$NVDA

英伟达在半导体领域的主导地位已定;所有产品都将售出,这一趋势将持续3-4年。

看涨他说的是几年内
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The Investor Channel发布 2026-08-28 · 17 段内容
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本周,英伟达公布了第二季度财报,并且公司首次提前一整年给出了收入指引。

week, Nvidia reported their Q2 earnings and for the very first time, the company guided for revenue a full year in advance.

你不需要再浪费任何脑细胞去担心英伟达了。

You don't need to waste any more brain cells worried about Nvidia,

AWS 和英伟达达成战略合作,涉及 200 万块额外的 GPU。这将花费远超 200 万美元。200 万块英伟达 GPU 是数十亿美元。这是在亚马逊同意从 2026 年开始购买的 100 万块 GPU 之外的。

AWS and Nvidia striking a strategic partnership for $2 million 2 million additional GPUs. It's going to cost way more than $2 million. 2 million Nvidia GPUs is billions of dollars. This is on top of the 1 million GPUs that Amazon agreed to buy starting in 2026.

接下来是英伟达。本周开始于 212 点,在宣布财报的一周里,股价在财报后暴涨,但随后横盘并下跌,但最终本周收高 2.3%。

Moving on to Nvidia. Started the week at 212 and on a week where it announced earnings, shares exploded after earnings, but then drifted sideways and down, but finished the week higher by 2.3%.

公司公布了第二季度财报,收入达到 960 亿美元。他们指引 105,或者他们本季度收入增长 105%。更具体地说,公司指引了 2027 财年,包括第三季度,但实际上整个明年。他们预计明年增长超过 70%。

他们实际上说,我想他们暗示了,如果没有这么多供应限制,实际上会是三位数增长。

The company announced those Q2 earnings revenues came in at $96 billion. They are guiding for 105 or they had 105% revenue growth in the quarter. More specifically, the company guided to their fiscal 2027 including the third quarter, but really all next year. They're expecting growth next year over 70%. They actually said, I think they alluded to it, that it'd be actually triple digits if they didn't have so much supply constraints.

当你看到财务数据时,它们令人难以置信。公司在支付所有人之后,一个季度的净利润是 600 亿美元。有些公司做不到 600 亿,有些财富 50 强公司十年才做到 600 亿美元的收入。

这家公司一个季度就做到 600 亿美元的净利润。这绝对是非凡的。

When you look at the financials, they're incredible. The company's net income after everybody gets paid was $60 billion in a quarter. There are companies that don't do 60 bill there are fortune 50 companies that do do $60 billion of revenue in 10 years. This company is doing $60 billion in net income. It is absolutely extraordinary.

现在,公司还在准备收购 Hugging Face,这是一个 AI 仓库。它通常是你去启动模型的地方。在过去一周左右,我们实际上看到了两笔关键收购。Stripe 收购了 OpenRouter。

英伟达收购 Hugging Face。这向我表明,这些公司正在为一个单一模型不会获胜的世界做准备。在那个世界里,将会有几十个甚至几百个模型获胜。如果你持有这样的世界观,即不仅仅是 Anthropic 和 OpenAI,如果你认为将会有几十个甚至几百个 AI 模型供人们日常使用,那么 Hugging Face 和 OpenRouter 就是两笔关键的收购。

我认为有趣的是,Stripe 是一家了不起的公司,然后显然英伟达不用说,它可能是最了不起的公司,在这个领域进行收购。这告诉你他们认为行业的发展方向。他们在这里进行收购,我认为这最终会是明智之举。

Now the company also preparing an acquisition of hugging face which is an AI repository. It's often the place where you go to launch the model. We've actually seen two critical acquisitions over the last week or so. Stripe bought open router. Nvidia buying hugging face. What this is showing me is these companies are preparing for a world where one model doesn't win. where you are going to have dozens if not hundreds of models that win. If you are of that worldview that it's not going to be just anthropic and just anthropic [clears throat] and open AI. If you are the worldview that there are going to be dozens if not hundreds of AI models that people are going to be using on a daily basis, then hugging face and open router are two key acquisitions. I think it's interesting that you have Stripe, which is an incredible company, and then obviously Nvidia goes without saying, it might be the most incredible company, making acquisitions in that space. It's telling you where they think the industry is heading. They're making acquisitions here, and I think it's going to end up being a smart one.

现在,公司暂停了与 AI 云合作伙伴的收入分成协议。这是他们进行一些风险投资的地方,他们向公司提供 AI 云提供商的积分,以换取收入分成。一些人引用潜在的监管担忧,虽然我不认为特朗普政府会担心这个。

所以,这一定是别的原因。也许缺乏兴趣。也许缺乏需求,或者英伟达那边缺乏资源来完成这件事。

Now, the company is pausing, though. It's revenue sharing deals with AI cloud partners. This is where they made some venture investments in companies where they offered credits at AI cloud providers in exchange for a share of revenues. Some people citing potentially regulatory concerns here, although I I don't think the Trump administration is worried about that. So, this must be something else. Maybe there was a lack of interest. Maybe there was a lack of demand or there was a lack of resources over at Nvidia to pull this off.

