Nike 因被认为质量偏低、价格偏高而面临显著逆风;当前进展不足以表明已触底或复苏。
逐段跳播
我知道你们很多人都在问Nike。这样吧,我们先从图表说起。这是Nike,代码NK。我知道,这是一个长期非常受欢迎的品牌。我们当然都知道它的品牌号召力,所有这一切,但天哪,这只股票真的陷入了困境。
公司也陷入了困境,而我交谈过的每个人似乎都不太喜欢它的产品。
I know that you folks um you ask a lot about uh Nike. Let You know what? Let's start with the chart. Here's Nike ticker NK. I know that there's, you know, this is a a longtime uh really popular brand.
We we all know the naming power, all of that, of course, but boy oh boy, this stock has really been in trouble. The company's been in trouble, and everyone I talked to doesn't really seem to like the products.
我们讨论过,这是不是已经见底了?坦率地说,它看起来在这里、这里和这里都见底了,而每一次它都继续走低。真正的底部在哪里?我们究竟需要看到什么,才能确信底部已经出现?会不会就是这一次?
Um, we've talked about, hey, is this bottomed? And frankly, it looks like it bottomed here and here and here, and all those times it continues to push lower. Where is the actual bottom?
And what do we actually need to see to feel convinced that the bottom is in? Might this be it?
Bill Aman表示,Nike的董事会人选Alexander Arno对这家陷入困境的运动用品零售商来说是一个重大进展。这足够吗?我不太确定。
Bill Aman says Nike's board pick Alexander Arno is a great is a great development for the struggling sportsware retailer. Is that going to be enough? I'm not too sure.
其创始人Bill Aman周三表示,Nike(代码NK)决定将LVMH旗下酩悦轩尼诗部门的副首席执行官Alexander Arno加入其董事会,对这家正在经历多年低迷的零售商来说是一个重大进展。
Their founder, Bill Aman, said Wednesday that Nike, ticker NK, decision to add deputy uh CEO of LVMH's Moette Hennessy division, Alexander Arno, to its board was a great development for the retailer, which is working through a multi-year slump.
这已经说得很客气了。在社交媒体平台X上的一篇帖子中,Aman表示他是Arno的粉丝,并相信他能帮助公司,还补充说:“Nike需要帮助。”确实如此。
That's putting it nicely. In a post on social media platform X, Aman said he was a fan of Arno and believed he could help the company, adding that quote, "Nike needs help." End quote. Indeed, that is true.
Arno加入董事会之际,Nike正努力推进“Win Now”扭亏为盈计划,该计划由首席执行官Elliot Hill在2024年9月上任后推出。
Arno joins the board as Nike struggles to gain traction on the win now turnaround plan that CEO Elliot Hill introduced after taking the role in September of 2024.
在9月21日,Nike将被移出标普100指数,这是18年来首次。这家零售商最大的挑战仍然是其Nike运动鞋和Jordan街头鞋业务,这两项业务在2026年第四季度均录得两位数的销售下滑,管理层预计这一趋势将持续到2027财年,然后在下半年改善。
on September of uh on September 21. Nike will be removed from the S&P 100 index for the first time in 18 years. The retailer's biggest challenge remains its Nike sportsear and Jordan streetear business, both of which posted double-digit sales declines in the fourth quarter of 2026, a trend management expects to persist through fiscal 2027 before improving in the back half of the year.
这里的Brandon说,Nike的质量肯定下降了。我认为这确实是这里的关键驱动因素之一,对吧?我完全同意这一点。我记得我小时候,尽管Nike的鞋并不太合我的脚,但产品质量肯定更高,服装也绝对是这样。
那位制作人说:“我不确定质量是否下降了。”我100%确定质量已经下降了。100%确定。
Brandon here is saying Nike quality has definitely gone down. Um that I think is really one of the key drivers here, right? Uh I completely agree with that. I remember back when I was a kid, even though Nikes didn't fit me all that well, the products were definitely higher quality and the clothing was uh absolutely that producer says, "I don't know about the quality going down."
I am 100% certain that the quality has gone down. 100% certain.
我也试过一些产品,与其他类似产品对比,无论是鞋子、高尔夫球、速干服饰、帽子,所有这一切。所有这一切。Nike。我的意思是,也许,也许只是它不太合我的脚。但我不这么认为。我认为不止于此。质量就是没那么好。
I've also tried some of the products against other similar products, whether it's shoes, golf balls, dry fit apparel, hats, all of it. All of it. Nike. Uh I mean, maybe it's maybe it's just doesn't fit me as well.
But I don't think so. I think it's more than that. The quality is just not all that great.
Brandon说,1000%。1000%。我同意这个说法。我自己也见过这种情况。我自己也见过。然后制作人也说,我认为Nike的衰落在于其定价。说实话,这一点我完全同意。而且实际上,我认识几个球鞋收藏者,他们就说,老实说,这些鞋的价格根本不值,比起其他一些鞋来说,而且它们就是没有吸引力。
似乎没有那种需求。很多时候,一款新鞋上市,会定一个高价,然后几周后,就几周后,价格就被大幅砍下来。有时候,有时候砍得真的非常非常狠。
Brandon says a,000%. A,000%. Um, I I I'm with this. I I I I I've seen this myself. Uh, I've seen this myself. So, and then producers also saying, I think Nike's downfall is in their pricing.
Uh, to be honest, as well, that part I absolutely agree with. And actually, I know a couple of shoe collectors that are just like, honestly, the price of these shoes are just not worth the price of some of the other shoes and they're just not desirable.
There's there doesn't seem to be that demand. Uh, a lot of the times a new shoe will come out. It'll have a premium price and then weeks later, like weeks later, the price will be slashed.
Sometimes um sometimes like really really slashed.
