$SPY

SPY is forming a bearish head and shoulders pattern with a potential target at the May lows, implying a ~6% decline.

Bearish
“S&P Head And Shoulders Forming: The Target Is The May Lows”
Verified InvestingPublished Sep 23 · 3 passages

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The S&P 500 is trading on this line, and has seen a notable rise since Friday following a surge of interest in artificial intelligence, then paused temporarily yesterday. The index reached 775 points, and the question was: Will it reach 780 points?

Will it achieve new record levels on the S&P 500 index? We definitely felt that on Monday. But to say that we have seen a major reversal so far would be accurate. We have fallen by about 1% from yesterday's highs on the Standard & Poor's index.

This may not seem like the biggest drop, but does anyone know what pattern we are forming? We are still in the process of formation, and it is not yet complete , is it? So, we still have some work to do, but we are getting closer to forming the head and shoulders pattern.

It is a bearish pattern on the Standard & Poor's index.

Now, it's moving somewhat sideways, slightly upwards , isn't it? But it is still valid. We know that with head and shoulder patterns, we can achieve a well-calculated movement.

Let's take the highest point on the head, bring it down to the neckline, and draw it downwards. Depending on where this pattern eventually breaks, we could see a downward move towards the lows of May , its lowest levels since May.

A decrease of approximately 6% , depending on the point at which this pattern will break . Now, to trade this pattern, you can follow several methods. But in general, with a head and shoulders pattern, you either enter the market when the breakout is confirmed, or let's say it bounces back to the neckline, you can enter there and wait for a dip.

What this channel has said about $SPY

Verified Investing has 15 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-09-23Bearish
First off, guys, with the S&P 500, we see here on the S&P 500 daily chart. What happened over the last two trading days, guys, we had a rip roaring rally on Monday, pushing us above this declining trend line. But then what happened here on Tuesday, guys? We didn't push up further than the high on Monday's candle. More or less, we didn't get any further extension. Look at what that does to the chart when price breaks out from a certain line. that that extension move is critical to maintain the breakout scenario on this chart. And the S&P 500, guys, did not do it. We simply are coming straight down on the chart as you see here for the day.
Quote at 00:23 ›
2026-09-23BearishThis one
The S&P 500 is trading on this line, and has seen a notable rise since Friday following a surge of interest in artificial intelligence, then paused temporarily yesterday. The index reached 775 points, and the question was: Will it reach 780 points? Will it achieve new record levels on the S&P 500 index? We definitely felt that on Monday. But to say that we have seen a major reversal so far would be accurate. We have fallen by about 1% from yesterday's highs on the Standard & Poor's index.
Direction flip
2026-09-21Bullish
First up with the S&P 500. As you can see here, what a monumental day and push higher we experienced today with the S&P 500. Up 1.55%. But notice one thing I I paid attention to today. The volume was not really there. We had 49 million shares traded on the spiders today. Just flipping it on. That's not a heavy breakout scenario day. Now you can see we had heavier volume back here. And it really wasn't standout, you know, very low volume, but it just wasn't a big rallying cry push with investors all loading in and pushing forward in the markets. But still, we find ourselves above this declining trend line most importantly. And what that does, guys, I'll flip the volume off. That then brings into play all-time highs as early as tomorrow with this horizontal trend line that I just drew on the chart at $779.37. Pushing up into that area is easily accomplishable tomorrow because of what we did today. Look at that huge gap up and and move forward that we had. We could easily come up in there and be talking about brand new all-time highs while the 10-year yield is just slightly under 5%.
Quote at 00:54 ›
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KOL Says