$NFLX

Netflix 预计将转型为流媒体枢纽,通过第三方集成实现分发变现;成功取决于能否避免竞争对手那种杂乱的模式并执行得当。

看涨他说的是几个月内
Meta Wins A Massive Strategic Victory
Joseph Carlson After Hours发布 2026-08-26 · 11 段内容
01:03/ 打开原视频

逐段跳播

11 段内容

这条视频里关于 $NFLX 说的每一段,按说话顺序排列。点任意一行,上面的视频跳到那一刻。

1:03每一格是一段原话 · 点一下跳到视频的那个位置26:02

Netflix 可能会成为一个流媒体中心,这意味着你可能能够通过 Netflix 界面注册 Peacock 等服务。

Netflix may become a streaming hub, meaning you may be able to sign up for services like Peacock through your Netflix interface.

许多投资者对这对 Netflix 来说是好是坏感到困惑。

A lot of investors are confused whether or not this is a good or bad thing for Netflix.

接下来,我们来看一些传闻消息,即 Netflix 可能正在转变为一个托管不同流媒体服务(如 Peacock 或 Fox One)的平台。

Now, moving on, we get to some rumored news that Netflix may be turning into a platform where they host different streaming services like Peacock or Fox One.

目前,Netflix 无疑是全球最大的流媒体服务,拥有超过 3.25 亿订阅用户和约 7 亿观众。因此,Netflix 规模极其庞大,分销渠道广泛。但到目前为止,Netflix 仅利用其分销渠道服务于自身。

它只有自己的原创内容或临时授权在库中的节目。但 Netflix 应用在 Netflix 上展示的所有内容都属于 Netflix 的内容库。

Right now, Netflix is the biggest streaming service in the world by far with 325 million plus subscribers, about 700 million viewers. So, Netflix is completely massive. It has wide distribution. But so far, Netflix is only using its distribution for itself. It just has its own original content or shows that they license to have temporarily in their library. But everything that Netflix shows in the Netflix app is the Netflix library.

这就是流媒体中心的不同之处。如果 Netflix 走这条路,提议的流媒体中心意味着他们将提供诸如 Peacock、Fox One 或可能许多其他通过 Netflix 注册的服务。

所以,你会登录 Netflix 账户,看到一个小提示写着“注册 Peacock”或“注册 HBO”,你可以在 Netflix 应用内支付这些服务的费用。这些服务及其付款将使用你已在 Netflix 绑定的支付信息。

这会将成本捆绑在一起。通过 Netflix 注册你可能会获得某种类型的折扣。此外,你还会获得额外的便利。与其去单独的应用观看 Peacock、Fox One、HBO 或其他任何流媒体服务,你可以直接在 Netflix 用户界面中观看它们的内容。

因此,这基本上将两个流媒体服务结合在一起,使其不再仅仅是 Netflix 这个流媒体服务,而是包含其他流媒体服务内容的 Netflix 流媒体中心。

And that's where a streaming hub would be different. With a proposed streaming hub, if Netflix goes down this path, that means that they'll have services like Peacock or Fox One or maybe many other services that you can sign up for through Netflix. So, you'd go on to Netflix, log into your account, you'd see a little thing that says, "Sign up for Peacock." or "Sign up for HBO." and you could pay for those services within the Netflix application. Those services and paying for them would use the payment details you already have with Netflix. It would just bundle the cost together. You would likely have some type of discount signing up for it through Netflix. And then you would also have some added convenience. Rather than going to the separate app to watch Peacock or Fox One or HBO or whatever the other streaming service is, you could actually watch their content within the Netflix user interface. So, it basically combine both streaming services together, making it so it's no longer just the streaming service Netflix, it is the streaming hub of Netflix with other streaming services content.

如果 Netflix 这样做且做得不好,他们可能会遇到同样的问题。我不认为 Netflix 应该效仿 Amazon Prime 的路径。他们不应该在 Netflix 界面中列出你可以租赁的视频或付费观看的电影。

这将严重降低 Netflix 目前的运作方式。这会让该应用立即显得廉价。它不再那么干净或高端。

And Netflix may run into the same problem if they did this and they did this poorly. I [snorts] don't believe Netflix should follow the path of Amazon Prime. They shouldn't list out videos that you can rent and movies you can watch if you pay for them in the Netflix interface. That would be a massive degradation in the way that Netflix works today. It'd make the the app instantly feel cheaper. It's not as clean or premium.

