Bloom Energy 股价将很快升至约每股 300 美元,受 AI 电力需求、电网限制以及纳入标普 500 指数带来的指数基金强制买入推动。
逐段跳播
我对 Bloom Energy 有巨大的兴趣。看看那个箭头。四天前,当股价为 215 美元时,我谈到了 Bloom Energy。现在,该股表现惊人。五天后,它上涨了 20%。目前股价为 266 美元。
I have a huge incentive for Bloom Energy. Take a look at the arrow. Four days ago, I talked about Bloom Energy when the stock price was $215. And now, the stock took off spectacularly. After five days, it rose by 20%. The stock price is now $266.
未来 Bloom Energy 最大的催化剂之一是其被纳入标普 500 指数。Bloom Energy 将在 9 月 21 日交易开始前正式进入标普 500 指数。
One of the biggest catalysts that will happen to Bloom Energy in the future is its inclusion in the S&P 500 index. Bloom Energy will officially enter the S &P 500 index before trading begins on September 21.
这非常重要,主要有两个原因。如果你不知道,每当任何股票进入标普 500 指数时,事情都会朝着疯狂的上涨方向发展,好吗?第一个原因是,它凸显了公司所经历的彻底变革的程度。这不再是投资者几年前记得的那只小型投机性燃料电池股票。
This is really important for two main reasons. If you didn't know, whenever any stock enters the S &P 500 index, things are headed for a crazy upswing, okay? The first reason is that it underscores the extent of the radical change the company has undergone. This is no longer the small, speculative fuel cell stock that investors remember from several years ago.
其次,跟踪标普 500 指数的指数基金和交易所交易基金将需要持有(BE)或 Bloom Energy 股票,并且必须买入该股票。鉴于它将成为标普 500 指数的成分股,这几乎是强制性的。
所以基本上,在上市日期前后,会有机械性的需求来源。
Secondly, index funds and exchange-traded funds that track the S&P 500 will need exposure to (BE) or Bloom Energy stock, and will have to buy the stock. It is almost mandatory given that it will become a component of the S&P 500 index. So basically, there will be a mechanical source of demand around the listing date.
但正如你所看到的,Bloom Energy 将以每股 266 美元的价格开盘交易。所以自然的问题是,这只股票还能涨得更高吗?
But as you can see, Bloom Energy will open trading at $266 per share. So the natural question is, can this stock rise any higher?
如果你看过我提到这只股票的第一个视频,天哪,我赚了很多利润。我赚了一些钱,我希望我也让你的口袋装满了现金。我认为对 Bloom Energy 的需求将保持非常高的水平。Bloom Energy 可能拥有将电力直接输送到数据中心的最快方式之一,这就是我的全部论点。
If you watched my first video when I mentioned this stock, man, I made a lot of profit. I've earned some money and I hope I've filled your pockets with cash. I think the demand for Bloom Energy will remain very high. Bloom Energy may have one of the fastest ways to deliver that electricity directly to the data center, and that is my entire thesis.
公司被纳入标普 500 指数不是我持有 BE 股票的原因,而是整个底层故事的额外燃料。
The company's inclusion in the S &P 500 is not my reason for owning BE stock, but rather additional fuel for the whole underlying story.
显然,就在几天前,当我准备关于“Bloom Energy”的视频时,我并不知道会发生这种情况。我不知道股票会在这么短的时间内上涨这么多。
Obviously, just a few days ago, when I prepared a video about "Bloom Energy", I had no idea this would happen. I didn't know the stock would jump this much in such a short period of time.
我在 BE 股票不到一周内飙升 20% 之前买入了它,这不仅仅是因为技巧。20% 的波动是巨大的,我们肯定已经获利了。
I picked up BE stock before it surged 20% in less than a week, and that wasn't just due to skill . A 20% move is huge , and we have definitely made a profit.
所以,我喜欢“Bloom”的地方在于它不仅仅是在收入上增长。劳动力经济同时也在显著改善。自从我 3 天前的上一个视频以来,投资者已经赚了很多快钱,我希望你真的喜欢“亨利叔叔”特辑。
我不再提那个了。我们只说我的投资组合正在蓬勃发展。
So , what I like about "Bloom" is that it's not just growing in revenue. Labor economics are improving significantly at the same time. Since my last video 3 days ago, investors have made a lot of quick money, and I hope you really enjoyed the " Uncle Henry" special. I will not mention that anymore . Let's just say my investment portfolio is thriving.
