$AAPL

AAPL技术面呈现宏观看跌旗形;除非该形态的高点被突破,否则反弹都是做空机会,可能进一步下行。

看跌他说的是几周内
Oil Forces Yields Higher Ahead Of Fed, Markets Sell; But Tech Shows Strength, Here Are The Trade
Verified Investing发布 2026-09-08 · 3 段内容
12:38/ 打开原视频

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3 段内容

接下来我们来看苹果。苹果今天股价略有下跌。苹果上周五大幅下跌,今天继续下跌。需要注意的是,苹果明天将举行盛大的新品发布会。这将是蒂姆·库克离职后苹果首次大规模发布新设备或产品。

所以这次发布会很重要。从价格走势来看,市场目前并不买账,对吧?通常你会看到苹果在发布会前上涨,之后抛售。但这次情况相反。这可能对股价有利,也就是说,如果今天继续下跌,到明天发布会时,我们可能会看到反弹。

Next, we go to Apple. Apple today is trending a little bit lower. So Apple had a big drop on Friday, continuing to drop today. Now the thing to realize about Apple is tomorrow they have their big unveiling event. Now this is going to be the first big unveiling of new gadgets or products that Apple will be doing since Tim Cook just left. So this is a big one. Now if you look at the price action, the markets so far are not buying the rumor, right? often times you'll see Apple trend up into an unveiling and then sell off afterwards. Kind of working the opposite here. Now, that could work in the advantage of the stock, meaning that if it continues to sell today into tomorrow's unveiling, we might see a bounceback.

苹果一直受到批评,因为他们没有真正发力人工智能。Siri仍然是他们的主打,这就像如果你有石器时代版本的人工智能,那就是石器时代版本,而现在有那么多更好的东西。问题是,他们能否发布正确的东西?

Now, Apple's been kind of lambasted because they have not really attacked the AI action. uh Siri is still kind of their thing, which is like kind of like if you got the stone age version of AI, that would be the stone age version when there's so many better things out there. The question is, can they unveil the right things?

从技术分析的角度,我们来看日线图。我首先注意到的不利因素是,这里有一个更大的宏观熊旗形态。不过,有趣的是,这里有一个尚未回补的缺口,这里也有一个尚未回补的缺口。所以,我们可能还会因为这条消息再涨一点,但最终,只要我们不突破这个高点,这个形态总体上是净看跌的。

让我重申一下我的意思。我的意思是,如果他们确实发布了令人兴奋的东西,价格可能会在这里或甚至在这里反弹。但只要你不突破这个高点,根据图表,这是一个可以短线做空、进一步下跌的机会。

所以,进入这个位置还不错。我们拭目以待。但同样,任何反弹到这些缺口回补区域,配合这个形态……你们可能不知道这些形态。我知道每天都有很多新朋友加入。所以我想稍微教一下,我已经教过支撑和阻力。

但对于旗形形态,这很重要,对吧?旗形形态通常是突然下跌,然后你寻找那种内包线的盘整。基本上,这个下跌是对那波走势的消化,而且大多数情况下它会向下突破。所以你可以看到急剧下跌、内包线盘整,可能还会再高一点,然后我们预计苹果会再跌一波。所以,随着我们继续,值得留意这一点。

Now, on a technical analysis basis, we go to our daily chart. The first thing that I see that I don't like is that you have a bigger macro bear flag. Now, granted, interestingly enough, there's a gap here that has not been filled and a gap here that has not been filled. So, we could still go up a little bit more maybe on this news, but ultimately this pattern, as long as we don't take out this high here, then this pattern is net bearish overall. So, let me just rephrase what I'm saying here. I'm saying that if they if they do unveil something exciting, price could rally here or maybe even here. But as long as you don't take out this high, that is a shortable swing trade opportunity for further downside based on the chart. So again, not too shabby going into this. We'll see. But again, any sort of rally into these gap fills with this pattern. And you guys might maybe you don't know the patterns. I know a lot of new people tune in every single day. So I like to do a little bit of teaching and I've done that with support resistance. But with flag patterns, it's important, right? So a flag pattern is usually a pretty sudden drop and then you look for that inside bar kind of consolidation. Essentially this is this drop is this is the digestion of that move and more often than not it resolves itself to the downside. So you can see sharp drop inside bar consolidation maybe it goes a little higher and then we would expect another leg down on Apple. So just something to keep an eye on there as we continue through.

这个频道对 $AAPL 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-08看跌本条
接下来我们来看苹果。苹果今天股价略有下跌。苹果上周五大幅下跌,今天继续下跌。需要注意的是,苹果明天将举行盛大的新品发布会。这将是蒂姆·库克离职后苹果首次大规模发布新设备或产品。所以这次发布会很重要。从价格走势来看,市场目前并不买账,对吧?通常你会看到苹果在发布会前上涨,之后抛售。但这次情况相反。这可能对股价有利,也就是说,如果今天继续下跌,到明天发布会时,我们可能会看到反弹。
2026-09-04看跌
另一个我密切关注的是苹果。苹果正在脱离近期低点。记住,这是财报后的下跌,所以它已经出现了相当不错的反弹。如果它填补了这个缺口,作为波段交易的做空机会,这就开始变得有趣了。那个位置非常引人注目。所以,我会把它放在我们的观察名单上。
原话 13:05 ›
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