$GOOGL

GOOGL 是一家顶级科技公司,也是安全的长期持有标的;搜索和云业务增长正在加速,AI 产品获得大规模采用,且估值相对同业具有吸引力。

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《4 Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Long Term!》
The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-28 · 22 段内容
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22 段内容
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第一家公司是Alphabet,也就是Google。大多数人都知道Google。它是地球上最大的公司之一。每当我们想到科技或互联网时,我们大概都会想到Google。

The first company is Alphabet, Google. Most people know Google. It is one of the largest companies on Earth. Whenever we think about technology or the internet, we probably think of Google.

Google的有趣之处在于,一年或一年半以前,人们认为这家公司已经完了。ChatGPT两年前出现,当时有人说搜索,也就是他们的“金鹅”,将会消失,对吧?我们无法想象一个人们不再使用Google搜索来查找东西的世界。

The interesting thing about Google is that a year or a year and a half ago, people thought this company was finished. ChatGPT appeared two years ago, and it was said at the time that the search, their " golden goose" , would disappear, right?

We cannot imagine a world where people stop using Google search to find things.

讽刺的是,这并没有发生。人们仍然在使用Google搜索。

Well, ironically, that didn't happen. People still use Google search.

不仅如此,我们实际上看到搜索收入在过去两个季度加速增长。在上个季度,它实际上同比增长了16.7%。现在,关于Google的整个要点在于,当你审视科技或那些得益于互联网而能够被构建出来的东西时,你可以把它看作某种“Berkshire”。

Not only that, but we've actually seen search revenues accelerate over the past two quarters. In the last quarter, it actually rose by 16.7% year-on-year. Now, the whole thing about Google is that you can look at it as a kind of " Berkshire" when you look at technology or things that can be built thanks to the internet.

但回到我为什么把Google的“Alphabet”放在这个位置,原因很简单,因为如果你不确定哪种技术可能会成功,Google在许多许多领域都有布局。

But going back to why I put Google's "Alphabet" in this position, it's simply because if you're unsure what kind of technology might succeed, Google has a footprint in many, many areas.

如果你不想押注未来什么可能会奏效,那么与像Google这样我相信将始终处于创新前沿的公司打交道,可能就是正确的策略。

If you don't want to bet on what might work in the future, then dealing with a company like Google, which I believe will always be at the forefront of innovation, might be the right strategy .

然后,回到市场对这家公司误判的原因,他们完全忘记了“Google Cloud”。2025年,Google Cloud增长非常迅速,当然,与云领域其他大玩家相比,它的财务基数较小,但不知为何这并不重要。

它有可能独自成为一家数万亿规模的公司,这一点也不重要。但目前,我们看到的是那里的增长正在加速。

Then, going back to the reason for the market's misjudgment of this company, they completely forgot about "Google Cloud". In 2025, Google Cloud was growing very rapidly, of course with a small financial base compared to other big players in the cloud field, but for some reason that didn't matter.

It didn't matter that it might become a multi-billion-billion company on its own. But at the moment , what we have seen is that growth there is accelerating.

我相信它同比增长了大约82%。利润率也扩大到35%或36%左右。而且,是的,一年之后公司规模翻了一倍,现在价值约4万亿美元。

I believe it has grown by approximately 82% year-on-year. The margins also widen to around 35 or 36%. And yes, after a year the company doubled in size and is now worth about $4 trillion .

他们有YouTube,这也是他们拥有的一项重大资产,他们有订阅服务,他们还有在自动驾驶汽车领域被称为绝佳选择的Waymo。

You have YouTube, which is also a major asset they own, and they have subscription services, and they have what is called a great option in self- driving vehicles with Waymo.

在我看来,它确实是市面上最好的科技公司之一。如果你在寻找某种可以被描述为安全、又不必承担太多风险的东西,Google处于非常有利的位置。

In my opinion, it is truly one of the best technology companies out there . If you are looking for something that can be described as safe without having to take too much risk, Google is in a very good position.

而且你看,在这个人工智能的世界里,拥有一个高盈利的核心业务是一个巨大的优势。是的,作为Alphabet的长期股东,过去几年我确实经常听到关于这家企业的悲观看法。

And look, in this world of artificial intelligence, having a highly profitable core business is a huge advantage. Yes, as a long-term shareholder in Alphabet , I have certainly heard the pessimistic view of this business a lot in the past few years.

回到Google Cloud的业务活动,其未来已签约收入,也就是积压订单,在上个季度达到了5140亿美元。因此,我们看到那里增长强劲,其中很大一部分由人工智能驱动。

I mean, going back to Google Cloud's activity, their future contracted revenues, i.e., their backlog, reached $514 billion in the last quarter. So, we are seeing strong growth there, much of it driven by artificial intelligence.