英伟达提前一年给出指引。这些公司生产的任何东西都会被卖出去。在过去三年里,我们不得不讨论英伟达的收入是否会继续沿着这个轨迹发展。我们不得不讨论他们的技术是否会在每次迭代和每次涨价后被采用。

我们不得不讨论 OpenAI、Anthropic、亚马逊和超大规模云厂商是否会采用他们的技术。各位,所有这些讨论都已经结束了。这里没有什么可讨论的了。这就像讨论谷歌搜索引擎和雅虎搜索引擎之间的区别,或者 iPhone 是否还会在三年或四年后存在一样。

Nvidia is guiding forward a year. Anything that these companies make is going to get sold. Over the past 3 years, we had to discuss if Nvidia's revenue was going to continue at this trajectory. We had to discuss if their technology was going to get adopted after each iteration and each price increase. We had to discuss if OpenAI and Anthropic and Amazon and the hyperscalers were going to adopt their technology. Folks, all of those discussions are done and over. There is nothing left to discuss here. This would be like discussing the difference between Google search engine and Yahoo search engine or whether the iPhone is still going to be around in three or four years.

在这个阶段,各位,半导体行业没有什么可讨论的。无论英伟达生产什么,都会被卖出去。现在,不要误以为我们需要赶紧卖掉半导体股票。那是幼儿园水平的想法。我要说的是,半导体领域已经没有什么可讨论的了。

AI领域还有可讨论的,物理AI也有可讨论的。关于AI如何被应用到企业、组织、政府和社会中,有很多可以讨论的。但在半导体层面,确实已经没有什么可讨论的了。顶层有三四家主导公司,有一到两家主导的制造商,有一到两家或三家主导的内存公司。

就这些。这就是你需要知道的一切。这个趋势在未来三四年还会继续。但试图讨论新芯片就像讨论新款iPhone一样。它会发布,会销售。这就是你需要知道的一切。

At this stage, guys, there is nothing to discuss in the semiconductor industry. Whatever Nvidia makes is going to get sold. Now, don't mistake that with, oh, we need to run out and sell our semiconductor stocks. That's how a kindergarten would think. What I am saying is there is nothing left to discuss in semiconductors. There are things to discuss in AI. There's things to discuss in physical AI. There's a lot to discuss around how AI is going to be implemented across businesses, organizations, governments, and society. But there is literally nothing left to discuss at the semiconductor layer. You have three or four dominant companies at the top. You have one to two manufacturers that dominate. You have one to two memory companies or three memory companies that dominate. And that's it. That's all you need to know. And the trend is going to continue to play out for the next three or four years. But trying to discuss the new chips is like discussing the new iPhone. It's going to come out. It's going to sell. And that's all you need to know.

你必须明白,SpaceX将把这些发射到天空。这将是英伟达来开发这个。所以你在怀疑英伟达开发这个。关于太空数据中心,你还需要明白另一件事。首先,它们已经存在了。其次,你减去了GPU或数据中心中最困难、最昂贵的两个方面。

电力问题基本解决了,冷却问题100%解决了。在太空中你不需要冷却这些东西,而且在合适的轨道上,太阳几乎24小时照射。所以解决了这两件事,这并不复杂。现在,将数据从地球传到数据中心,可能稍微难一点,但也是可能解决的。

What you have to understand is this SpaceX is going to launch these into the sky. This is going to be Nvidia that is going to develop this. So you are doubting Nvidia developing this. The other thing you have to understand about space data centers. First of all they already exist. Number two, you subtract two of the hardest and most costly aspects of a GPU or a data center. The power is more or less solved and the cooling is 100% solved. You don't have to cool these things in space and the sun shines essentially 24 hours a day at the right orbit in space. So you solve those two things and this is not that complicated. Now, getting the data to and from Earth to the data center, that's probably a little bit harder as well, but something that is probably can be solved.

英伟达的财报不足以推动其股价走高。

Nvidia earnings weren't enough to power it higher.

英伟达在财报后出现了漂亮的走势,然后回吐了大部分涨幅。我们谈到过,他们本周涨幅仅略低于3%。你重新测试了高点。你在图表上没有创出更高的高点,但你所有的移动平均线仍然保持正面。

Nvidia made a beautiful move after earnings and then gave most of it back. We talked about how they were up only just south of 3% this week. You retested the highs. You didn't create a new higher high on the chart, but all your moving averages remain positive.

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这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

The Investor Channel 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-08-28看涨本条
本周,英伟达公布了第二季度财报,并且公司首次提前一整年给出了收入指引。
方向翻转
2026-08-21
接下来看英伟达。本周初股价为225美元,哦,临近财报。我以为我们会涨。开玩笑,我们下跌了4.75%,本周收于214美元,就在财报前5天。
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这一页只记录说话人自己说过的话,不做判断、不下结论。研究辅助,非投资建议。
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