$MSFT

MSFT 在 Azure 增长和成本方面的不透明报告是一个重大缺陷;尽管对次要业务有详细披露,但投资者仍难以了解其主要增长引擎的情况。

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Joseph Carlson After HoursWall Street Journal article发布 2026-08-26 · 7 段内容
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这篇来自《华尔街日报》的文章详细描述了微软如何让投资者难以理解他们实际在做什么,他们的资本支出成本是多少,以及他们的融资成本是多少。

This article from the Wall Street Journal details how Microsoft is making it difficult for investors to understand what they're actually doing, what their CapEx costs are, what their financing costs are.

这篇也是来自《华尔街日报》。他们说微软让投资者在其AI业务的三个关键驱动因素——云计算、资本支出以及与OpenAI的关系——方面处于盲目状态。公司的披露远低于投资者所需的信息。

This one is from The Wall Street Journal. They say that Microsoft is leaving investors flying blind on its AI business across three critical drivers of the AI future, cloud computing, capital expenditures, and its relationship with OpenAI. The company disclosures fall well short of what investors need.

以Azure为例,它是微软的旗舰云平台和主要增长引擎。管理层应该提供清晰的财务可见性,但却让大家蒙在鼓里。微软在其最新的年度报告中表示,截至6月30日的财年,Azure和其他云服务收入增长了41%。

他们没有给出该收入的美元金额,也没有给出前一年的数据,更没有提供任何关于Azure的费用或利润数据。相反,微软将Azure隐藏在名为“智能云”的部门中,迫使投资者猜测传统软件产品在哪里结束,真正的云增长从哪里开始。

Take Azure, Microsoft's flagship cloud platform and primary growth engine. Management should provide clear financial visibility, but instead keeps everyone in the dark. Microsoft on its latest annual report said that Azure and other cloud service revenue increased by 41% during the fiscal year ending in June 30th. It gave no dollar amount for that revenue, nor the year earlier for that figure, nor any expense or profit data for Azure. Instead, Microsoft buries Azure inside a segment called Intelligent Cloud, forcing investors to guess where the legacy software products end and the real cloud growth begins.

本来我预计会不同意这篇文章的观点。我看着它心想,“哦,他们对微软发起了一堆指控。”嗯,但他们这里说的每一点都切中要害。非常准确。微软在Azure的增长方面并不透明。非常不透明。

例如,当我查看KPI并尝试在Qualtrics中为微软生成KPI时,这是我一直以来的一个抱怨。我有我的团队,我们正在努力整理尽可能具有信息量的KPI,我希望有一个关于Azure的KPI。

Now, I was expecting to disagree with this article. I was looking at it saying, "Oh, they're they're launching a bunch of accusations against Microsoft." Uh but everything they say here is spot-on. It is dead accurate. Microsoft is not They're they're not transparent with Azure's growth. A very very opaque For example, this is a a constant complaint I have when looking at the KPIs and trying to generate KPIs in Qualtrics for Microsoft. I have my team, we're trying to put together the most informative KPIs possible, and I wish there was an Azure one.

因此,Azure 的业绩,即微软云业务本身的业绩,是完全不透明的、被混淆处理的,我们没有办法真正了解其具体情况。

So, the Azure results, the Microsoft cloud results themselves, are completely opaque, they're obfuscated, we have no way to really know what they are.

但相比之下,微软却以极其详尽的方式报告了其 Xbox 的数据。所以,你拥有所有关于 LinkedIn、Xbox 以及投资者甚至都不关心的这些较小业务部门的数据。投资者必须被提醒微软拥有 Xbox,他们对此的关注度就是这么低。

如果你问一位投资者怎么看微软的 Xbox 业务,他们会说:“啊?哦,对,微软拥有 Xbox。没错。”而微软恰恰对这些业务提供了大量细节和颗粒度极高的报告。

But by contrast, Microsoft has reported their Xbox numbers in granular detail. So, you have all the numbers about LinkedIn, Xbox, and all these smaller businesses that investors don't even care about. Uh investors are They have to be reminded that Microsoft owns Xbox. That's how much they care about it. If you If you ask an investor, uh what do you think about Microsoft's Xbox business? They'll go, "Huh? Oh, yeah, Microsoft owns Xbox. That's right." These are the ones that Microsoft gives lots of detail about. Granular reporting on these businesses.

所以,这里所说的一切都是事实。这是微软在报告标准上的一个巨大遗漏,而其同行们都在披露这些信息。这实际上是微软最重要的业务线,但他们甚至没有向我们提供营收数字,连 Azure 创造了多少收入都没给。

所以我希望微软能在某个时候改变这种做法。我知道他们有某种战略原因不这么做,也许是不想向其他公司提供数据。但亚马逊正在报告这些数据,而且经营得相当不错。所以,希望他们能增加透明度。

So, everything that's said here is true. It's a giant omission in reporting standards by Microsoft that their peers are doing. It is a a massive, in fact, the most important business line by Microsoft, and they're not even giving us the the numbers of revenue. They're not even giving us how much revenue Azure makes. And so, I would I would hope Microsoft changes this at some point. I know they have some strategic reason that they're not doing it. Maybe they don't want to give data to other companies. Uh but Amazon is reporting it and they're doing just fine. So, hopefully they add more transparency.

以上 7 段为这条视频中谈及 $MSFT 的全部内容。逐字对不上字幕的段落不会收录。

这个频道对 $MSFT 的历次判断

Joseph Carlson After Hours 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-08-26看跌本条
这篇来自《华尔街日报》的文章详细描述了微软如何让投资者难以理解他们实际在做什么,他们的资本支出成本是多少,以及他们的融资成本是多少。
方向翻转
2026-08-24看涨
现在,在那之后,我们有微软。微软排名第八。这是一个104,000美元的仓位。其中50,000美元是收益,权重为7%。要让微软获得那10,000美元,我需要它从当前交易的490美元跌至每股400美元。在最近一次财报后,微软上涨了约25%。它涨得很疯狂。在那之前,它处于每股400美元。所以,如果微软只是回吐上次财报上涨的收益,那么这将是获得那10,000美元的股票。我们可以假设未来5年每股收益增长率为温和的12.4%。有了这个,我相信微软合适的每股收益倍数相当高,考虑到其护城河和公司的结构,我认为它应该以28倍交易。在这些假设下,以每股400美元买入,未来5年复合年增长率为16.8%,我相信这将明显跑赢市场。
原话 15:44 ›
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这一页只记录说话人自己说过的话,不做判断、不下结论。研究辅助,非投资建议。
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