让我们讨论一下与 Brookfield 的 250 亿美元合作,这是我在视频中的下一个要点。Bloom Energy 和 Brookfield 最初宣布了一个框架,其中包括 50 亿美元用于人工智能驱动的能源基础设施。
这很重要,但变化的是,他们在 6 月份将框架扩大到 250 亿美元。这是工作框架的 5 倍增长。
Let's discuss the $ 25 billion connection with Brookfield, which was my next point in the video. Bloom Energy and Brookfield originally announced a framework that included $ 5 billion in funding for AI-powered energy infrastructure. That was important, but what changed was that in June they expanded the framework to $25 billion . This is a 5x increase in the work framework.
因此,Brookfield 可以资助使用 Bloom 技术为人工智能基础设施提供电力的项目。Brookfield 并没有因为人工智能电力需求放缓而将其承诺增加五倍。
Thus, Brookfield can fund projects using Bloom technology to provide power to AI infrastructure. Brookfield did not increase its commitment fivefold because demand for AI power is slowing down.
8 月,Nvidia 支持的人工智能基础设施公司 Nepia 透露,计划在新泽西州的 300 兆瓦人工智能数据中心使用 Bloom 燃料电池。
In August, Nvidia-backed AI infrastructure company Nepia revealed plans to use Bloom fuel cells for its 300-megawatt AI data center in New Jersey .
所以,正如你所看到的,现在发生的事情很明显,Bloom Energy 的需求量很大。他们有更多的合作伙伴关系,希望与他们合作的公司也在增加,这也意味着他们将赚很多钱。
So, as you can see, what's happening now is that it's quite clear that Bloom Energy is in high demand. They have more partnerships, and an increase in companies that want to work with them, and this also means they will make a lot of money.
首先,对AI能源的需求持续爆发。更多的AI计算意味着更多的电力;更高的计算能力意味着更大的能源需求,而这一切都对Bloom Energy有利。
Firstly, the demand for AI energy continues to explode. More AI computing means more electricity; higher computing power means greater energy demand, and all of this works in Bloom Energy's favor.
下一个问题是电网瓶颈。它不会很快消失,而这正是Bloom Energy的巨大机会,因为它填补了一个需求极高的缺口;由于并网时间表漫长、网络容量有限,以及需求增长超过供应,当电网无法跟上时,现场发电解决方案就变得更有价值。
The next issue is electricity grid bottlenecks. It does n't disappear quickly, and that's what makes it a great opportunity for Bloom Energy, as it fills a gap with extremely high demand; With long interconnection schedules, limited network capacity, and increasing demand outpacing supply, on-site power solutions become more valuable when the network cannot keep up .
所以,现在发生的是Bloom正在填补这个需求缺口,并且目前正以加速的速度赚取巨额利润。好的,接下来是Bloom通过实际项目证明了需求的存在。这不仅仅是说“你好,我们投资者知道有很多需求。”
不,它实际上就像300兆瓦的Neffos项目,这是近期一个很好的例子,说明了Bloom Energy的需求有多大。
So, what's happening now is that Bloom is filling this demand gap, and it's making huge profits at an accelerating rate right now . Okay, the next thing is that Bloom proves there is demand through actual projects. It's not just about saying, " Hello, we investors know there's a lot of demand." No , it is literally like the 300 MW Neffos project , which is a good recent example of just how large the demand is for Bloom Energy.
因此,我喜欢它作为整个投资组合中的一个投资选择,我在215美元的价格买入了Bloom Energy的股票。
Therefore, I like it as an investment option within the entire portfolio, and I snapped up Bloom Energy stock at $215.
我非常乐观地认为,在很短的时间内可以达到每股300美元左右。原因之一是财务数据现在正以积极且显著的方式变化。166%的收入增长,加上更高的利润率,与仅仅向投资者推销一个未来故事截然不同。他们用事实证据支持这个故事。
I am very optimistic that we can reach around $300 per share in a very short time . One of the reasons is that the financial data is changing in a positive and noticeable way now. Revenue growth of 166%, coupled with much higher profit margins, is quite different from simply selling investors a future story. They support this story with factual evidence.
你可以看到收入同比增长166%是多么惊人。更重要的是,不是吗?如果你的成本增长速度高于收入增长速度,那么你的收入增长并不令人印象深刻,不是吗?最有趣的是,他们不仅仅是在增长收入。
他们还在提高毛利率。因此,从12%到27%有一个巨大而显著的提升。
You can see how a 166% year-on-year change in revenue is amazing. What's more , isn't it? It's not impressive for your revenue to grow if your costs are growing at a higher rate than your revenue, is it ? What's most interesting is that they're not just growing their revenue. They are also growing their gross profit margin. Therefore, there is a huge and significant increase from 12% to 27%.
