$ADBE

尽管Adobe第三季度业绩大幅超预期且股价反应相对平淡,但第四季度指引偏弱以及竞争压力使其短期基本面令人担忧。

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Brace for Crude Oil Volatility, ORCL Tops Earnings & ADBE Slides
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-11 · 2 段内容
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好,我们来谈谈Adobe。该股在最新季度业绩发布后承压,而这种情况一再发生。他们超出预期,股价却下跌。不管他们是否超出预期都一样。这里最新情况如何?

All right, let's talk Adobe. Those shares under pressure off the back of its latest quarterly results and this keeps happening. They beat expectations and the stock sells off. Doesn't matter uh them beating or not. What's the latest here?

是的,我们看到该股目前在盘前交易中下跌约4.5%。第三季度营收为67.6亿美元,确实超出了市场预期,调整后每股收益也超出了市场预期,为6.13美元。市场预期为69美元。但真正的大担忧其实是未来的营收指引,尤其是第四季度。

它实际上略低于市场预期。他们给出的指引在68亿至68.5亿美元之间。市场预期约为68亿至68.5亿美元。所以他们在这里确实略显不足。担忧在于,他们正在把市场份额输给市场上其他一些竞争对手,不仅是那些直接销售产品赚钱的,还有AI领域的高端产品。

现在,如果他们AI优先的ARR营收确实同比增长了150%,那对他们来说是一个亮点。但同样,Diane,这更多是一个变现的故事。他们能否留住现有客户、带来新客户,然后略微提高价格以推动营收?

而目前,市场似乎对此仍存疑问。此外还有一些领导层变动正在发生,这大概也在股票中造成了一些额外的波动。不过我们今天早上看到的这次下跌没有过去那么剧烈。所以这可以算是一个小小的胜利。

从技术面看,图表上它仍是一个更高的低点。但再次,从基本面角度看,对这家公司近期能取得的胜利并没有太多乐观情绪。

>> Yeah, we are seeing the shares down about 4 and a.5% right now in pre-market trading. Q3 revenue came in at $6.76 billion. Uh did exceed the street's expectations and the adjusted earnings per share also did exceed the streets expectations coming in at $6.13. Street was looking for $69. But the real big concern that you have is actually the revenue guidance moving forward, especially for Q4. It came in actually slightly lighter than the street's expectations. They are guiding between 6.8 billion and 6.85 billion. Street was looking for around 6.8 uh 6.85 billion. So they did come up a little bit light here. And the concern is that uh they are losing market share to maybe some of the other competitors within the street. not only those that actually sell their products for money obviously, but also premium offers uh within the AI space. Now, if their AI first ARR revenue did actually grow by 150% on a year-over-year basis, that is a bright spot for them. But also, once again, Diane, it's more of a monetization story. Are they able to keep their current customers, bring on new customers, and then push prices a little bit higher in order to drive revenue? And right now, seems like the street is still questionable around that. You also have some leadership shakeups that are taking place as well like it's also probably causing a little bit more volatility within the stock. This drop that we are seeing this morning though has not been as dramatic as what we have seen in the past. So that could be a little bit of a win. Technically, it's still a higher low on the chart. Uh but once again, not a lot of optimism as to the near-term wins for this company from a fundamental standpoint.

这个频道对 $ADBE 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-11看跌本条
好,我们来谈谈Adobe。该股在最新季度业绩发布后承压,而这种情况一再发生。他们超出预期,股价却下跌。不管他们是否超出预期都一样。这里最新情况如何?
2026-09-10
好的。Adobe 的财报刚刚出来了,那我们转过去看,KG。我把数字给你。第三季度每股收益为 6.13 美元,预期为 6.08 美元,所以每股收益超出预期。第三季度营收为 67.6 亿美元,预期为 67 亿,所以这一项也略微超出预期。我们来看一下他们的指引,我想把他们的指引过一遍。他们把财年调整后每股收益指引从之前的 2435 到 2445 上调至 2445 到 2450。所以是上调了 5 美分,但毕竟是一次上调。营收方面,他们上调至 265.8 亿到 266.3 亿美元。这也是一个非常小的调整,但仍然是一个调整。第一季度每股收益,他们预计在 6.30 到 6.35 美元之间。这正好符合 630 的预期,也就是处于该区间低端。他们的剩余履约义务为 221.6 亿美元。这一项低于预期,这很可能就是我们看到股价下跌的原因。我们现在下跌 1.33%。他们的人工智能优先 ARR 同比增长超过 150%。月活跃用户方面,在创意和生产力解决方案上达到 10 亿。当然,他们的新 CEO 将于 12 月 1 日上任。他们上周宣布了这件事。市场反应不太好。华尔街原本希望来的人可能来自外部。但 Adobe 的跌幅并不大,只是小幅下跌。
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