吸引力,当然会有波动性,轮动策略的风险和危险在于如果股票崩盘,你会陷入困境。

我认为SoFi不会出现这种情况,但多元化很重要,这就是为什么这占我整个投资组合的4%。

Let's go back to my SoFi position. I want to show you just how much I personally have in SoFi so you can understand the type of scale and risk management as well because when you are running the wheel strategy you don't want to over uh leverage either because although so looks attractive of course there's volatility and the wheel strategy's risks and dangers are that if the stock crashes you know you're in trouble I don't see that to be the case with soi but again diversification is important which is why this is 4% of my entire portfolio

这确实是一个灵活的策略,但在我看来,你能拥有的最佳蓝图是选择一只高质量的股票,比如SoFi,一家伟大的公司,然后通过定位自己以折扣价进入股票、卖出备兑看涨期权来产生收入,从而运行轮动策略。

It's really a flexible strategy, but this is in my opinion the best blueprint that you can have is pick a high quality stock, SoFi, great company, and run the wheel strategy by positioning yourself to enter the stock for a discount, selling covered calls to generate income.

在仓位规模方面,我认为你基本上可以安全地将10%的资金用于SoFi,或者你真的不必使用SoFi。这只是一个例子。我个人非常喜欢这家公司。

And in terms of position sizing, I would say that you're safe to basically use 10% of your money in SoFi or or or really you don't have to use SoFi. This is an example. I personally like the company a lot,

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