$GDX

GDX 的方向取决于价格走势:突破 101.83 意味着第三浪启动;若突破失败并跌破近期低点,则意味着第二浪调整仍将延续。

他说的是几天内
《Avi’s Market Minute - September 23rd 2026: Gold, Silver & GDX at a Key Juncture》
ElliottWaveTrader发布 2026-09-23 · 7 段内容
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7 段内容
0:004:06

有可能,是的,我们在GDX中已经触及了第二浪的底部。这意味着我们正呈现出一个一二、一二的结构,作为第三浪中的第一浪。

There is potential that yes, we have struck the bottom of a wave two in in GDX. And that means we have a one two one two being presented for wave one of three.

这意味着我们必须突破昨天的高点。如果我们无法突破昨天的高点,反而跌破昨天的低点,那就会把我们带上一条路径,至少是走向一个更扩张的ABC,即第二浪。

That means we have to take out yesterday's high. If we are unable to take yesterday's high and take out yesterday's low instead, that puts us on a path for at least this in a more expanded ABC of wave two.

如果我们在这里形成一个五浪结构,那将是另一个买入机会。你把止损放在这下方。我为什么这么说?一个五浪结构,那将是一个C浪,很可能在这个第二浪中守住。

If we get a five wave structure into this, that's going to be another buying opportunity. And you put your stops just below here. Why do I say that? A five wave structure it would be a C wave that is likely going to hold for this wave two.

如果我们在这里得到更延伸的走势,比如第三浪的核心,那很可能意味着我们大概处在黄色计数中。要完全使黄色计数失效,需要什么?要完全使黄色计数失效,你必须突破这个第二浪的高点。那就是101.82,也就是我昨天标出的,或者说83,也就是我昨天标出的。

If we get something that is more extended into this like a heart of a third wave into this, it's going to likely mean we're probably in the yellow count. What does it take to completely invalidate the yellow count?

To completely invalidate the yellow count, you have to take out this wave two high. That is 101.82, which is what I outlined or 83, which is what I outlined yesterday.

但你必须突破这个高点,才能使这个一二、一二的下行结构失效。所以,现在我们正处在一个非常重要的关口。跌破这里很可能意味着这不会发生。跌破这里至少把我们指向这里。所以,你跌破这个低点,它至少把我们指向这里。它可能会在第三浪的核心看到更大的下行延伸。

But you got to take out this high to invalidate this one two one two downside structure. So, right now we're at a very important juncture. Below here likely means this is not happening.

Below here points us at least to here. So, you break this low and it points us at least to here. It could see a bigger downside extension in the heart of the third wave.

在实际走势发展出来之前,我们不会知道。所以,这就是我们在未来几天要观察的。要么突破101.83,那很可能意味着我们处在第三浪中的第一浪。我预计第三浪中的第二浪回调,可能会再次测试这个突破位,回到101.80区域。

那将是你之后的下一笔买入,然后我们大概会从那里起飞。

We won't know until what actually develops. So, that's what we're looking for over the coming days. Either a take out of this through 101.83, and that likely means we're in wave one of wave three.

I expect a wave two of wave three pullback probably to test this breakout again back to the 101.80 region. That's going to be your next buy after that, and then we probably take off from there.

我会说,白银和GDX目前给我们提供了最好的信号。

I would say silver and GDX are giving us the best signals right now.

观察点

价格相对101.83及近期低点的走势
突破101.83上方,还是跌破近期低点
未来数日市场价格走势
向上突破支持看涨的第三浪论点;向下跌破支持看跌的延伸第二浪论点

这个频道对 $GDX 的历次判断

ElliottWaveTrader 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-23本条
有可能,是的,我们在GDX中已经触及了第二浪的底部。这意味着我们正呈现出一个一二、一二的结构,作为第三浪中的第一浪。
2026-08-26看跌
这是更大级别的GDX。我的意思是,目前显然有足够的波浪形态,可以认为它已经以五浪结构见顶。现在,这个五浪结构能否成为这个替代B浪的C浪?绝对可以,而且可能指引我们下行。但我必须告诉你,这是可能的,只是我认为可能性不大,因为要成为五浪C浪,你必须将此视为A浪底部,然后是一个A浪、非常不寻常的B浪,然后是C浪上涨?我的意思是,你知道,我们偶尔会看到扩张平台形,但我必须告诉你,这一个将是非常不寻常的。因此,我将其视为第五浪的第一浪。是的,信不信由你,我们可能会看到深度第二浪,因为有相当多的个股强烈暗示它们会创出新低。我认为GDX不一定强烈暗示这一点。如我所说,你可能会看到深度第二浪,但我不认为它强烈暗示任何超过深度第二浪的东西。
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