$TXRH

TXRH is a buy; recent stock decline is due to temporary beef cost inflation, but underlying growth metrics are solid.

Bullish
“Google Has Fallen Behind”
Joseph Carlson After HoursPublished Sep 28 · 3 passages

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Texas Roadhouse is another company that I want to highlight that I think is a buy today. The stock price would make you believe that there's something dramatically wrong with the stock because it just sold off a lot.

It went down 21% in the past month. So, this one continues to tank. Meanwhile, the fundamentals look strong. The revenue continues growing. The number of restaurants are increasing.

The average weekly sales, the same store sales are increasing. The to-go business is increasing.

The reason the stock is down is because the earnings are not going to be growing over the past year. In fact, there's a 5% decline in EPS. The reason why is because of commodity inflation.

Beef prices go up. Texas Roadhouse holds their prices the same, which means that their net income goes down. Their net income is down like 16% because of commodity price inflation of beef.

Now, what Texas Roadhouse doesn't do is they don't say that beef prices are going up, so let's just jack up our prices. They don't do that because that destroys customer trust.

People want stable price increases. They want slow price increases. They don't want a company that immediately bumps up prices quickly. So, Texas Roadhouse is playing the long game.

They'll take a temporary hit in EPS growth, but then when beef prices go down, their net income goes up like crazy.

What this channel has said about $TXRH

Joseph Carlson After Hours has 2 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-09-28BullishThis one
Texas Roadhouse is another company that I want to highlight that I think is a buy today. The stock price would make you believe that there's something dramatically wrong with the stock because it just sold off a lot. It went down 21% in the past month. So, this one continues to tank. Meanwhile, the fundamentals look strong. The revenue continues growing. The number of restaurants are increasing. The average weekly sales, the same store sales are increasing. The to-go business is increasing.
2026-08-24
Next up, we get to position number 10. This is where we're getting into some of the smaller positions where $10,000 of incremental cash added to them would make a pretty big difference. We look at Texas Roadhouse and it's a $60,000 position with 51,600 of that being gains. Texas Roadhouse is my best performing position when we look at the buys and sells when I've trimmed and added to the position. Now, Texas Roadhouse trades at 205, which I believe is a very healthy price. It's trading with a lot of positive sentiment. People have finally gotten more bullish on beef and stabilization of cattle and all of the factors that affect this company. On top of that, Texas Roadhouse has just been performing top tier. Everything continues to move up really, really well for this company. The buyin price that I'm setting for this one is 140. So, I don't believe Texas Roadhouse will get to 140 anytime soon. I'm not planning on that, but if it does, and it does so before these companies get to their buy targets, then Texas Roadhouse will earn the cash. If we assume an EPS growth rate of 11 a.5 to 12% over the next 5 years, we assume the appropriate earnings per share multiples around 23 and we buy the company at 140, that means we get a return of around 13.4%.
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