当然,正如我指出的,人工智能如今正在增强基础研究活动,而许多人曾担心,随着这些新的基础模型出现,基础研究活动会消失。

Of course, artificial intelligence is now enhancing basic research activity, as I pointed out, which many feared would disappear with the emergence of these new foundational models.

然后是Gemini应用,其月活跃用户已达到10亿。还有“Gemini Enterprise”,这是他们专为企业人工智能打造的产品。目前已有近90%的《财富》100强公司使用它。

Then you have the Gemini app, which has reached one billion monthly active users. "Gemini Enterprise," their product dedicated to artificial intelligence for businesses. It is now used by nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies.

第二季度财报电话会议上有一句话真正引起了我的注意。Alphabet首席执行官Sundar Pichai实际上解释了为什么Google Cloud尽管需求巨大却无法增长得更快。他说:“我们仍然面临供应限制。”

这是什么意思?他们并不难为其人工智能解决方案找到客户。他们难以足够快地建设数据中心和采购芯片,以跟上现有需求。

There was one statement that really caught my attention from the second quarter earnings call. Sundar Pichai, CEO of Alphabet, essentially explained why Google Cloud cannot grow faster despite the huge demand.

He said: "We are still facing supply constraints." What does this mean? They have no difficulty finding customers for their AI solutions. They are struggling to build data centers and purchase chips quickly enough to keep up with existing demand.

我们看到搜索收入以两位数速度增长。云业务那惊人的需求积压再次出现。我相信我们继续看到的是一家真正为每一代人而创新、并为此不断改进、在其中持续成长的公司。

We are seeing search revenues grow at double-digit rates. Once again , that incredible backlog of demand for the cloud. I believe we continue to see a company truly designed to innovate for each generation, being improved for it and continuing to grow within it.

这是我多年来一直持有在投资组合中的公司之一,而且与其他“七巨头”公司相比,它的估值往往更为有利。而近期股价表现的一部分与实际业务的性质无关。

It is one of the companies I have kept in my portfolio for many years, and it tends to trade at a more favorable valuation compared to other "Great Seven" companies . And some of the recent stock performance is separate from the nature of the actual business.

我相信这是人工智能竞赛中的关键公司之一,其财务状况比我们目前看到的许多其他大型科技公司要好得多。这里有趣的一点是,尤其是在回到那些悲观预测时,搜索收入在公司总收入中的占比正在下降。

目前为52.8%,而大约两年前接近57%,同时业务其余部分占总收入的比重持续上升。目前已接近47%。

I believe this is one of the key companies in the AI race that is in a much better financial position than we see in many other major technology companies right now. What is interesting here, especially when returning to the pessimistic forecasts, is that the percentage of search revenue in the company’s total revenue is declining.

It is now 52.8%, whereas it was closer to 57% about two years ago, while the rest of the business as a percentage of total revenues continues to rise. It is now approaching 47%.

我认为,我们看到50/50的拆分只是时间问题,到那时,使搜索占收入大部分的集中度风险将缓慢但稳步地消退。

I think it's only a matter of time before we see a 50/50 split, at which point the concentration risks that make research account for the majority of revenue will slowly but steadily fade away.

我认为,如果你持有这家公司的股票,我对其长期增长前景仍然非常乐观。

I think that if you own shares in this company, I remain very optimistic about its long-term growth prospects.

不,我选择Google作为我的第一选择。我说过,Google“Alphabet”是市面上最好的互联网或科技公司之一。

Oh no, I chose Google as my first choice. I said that Google “Alphabet” is one of the best internet or technology companies out there.

Neil和我今天谈到了四家完全不同的公司。一方面,我们谈到了“七巨头”中的两个关键成员,Alphabet和Amazon,它们是我投资组合中长期以来的心头好。

Neil and I talked about four completely different companies today. On one hand, we had two key members of the Big Seven, Alphabet and Amazon, who are long-standing favorites in my investment portfolio.

这个频道对 $GOOGL 的历次判断

The Motley Fool 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-28看涨本条
第一家公司是Alphabet,也就是Google。大多数人都知道Google。它是地球上最大的公司之一。
2026-09-25
这里我想到的是 Google,以及它今年晚些时候推出由 Gemini 技术驱动的智能助手的可能性。许多人使用 Google 的 Gmail 和 Google 日历等服务,这使得各项服务之间可以无缝整合。这是他们已经拥有的信息和数据。
原话 07:36 ›
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