所以,不仅收入更高,利润率也更高,这使得Bloom Energy更强大、更盈利。当然,公司被纳入标准普尔500指数让我极为乐观,因为这将提高公司知名度、增加指数基金需求、扩大股东基础,并确认公司的核心故事。
So , not only higher revenues, but also higher profit margins , making Bloom Energy stronger and more profitable. Of course, the company's inclusion in the Standard & Poor's 500 index makes me extremely optimistic, as it will lead to increased corporate visibility, demand for index funds, a larger shareholder base, and confirmation of the company's core story.
现在,我想回到300兆瓦的Neffos项目,因为这个项目很重要,它展示了Bloom到底在卖什么。这不是“买我们的燃料电池,因为我们有很棒的技术”。相反,更像是“你的AI基础设施需要300兆瓦的电力。”
我们知道你需要,我们可以帮助你解决这个问题。所以,他们为终端客户提供了很多价值。
Now , I want to return to the 300 MW Neffos project , because this project is important as it demonstrates exactly what Blum is selling. It's not about " buying our fuel cells because we have great technology". Instead, it's more like "You need 300 megawatts of power for your AI infrastructure." We know you need it , and we can help you and solve that problem for you. So, there's a lot of value they offer to end customers, you know.
现在,我想回到股票本身,因为过去一个月,该股出现了非常大的上涨,这就是所谓的动量。当更多投资者支持某个特定故事时,动量实际上可以持续很长时间。
Now, I want to get back to the stock right now, because over the past month, the stock has seen a very large rise, and that's what's called momentum. When more investors support a particular story , the momentum can actually last for a long time.
目前,催化剂是纳入标普500指数。所以,我实际上认为Bloom Energy可以继续上涨。现在,我有点谨慎,因为再说一次,我是风险管理方面的专家,我在个人辅导中研究并拥有个人经验。
当一只股票像Bloom Energy那样大幅上涨时,股票下跌的风险可能更大。因此,我确实认为,如果投资者热情消退,该股可能会下跌,这是一个真实的风险。
Currently, the catalyst is inclusion in the S&P 500 index. So , I actually think that Bloom Energy can continue to rise even further. Now, I am being a little cautious because, again, I am an expert in something I work on in my individual coaching and have personal experience in, which is risk management. When a stock rises dramatically like Bloom Energy, there may be a greater risk that the stock will fall. Therefore, I do believe that the stock could decline if investor enthusiasm wanes, and this is a real risk.
然而,我相当有信心,目前有更大的热情,并且由于高需求,还会有更多的动量。
However , I am quite confident that there is much greater enthusiasm at the moment and that there is more momentum coming due to high demand.
坦率地说,740亿美元的市值对我来说并不贵。现在,我想以期权策略作为结尾,因为我是一位有12年交易经验的期权专家,我的计划是使用“穷人版备兑看涨”策略。如果你不熟悉这个策略,我计划做的是,而不是买入Bloom Energy的股票——顺便说一句,我已经持有该股,对你坦诚——我想在不投入大量资金的情况下获得更多Bloom Energy的股票,因为我真的不想再投入更多资金。这更像是一场赌博,而不是投资。
Frankly, a market value of $74 billion is not expensive to me . Now, I want to conclude by talking about options strategy, because I am an options expert who has been trading for 12 years, and my plan is to use the "poor man's covered option " strategy. If you are not familiar with this strategy, what I plan to do instead of buying Bloom Energy shares—which I already own, to be transparent with you—is that I want to acquire more Bloom Energy shares without having to allocate a lot of capital, because I really don’t want to invest more capital in it. This is more of a gamble than an investment.
今天,我将使用“穷人版备兑看涨”策略对Bloom Energy进行一笔交易。当这个视频上传时,那笔交易已经发布在我的Telegram频道上,学生们已经开始从那笔交易中获利。本周我在交易“Bloom Energy”股票。
Today, I am making a trade on Bloom Energy using the " Poor Man's Covered Option" strategy. By the time this video is uploaded, that deal will have already been posted on my Telegram channel, and the students will have already started making profits from that deal. This week I am trading on "Bloom Energy" stock.
因为我在 Bloom Energy 上取得了巨大的成功,三天前你也看到了我在它上面有多成功。我相信这笔特别的交易可能真的是改变人生的,因为 Bloom Energy 的隐含波动率很高,而且我看到了一个很好的短期机会,我想与大家分享。
because I've had such great success with "Bloom Energy," you saw three days ago how successful I've been with it. I believe this particular deal could literally be life-changing because Bloom Energy has high implied volatility, and I see a great short-term opportunity that I would like to share with people.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $BE 的历次判断
Invest with Henry 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。