Netflix 应该做的是允许你通过 Netflix 注册其他服务,如果你这样做了,那些服务上的所有免费内容都将紧密集成到 Netflix 体验中。想象一下 Netflix 的用户界面,只是因为你通过 Netflix 支付了其他服务的费用,目录变得越来越大。

What Netflix should do is allow you to sign up for other services through Netflix, and if you do, those services, all the free things on them, are tightly integrated into the Netflix experience. Imagine the Netflix user interface, but you simply just have a bigger and bigger catalog cuz you're paying for other services within Netflix.

所以,当我看这条新闻时,我相信 Netflix 有一条前进的道路来做到这一点,而且他们成为中心的动机非常明确。原因是到目前为止,Netflix 只能为其自身的流媒体服务收费。他们只能从自己的内容中赚钱。

但如果他们成为流媒体中心,他们现在就直接将其庞大的分销渠道变现。其他较小的流媒体服务会付费入驻 Netflix。如果有人通过 Netflix 平台注册,他们会分享收入。本质上,Netflix 可以直接将其巨大的覆盖范围和分销能力变现。

他们可以在不增加内容支出的情况下赚钱。他们可以仅仅因为已经足够大就赚钱。这是一条非常有吸引力的路线。

So, when I look at this news, I believe there is a path forward for Netflix to do this, and the incentive is very clear for them to become a hub. The reason why is because so far Netflix can only charge for their own streaming service. They can only make money for their own content. But if they became a streaming hub, they're now directly monetizing their massive distribution. Other smaller streaming services would pay money to be on Netflix. They would share in the revenue that they're making if anybody signs up through Netflix's platform. Netflix, in essence, could directly monetize their massive reach and their massive distribution. They could earn money without spending more money on content. They could earn money by just being big already. That's a very, very attractive route to go.

我相信 Netflix 最终会走这条路。他们只需要把它做对。我认为 Netflix 这样做的部分原因也是因为有其他公司,不仅仅是 Amazon Prime,YouTube 已经在朝这个方向发展。

YouTube 不仅仅是一个内容创作者门户。他们现在有 NFL 比赛。他们现在有奥斯卡奖。他们现在有直播活动。YouTube 在其平台上聚合了大量电视内容。我认为这是流媒体大战的下一阶段。

不仅仅是自己创作内容,也不仅仅是授权内容,而是成为人们看电视的中心枢纽。我认为这是 Netflix 下一步的战略举措。

I believe that Netflix will eventually go this route. They just have to do it right. I believe part of the reason, too, that Netflix is doing this is because there's other companies, not just Amazon Prime, but YouTube is already going this direction. YouTube is not just a content creator portal. They now have NFL games. They now have the Oscars. They now have live events. YouTube has aggregated a lot of TV on its platform. And I believe that's the next phase in the streaming wars. Not just creating content yourself, not just licensing it, but becoming the hub, the central place that people go to watch TV. I believe that's the next strategic move on Netflix's behalf.

所以,我会关注未来 6 个月的情况。我相信 Netflix 将宣布你可以在其平台上购买不同的服务。

So, I would watch over the next 6 months. I believe Netflix will make an announcement that you'll be able to buy different services on their platform.

以上 11 段为这条视频中谈及 $NFLX 的全部内容。逐字对不上字幕的段落不会收录。

他说在等什么

他自己说在等的东西,一段话一条记录。同一件事说过几次就出现几次,我们不合并,也不判断它有没有兑现。

announcement of ability to buy different services on their platform
暂无中文转述,仅英文原句可核对。
他没有说用什么来检验

这个频道对 $NFLX 的历次判断

Joseph Carlson After Hours 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-08-26看涨本条
Netflix 可能会成为一个流媒体中心,这意味着你可能能够通过 Netflix 界面注册 Peacock 等服务。
2026-08-24看涨
接下来,我们来看奈飞。这是第七个持仓。这是一个16,000美元的仓位,34,000美元的收益。奈飞目前交易价格为每股80美元。我为这家公司设定的买入目标价是60美元。如果奈飞是第一家达到其买入目标价的公司,它将获得额外的10,000美元。如果我们回顾奈飞何时达到60美元,那已经有一段时间了。所以,投资者通常对奈飞感到兴奋。他们喜欢这家公司,但最近你可以看到它处于下跌趋势。所以,我确实相信,如果投资者因为下一次财报而对奈飞真的感到失望,无论出于什么原因,我们可能会看到股价迅速下跌。我们以前在奈飞身上见过这种情况。
原话 14:18 ›
看完整历史 ›
这一页只记录说话人自己说过的话,不做判断、不下结论。研究辅助,非投资建议。
TICKERRECEIPTS