$TXRH

TXRH 为买入;近期股价下跌源于暂时的牛肉成本上涨,但底层增长指标稳健。

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Joseph Carlson After Hours发布 2026-09-28 · 3 段内容
18:37/ —打开原视频

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3 段内容

Texas Roadhouse是另一家我想强调的公司,我认为它今天可以买入。股价会让你以为这只股票出了什么大问题,因为它刚刚大幅抛售。过去一个月下跌了21%。所以,这一只继续大跌。

与此同时,基本面看起来很强劲。营收持续增长。餐厅数量在增加。平均周销售额、同店销售额都在增长。外卖业务在增长。

Texas Roadhouse is another company that I want to highlight that I think is a buy today. The stock price would make you believe that there's something dramatically wrong with the stock because it just sold off a lot.

It went down 21% in the past month. So, this one continues to tank. Meanwhile, the fundamentals look strong. The revenue continues growing. The number of restaurants are increasing.

The average weekly sales, the same store sales are increasing. The to-go business is increasing.

股价下跌的原因是过去一年盈利不会增长。事实上,每股收益下降了5%。原因是商品通胀。牛肉价格上涨。Texas Roadhouse维持价格不变,这意味着它们的净利润下降。由于牛肉的商品价格通胀,它们的净利润下降了约16%。

The reason the stock is down is because the earnings are not going to be growing over the past year. In fact, there's a 5% decline in EPS. The reason why is because of commodity inflation.

Beef prices go up. Texas Roadhouse holds their prices the same, which means that their net income goes down. Their net income is down like 16% because of commodity price inflation of beef.

Texas Roadhouse没有做的是,它们不会说牛肉价格在上涨,所以我们就大幅提价。它们不这么做,因为那会破坏客户信任。人们想要稳定的涨价。他们想要缓慢的涨价。他们不想要一家立刻快速提价的公司。

所以,Texas Roadhouse是在打持久战。它们会暂时承受每股收益增长的打击,但之后当牛肉价格下跌时,它们的净利润会疯狂上涨。

Now, what Texas Roadhouse doesn't do is they don't say that beef prices are going up, so let's just jack up our prices. They don't do that because that destroys customer trust.

People want stable price increases. They want slow price increases. They don't want a company that immediately bumps up prices quickly. So, Texas Roadhouse is playing the long game.

They'll take a temporary hit in EPS growth, but then when beef prices go down, their net income goes up like crazy.

这个频道对 $TXRH 的历次判断

Joseph Carlson After Hours 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-28看涨本条
Texas Roadhouse是另一家我想强调的公司,我认为它今天可以买入。股价会让你以为这只股票出了什么大问题,因为它刚刚大幅抛售。过去一个月下跌了21%。所以,这一只继续大跌。与此同时,基本面看起来很强劲。营收持续增长。餐厅数量在增加。平均周销售额、同店销售额都在增长。外卖业务在增长。
2026-08-24
接下来,我们来到第10大持仓。这是我们进入一些较小持仓的地方,向它们增加10,000美元的增量现金将产生相当大的影响。我们看看Texas Roadhouse,这是一个60,000美元的持仓,其中51,600美元是收益。从我的买入和卖出操作(包括减持和增持)来看,Texas Roadhouse是我表现最好的持仓。目前,Texas Roadhouse的交易价格为205,我认为这是一个非常健康的价格。它的交易伴随着很多积极情绪。人们终于对牛肉以及影响这家公司的所有因素(如牛群稳定等)更加看涨。此外,Texas Roadhouse一直表现优异。这家公司的一切都在持续向好发展。我为这只股票设定的买入价是140。所以,我认为Texas Roadhouse短期内不会跌到140。我不指望这一点,但如果它跌到了,并且是在其他公司达到买入目标之前,那么Texas Roadhouse将获得这笔现金。如果我们假设未来5年每股收益增长率为11.5%至12%,我们假设合适的市盈率倍数约为23,并且我们以140的价格买入该公司,那么我们将获得约13.4%的回报。
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