SMH shows a double breakout but faces resistance at 607.58; a daily close above this level confirms a bullish near-term move toward 635.84.
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Into the SMH, guys, SMH, as we see, did pull back slightly yesterday. And if you recall from watching trading the close, I've been illustrating this daily, guys. really monitoring what's going on with the SMH because I see the SMH as being the leading indicator for risk on sentiment in the markets.
And what we've analyzed and discussed this declining trend line that you see on the chart is from the all-time highs. We most recently have broken out and extended away from that trend line.
A great breakout. In doing so, we broke out of this longerterm inclining parallel channel. This parallel channel contained price since the liberation day lows back in April of 2025.
So getting out and back above that again near-term bullish double breakout on our hands. Price just has simply gotten jammed up right here at the 618 fib retrace from this decline which is at 607 and 58.
Getting through that would be very bullish near term. So I see any close daily above 60758 that does increase probabilities for SMH to go up and attack the next key resistance level at 635 and84.
So be watching the daily close today. If we close above that key level of resistance 60758.
Watchpoints
What this channel has said about $SMH
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