FIVE 技术面建设性良好,相对强度强劲并处于上升趋势,尽管动能出现看跌背离。
逐段跳播
然后我们在非必需消费品板块有三只:Planet Fitness、Royal Caribbean和Five Below。
Then we have three in consumer discretionary Planet Fitness, Royal Caribbean, and Five Below.
我们这里要谈的股票中有三只——Five Below、Schwab和Biomear——都处于那个领先象限。这再次意味着它们展现出强劲的相对强度,也就是说它们总体上跑赢同行,但相对强度指标中的动能也很强,对吧?
所以相对强度很强,并且正朝着正确的方向运行,这就是我的理解方式。
And three of the stocks we're going to talk about here, Five Below, Schwab, and Biomear are all in that leading quadrant. And what that means again is that they're uh showing strong relative strength, meaning they're generally outperforming their peers, but the momentum is also uh strong in the relative strength uh indicator, right?
So they're so the uh the relative strength is strong and uh trending in the right direction is the way I would think about it.
那么,我们先聚焦于那些处于领先象限的股票。我们从Five Below开始,我会说,在所有这几只股票中,它的技术形态显然是最具建设性的。
So, let's focus first on some of those stocks that are in that leading quadrant. We'll start with five below, which I would say out of all of these stocks, clearly the most constructive technical configuration.
那么,我们为什么这么说?首先,当我们看这张图时,它就是这种长期的、相当一致的上升趋势,只有4月中旬到7月初是一个明显的例外。当时回落了不少,甚至跌破了200日移动均线,但在跌破200日移动均线几周之后,看它如何重新收复200日移动均线、重新站上50日移动均线,此后就真的一路向上,再没回头。
最近,随着它突破4月的高点,我们实际上创下了52周新高。在触及那个前期高点之后,它现在算是守在那里。既没有真正破位下跌,也没有再真正向上突破。算是保持稳定。这是我发现随着时间推移相当有用的一种总体结构。
我们可以看到,比如2025年夏天、当然还有2026年春天,有好几次我们都是这样盘整、回落到初始移动均线支撑,然后盘整几周,就可能为下一波上涨做好准备。所以在这种状态下,它再次创出更高的高点,过去一个月也是如此,而且位于向上倾斜的移动均线上方。
RSI偏高但并不过度。所以总体上我们在这里看到了一些强势。
Now, why do we say that? I mean, first off, when we look at the chart, I mean, it's just this long, you know, sort of consistent uptrend with a notable exception from midappril to early July.
Pulled back quite a bit and even undercut the 200 day moving average, but after it blow broke below the 200 day for a couple weeks, look at how it recovered back above the 200 day, back above the 50-day, and it really hasn't looked back since.
Most recently, we've actually achieved a new 52- week high as it broke above that April peak. It's kind of holding in there after hitting that uh previous high. It's not really breaking down, not really breaking out anymore.
Sort of holding steady. That's kind of a general structure that I that I found u pretty helpful over time. We can see like a number of times here in like summer of 2025, certainly spring of 2026 where we've sort of consolidated, pulled back to initial moving average support and a couple weeks in that consolidation could set us up for the next move higher.
So in this sort of a a condition again it's uh making higher highs uh in the last month also above upward sloping moving averages. The RSI is high but not excessive. So we're generally showing some strength there.
相对表现一直很强劲,尤其是在上个季度,而这正是RRG所依据的东西,对吧,它基本上就是依据那种表现的方向,也就是Five Below相对于标普500的相对表现。
Um the relative performance is uh is consistently strong certainly in the last quarter and that's really what the RRG is driven off of right it's basically driven off of the direction of that performance like right the relative performance of uh of five below versus the S&P uh 500.
所以,如果说这张图有什么需要注意的地方,有什么让我有点犹豫的,也许就是那个看跌的动能背离。你可以看到,8月的新高对应的是更弱的RSI读数。而且我们可以看到,最近当我们回落到20日移动均线时,RSI在这里降到56左右。
倒也不是世界末日。仍然处于读数区间的上半部分,但就是算不上一个强劲的动能状态。
So if there's any caveat to this chart like anything that has me a little bit you know a little bit hesitant maybe it would be the bearish momentum divergence. So, you can see that the new highs in August were met by weaker RSI readings.
And we can see most recently as we pull back to the 20-day, the RSI is down here around 56. Not the end of the world. Still in the upper half of the reading, but it's just not really a strong momentum situation.
那么,我们在这里要关注什么?上升趋势的恢复当然会非常令人鼓舞。还有RSI走高。所以我们希望RSI在那次向上突破中升破60。那将意味着向上的新动能。
So, what would we look for here? A resumption of the uptrend of course would be would be uh very encouraging. Also, the RSI pushing higher. So, we want the RSI to push above 60 on that breakout higher.
And that would imply uh you know fresh new momentum to the upside.
所以,Five Below,我会说,在我这八张图中,从我的角度看,大概是整体技术形态最具建设性的一张。
So five low I would say out of these eight uh charts from my perspective probably the most constructive kind of all-around uh technical configuration.
所以,虽然其他一些图,比如Five Below、Charles Schwab、Biomear,已经展现出那种强劲的相对强度,这告诉我它们正在跑赢,它们的技术形态良好,
So while some of these other charts like Five Below, Charles Schwab, Biomear already showing that strong relative strength, which tells me they're outperforming, they're in good uh technical shape,
这个频道对 $FIVE 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。