基于庞大的 AI 订单储备和企业护城河,Oracle 是长期买入标的;短期交易波动较大。
逐段跳播
Oracle是我们名单上的下一只股票,代码是OCL。联合创始人Larry Ellison已放弃出售最多5000万股这家云计算巨头股票的计划。按该公司股票前一个收盘价计算,这批股票价值约75亿美元。Oracle股价在盘前又下跌了3.58%。
Oracle is the next stock on our list. That's ticker OCL. Co-founder Larry Ellison has scrapped a plan to sell up to 50 million shares of the cloud computing giant. That's worth about 7.5 billion based on the previous closing price of the company shares.
Oracle shares down another 3.58% in the pre-market.
这次要讲的是Oracle,上周Oracle公布财报时我们谈过这个话题。Oracle的AI堡垒不止于OpenAI,如今一位分析师称其不可或缺。
This is going to be on Oracle, and we talked about this when Oracle uh posted its earnings last week. Oracle's AI fortress goes beyond OpenAI, and an analyst is now calling this essential.
还记得吗,我们谈过Oracle的订单积压大得惊人,这家公司在未来36个月内仅凭订单积压就将实现约3300亿美元的收入。
Remember, we talked about Oracle's backlog being unbelievably huge and that this company in the next 36 months is going to realize something like 330 billion dollars in revenue from their backlog alone.
Oracle,代码OCL,其股价在周一的盘前交易中下跌近4%,因科技股整体走弱拖累了市场情绪。该股下跌,因投资者重新评估人工智能基础设施支出的前景。
Oracle, ticker OCL stock fell nearly 4% in Monday's pre-market trading as weakness across technology stocks weighed on sentiment. The stock fell as investors reassessed the outlook for artificial intelligence infrastructure spending.
不过,盘前走弱之际,一些投资者仍看好Oracle长期的人工智能机会。我就属于这一阵营。KKM Financial创始人Jeff Kilberg称Oracle是一只“不可或缺的股票”,是“值得持有”的股票,因这家软件巨头在AI基础设施中的角色不断扩大。
However, the pre-market weakness comes as some investors remain bullish on Oracle's longerterm artificial intelligence opportunity. That's the camp I fit into. KKM financial founder Jeff Kilberg called Oracle quote an essential stock and quote to own as the software giants expand its role in AI infrastructure.
Kilberg周五在CNBC上表示,他援引Oracle最新的季度业绩和不断增长的订单积压作为需求强劲的证据。Kilberg说,“他们在这么多指标上都超预期。”他还强调了剩余履约义务(RPOS),他说这部分增加了约260亿美元。
Speaking on CNBC on Friday, Kilberg pointed to Oracle's latest quarterly results and growing backlog as evidence of strong demand. Kilberg said quote they beat on so many metrics end quote. and he highlighted the remaining performance obligations or RPOS which he said increased by about $26 billion.
在这些业绩公布后,Oracle股价最初上涨约7%至8%。但随着股价在164至166附近停滞,这波涨势消退了。
Oracle shares initially jumped about 7 and 12 to 8% following those results. However, the rally faded after the stock stalled around 164 to 166.
Kilberg将部分回落归因于期权活动活跃。交易者在财报前买入的看涨期权多于看跌期权,推高了对股价迈向175的预期。当涨势停滞时,短期期权活动助推了股价走低,但Kilberg仍表示,长期投资逻辑依然完好。
Kilberg attributed part of the reversal to heavy options activity. Traders had bought more calls than puts ahead of the report raising expectations for a move towards 175. When the rally stalled, shortdated options activity helped drive the shares lower, but still Kilberg said long-term in longerterm investment cases remain intact.
“我们认为它是一只不可或缺的股票。”这是他向CNBC表示的。Kilberg还指出Oracle在《财富》500强公司中有着深厚的布局。其软件对消费者而言可能成本高昂且难以替换。这一既有客户基础也让Oracle有机会向客户销售更多的AI算力。
Quote, "We believe it's an essential name." End quote. And he told that to CNBC. Kilberg also pointed to Oracle's deep presence across Fortune 500 companies. Its software can be costly and difficult for consumers to replace.