中国也一直是该公司持续的不利因素,摩根大通上月指出,明年与合作伙伴滔搏和Top Sports终止线上销售分销,将造成超过10亿美元的年化收入冲击。
China has also been a persistent headwind for the company that with JP Morgan flagging that last month the ending online sales distribution with partner Poo Shang and Top Sports next year will create an annualized revenue hit of more than a billion dollars.
哎呀。Nike股价今年迄今已下跌43.84%,过去一年下跌50.82%,这是一段更长期跌势的一部分,过去五年该股已累计下跌77.3%。
Yikes. Nike shares have fallen 43.84% year-to date and 50.82% over the past year, part of a longer decline that has seen the stock lose 77.3% of its value over the past five years.
所以,就Nike而言,我想说的是,我明白它已经下跌了77%。但真正的催化剂会是什么?让我问你,Brandon,你对Nike的看法非常坚定。要怎样你才会愿意再次购买Nike的产品?
只是质量吗?它必须看起来更好吗?它必须更合脚吗?它必须有某种创新吗?
So, what I would say here as far as the um as far as Nike goes is I understand that it's down 77%. But what is really going to be the catalyst? I Let me ask you, Brandon, you're you're very firm on on how you feel here about Nike.
What would it take for you to willingly purchase Nike products again? Is it just quality? Does it have to look better? Does it have to fit differently? Does it have to be something innovative?
Deco也说,设计上缺乏远见。这就是我交谈过的那些球鞋收藏者说的,他们比我更在乎这些东西,也比我懂得多得多。这正是他们说的。Deco,他们说Nike生产的鞋子就是不时髦。它们不酷。
Deco saying also lack vision in design. This is the shoe collectors that I talked to that care way more about this stuff and know way more about it than me. This is exactly what they're saying.
Deco, they're saying that the shoes that Nike produces, they're just not hip. They're not cool.
Kyrie Irving有一家新的鞋业公司,我猜是做一些独特的鞋子之类的东西。它们全都一样。全都一样。是的,所有这些我都同意。
Kyrie Irving has a new shoe company um that I guess makes like unique shoes and things like that. They It's It's all the same. It's all the same. Um, yes to all of that.
Carmen说:“什么会让我买Nike?别再在中国生产了。”好,就是这样。Deco接着说:“这是多种因素的结合,我完全同意。”它需要一次彻底的改造。我认为这大概就是为什么这位新董事会成员被如此大肆吹捧、或者说被寄予厚望的原因之一,对吧?
因为也许他们真的能带来改变,并对其中一些东西进行改造。
Carmen saying, "What would cause me to buy Nike? Stop making it in China." Okay, there you go. Uh, Deco goes on to say, "It's a combination of things, which I completely agree with."
Um, it needs a complete revamp. And and I think so that's probably one of the reasons why this new board member is being so hyped or or uh looked forward to, right? Because this perhaps they could actually make change here and revamp some of these things.
Eb说:“Nike对我来说太窄了。我选New Balance。”这也是我遇到的问题。Nike的鞋穿起来非常紧,而Jordan的鞋虽然很酷,但穿起来像靴子。感觉就像靴子。
Uh, Eb says, "Nike is too narrow for me. I go with New Balance." That's the same problem I have. Nike shoes fit incredibly tight, and Jordan shoes, although they're cool, they fit like boots. They feel like boots.
Lei 说:“这些年来这个形象已经变了。现在它让人觉得廉价。”而这种感觉很难摆脱。我不认为靠一款产品就能做到这一点。你必须持续推出产品,既要达到质量预期,又要看起来能满足需求。你得让人们有购买这款产品的热情。
Lei says, "The image has changed over the years. It feels cheap now." And that's like like like that feeling that's going to be tough to shake. And I don't think you're going to be able to do that with one product.
You're going to have to have sustained product rollouts that both meet quality expectations and seem to meet like demand. Like you have to have people excited to buy the product.
Rick 说,就 Nike 而言,他们继续降低质量。他们定价很高。这正是那位制作人刚才所说的。这一次没有哪个名人代言能拯救他们。是时候重新夺回他们作为必买品牌的形象了。
Rick saying uh as far as Nike goes, they continue to lower quality. They have high pricing. That's what the the producer was just talking about. No celebrity endorsements will save them this time.
Time to recapture their image as a must-have brand.
我在 Twitter 上看到很多说法,说他们唯一的希望就是 Sydney Sweeney。我不确定我是否全盘接受这些说法。现实地说,或者更现实地说,那里的产品质量最终必须变得更好。
I've seen uh a lot of stuff floating around on Twitter that the only hope that they have is Sydney Sweeney. Now, I don't know that I buy all of that. Realistically, or I should say more realistically, the quality of the product ultimately is going to have to get better there.
N 上涨 30。Nike 已经当了很久定价过高的垃圾。等他们付钱给我做广告,我才会买 Nike。给 Nike 带来很多 Manny Pacquiao 鞋。Manny Pacquiao 和 Nike 有鞋类产品线吗?我甚至不觉得我知道这件事。
N up 30. Nike has been overpriced trash for a while. Uh, I'll buy Nike once they pay me for advertising. bring Nike many Manny Pacquiao shoes. Does Manny Pacquiao have a shoe line with Nike? I don't even think I knew that.
我以前会花 500 美元买三双 Nike。Jason,你现在还这么做吗,还是说这已经不存在了?这已经不算一回事了吗?
I used to spend $500 on three pair of Nikes. Jason, do you still do that or is that like gone? Is that like not a thing anymore?
制作人说 Nike Golf 正在回归。哈哈。哪些产品?我猜是高尔夫球吧。
Producer says Nike Golf is on the comeback. Lol. Um, which products? I guess the golf balls.
这个频道对 $NK 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。