不买入 AAPL；技术结构显示在 344 处双顶失败，且价格低于 8 日与 21 日均线。
逐段跳播
很多人会说：“嘿，Red Dog，你可以买 Versa，那 Apple 怎么了？”我说：“好吧，还是那句话，周末的时候，我尽量多给你们一些图表。”我说：“把这个收好或者打印出来。
那些图表上有双重顶、双重底、W 形、楔形、三角形，这个那个的。”那么，我问你一个问题。Apple 现在这里看起来像什么？它看起来像不像一个双重顶，位置在 344？当然，计算机会把你稍微推过去一点。
到了 34534，我当时就想：“嘿，各位，如果你是在博一个历史新高，结果它走出一个双重顶，那可就有点糟糕了。”结果它确实走出了一个双重顶。然后是 red dog reversal。
什么是 red dog reversal？冲过去，站不住。这意味着它的力度不足以站稳。它又回来了。那是另一个卖出信号。有些人说：“嘿，Red Dog，我在这里 341 做空。我在 345 有一个很轻松的止损。”
我说：“好吧，你知道，从历史上看，做空 Apple 长期并不能真正让你赚很多钱。在那里做投资者兼交易者更好，但你想怎么做就怎么做。我只是不买它。”然后昨天，我说：“如果它守不住 344，你知道，你真的必须调整。”
总之，Apple 一路跌到了 32870。所以现在它在 8 日线下方，在 21 日线下方。所以，我说的是，如果你卖出 8 日线，你可以去测试 50 日线，而不是坐在里面被套。但如果你不是那么活跃，而且你持有 Apple 已经两年了，那你其实并不在意。我在这里是想从战术角度谈。
a lot of people like, "Hey Red Dog, so you could buy Versa, what happened to Apple?" I'm like, "Well, again, on the weekends, I try and just give you a lot of charts." I say, "Put this in your pocket or print it out.
It has on that charts on those charts are double tops, double bottoms, W's, wedges, triangles, this, that." So, let me ask you a question. What does Apple look like right here?
Does it look like a double top where you have 344? Granted, the computers push you through a little bit. Went to 34534 and I was like, "Hey guys, this would kind of suck if you're playing for an all-time high if it puts in a double top."
And I put a double top in. And then red dog reversal. What's a red dog reversal? Pushes through. Doesn't hold. That means it wasn't enough strength for it to hold. It came back in.
That's another sell signal. Some guys said, "Hey, Red Dog, I'm shorting this here at 341. I have an easy stop at 345." I'm like, "Okay, well, you know, shorting Apple over time in history does not really make you a lot of money.
It's better to be an investor and a trader there, but you could do what you want to do. I'm just not buying it." And then yesterday, I'm like, "If it can't hold 344, you know, you really have to adjust."
So anyway, Apple went all the way down to 32870. So now it's below the 8day, below the 21day. So, what I say is if you sell the 8day, you could test the 50-day instead of sitting in it and going under water.
But if you're not that active and you've been in Apple for two years, then you don't really care. I'm trying to talk tactically here.
Apple 今天早上在做什么？Apple 涨了 9 美分。没什么大动静。所以，他们有时候会玩弄那个数字。他们会把它推到 32870 下方，看看能不能把人止损出局，然后你会有一些价格发现，也许它会走出一个低点并重新收复那个位置，给你一点 spot，一个 spot，不是那种有特殊名字需要去揉搓然后走一个 spot，如果你做这些交易，这些 spot 可以累积起来。
What's Apple doing this morning? Apple's up 9 cents. Not a whole lot. So, what they do sometimes is they'll play with that number. They'll push it below 32870. see if you know they stop people out and then you get some price discovery and maybe you know it puts in a low and reclaims that and gives you a little bit of a spot a spot not like a special name to massage and go a spot and these spots can add up if you take those trades.
所以，还是那句话，看看 Apple 这一波走势的幅度，它在事件之后给了你一个非常不错的活跃序列。而且还有那些 Mac 的传闻，说生产放缓，或者 iPhone 18 的需求没那么强劲。
所以这也是必须反映进来的因素。但在临近发布的时候，总会有这类事情。所以这里会有一段时间有很多噪音。所以当市场嘈杂时，你只能少做，并且非常小心。
Um, so again, you know, from look at the size of this move in Apple that gave you a really nice active sequence post event for the duo. And there is those Mac rumors that the production is is slow or the iPhone 18 the demand isn't as strong.
So that's what also had to come in. But there's always those kind of things heading into, you know, a launch. So there it's going to be a lot of noise here for a while. So when it's noisy, you just have to do less and be very careful.
除此之外，长期来看它非常好，就像当年的 Apple 一样。
Besides long-term it's very good just like Apple was back in the day.
这个频道对 $AAPL 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 8 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。