That installed base also gives Oracle an opportunity to sell customers more AI computing capacity.
他还淡化了外界对Oracle在OpenAI上敞口的担忧。Kilberg认为,即便OpenAI失势,对算力基础设施的需求仍将存在。另一家AI公司或许可以直接使用这些算力。
He also played down concerns about Oracle's exposure to open AI. Even if OpenAI were to falter, Kilberg argued that demand for computing infrastructure would remain. Another AI company could potentially just use that capacity instead.
他的言论凸显了围绕Oracle的更广泛投资逻辑。AI的个体赢家可能会变,但对驱动AI的基础设施的需求可能依然强劲。
His comments underscore the broader investment thesis around Oracle. Individual AI winners may change, but demand for the infrastructure powering AI could remain strong.
另外,周末我们得到消息,Larry Ellison取消了他出售Oracle股票的计划。顺便说一句,那是价值约75亿美元的股票,他现在打算继续持有。
Also, over the weekend, we got news that Larry Ellison cancels his plans to sell his Oracle stock. By the way, that was about $7.5 billion dollar worth of stock that he's now going to hold.
在我看来,这很简单。如果Larry Ellison不选择套现、拿走大约75亿美元现金,那他大概认为这笔资产未来会更值钱。
To me, this is an easy one. If Larry Ellison is going to not ring the register and take seven half billion dollars in cash or thereabouts, he probably thinks that's going to be worth more in the future.
我非常好奇。你总体上怎么看Oracle?也许你甚至不需要关注Larry Ellison和他的股票出售计划之类的,但你怎么看Oracle?短期、长期,都说说。
I'm very curious. Uh what do you think on Oracle just in general? Perhaps you don't even need to focus on Larry Ellison and his stock uh selling plans and all of that, but what do you think on Oracle? Short-term, long-term, both.
Oracle,我想你说的是这个,不是Cassle。我想你指的是Oracle。O和K在键盘上挨得很近,所以我能理解。顺便说一句,黄金正从低点攀升,Ryan,这是Oracle。它重新回到了VWAP上方。
不过,我确实认为我们希望、我们需要Oracle回到145上方。
Uh Oracle, I think that's what you meant, not Cassle. I think you meant Oracle. O and K are close to each other on the keyboard, so I can understand that. By the way, gold climbing off of its low, Ryan, here's Oracle.
It's back above its VWAP. Would really think that we want think we need Oracle back above 145, though.
机器人确实在这里对Oracle开了一笔新交易。所以,我们看看这笔交易最终会不会奏效。再说一次,我今天确实把很多科技股通过机器人这个仓位在回调时买入了。我看看能不能……天哪,到底怎么回事?
让我试着刷新一下pro。我们看看这样行不行。Oracle拉升了,看起来想走高,但我们再看看。
Bot did take a new trade here in Oracle. So, we'll see if this one ends up working here. Again, I did put a lot of those tech names on the dip by sleeve of the bot here today. I'll see if I can get or man, what on earth is going on?
Let me try refreshing pro here. Uh we'll see if that's good. Oracle popped looks like it's trying to go higher, but we'll see.
我做多Oracle。看看这有没有用。
I'm long Oracle. Let's see if that help.
它其实刚刚平掉了Oracle。看起来像是一次换仓。以打平的价格平掉了Oracle。作为替代买入了Marll,供参考。
and it actually just closed Oracle. That looks like a seat flip. Closed out oracle for scratch. entered Marll as a replacement FYI.
它做的是把……天哪,那只股票是什么来着?我怎么记不住事情了?把Oracle抛掉,换成Marll。
what it did was it tossed um oh my god what was that stock there? Why can't I remember things? uh toss Oracle out in exchange for Marll.
机器人似乎在做正确的事。抛掉了Oracle,因为它没有走出行情。现在Oracle回落到VWAP。那就加油吧。我喜欢看到这个。
bot seems to be doing the right thing. Tossed out Oracle cuz it wasn't making its move. Now Oracle pulling back here to the VWAP. So giddy up. Like to see that.
观察点
这个频道对 $ORCL 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。