$SCHD

SCHD 因其基于估值剔除高估股票的机制,在高估值市场中是有效的对冲工具;当前股息增长偏低很可能是暂时现象,并不代表全年疲软。

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《SCHD Just Announced Their Q3 Dividend Payment!》
Dividendology发布 2026-09-22 · 34 段内容
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季度股息分配刚刚公布。金额为每股 0.2665 美分,将于 9 月 28 日支付。此次分配的增加将在投资者中引发关于 SCHD 基金的诸多疑问,因为与去年第三季度的分配相比,这仅代表 2.34% 的增长。

quarter dividend distribution has just been announced . The value was 0.2665 cents per share, and it will be paid out on September 28. This increase in distributions will raise many questions among investors about the SCHD fund, as it represents an increase of only 2.34% compared to the distributions in the third quarter of last year.

但也许更多人会谈论的是,到目前为止,与 2025 年相比,SCHD 基金在 2026 年的分配仅增长了 0.32%。

But what perhaps more people will talk about is that, so far and compared to 2025, the SCHD fund has seen only 0.32% growth in distributions in 2026.

这远低于我们历史上从该基金看到的情况。例如,自 2019 年以来,分配的增长接近 12%,而自成立以来,年增长接近约 11%。

This is far less than what we have historically seen from this fund. For example, since 2019 the growth in distributions has been close to 12%, and since the establishment it has been close to about 11% annually.

那么,这个框里发生了什么?为什么股息增长如此之低?现在,让我们开始,我们对 SCHD 基金了解多少?嗯,到目前为止的 2026 年,其表现在各方面都堪称卓越。剔除股息支付后,它上涨了约 23%。

So, what happens with this box? Why is the growth in dividends so low? Now, let's begin, what do we know about the SCHD fund? Well, in 2026 so far, his performance has been exceptional by all measures.

It has risen by approximately 23% excluding dividend payments.

这有几个不同的原因,但如果我们单纯看 SCHD 的持仓,可以看到它们也配置于医疗保健、防御性消费必需品和能源板块。

There are several different reasons for this, but if we simply look at SCHD’s holdings , we can see that they have allocations to the healthcare, defense consumer goods , and energy sectors as well.

能源板块是最大的赢家。它上涨了约 40%。这大幅推高了 SCHD,但我们也可以看到医疗保健板块表现同样良好,上涨了约 9%。

The energy sector was the biggest winner. It has increased by about 40%. This pushed SCHD up significantly, but we can also see that the healthcare sector performed well as well, rising by about 9%.

所以,是的,仅从股价上涨的角度来看,SCHD 自年初以来表现非常好,而从总回报的角度来看,这种优异表现显然被放大了。

So, yes , from the perspective of the stock price increase alone, SCHD has performed very well since the beginning of the year, and this superior performance is clearly amplified when viewed on the basis of total returns.

然而,许多人投资这只基金是因为其历史上强劲的分配增长。我的意思是,例如,看看分配增长的历史水平。请密切关注这张年度增长图表。我们可以看到,我们最常谈论的是两位数的增长,在某些情况下是 17% 到 18%,以及接近 20% 的增长,还有一些增长是 16%。

However, many people invest in this fund because of its historically strong distribution growth. I mean, for example, look at the historical levels of distribution growth. Pay close attention to this annual growth chart.

We can see that we are most often talking about double-digit growth, and in some cases 17 to 18%, and growth approaching 20%, with some growth being 16%.

这就是为什么这只基金成为收益型投资者最爱的原因。那么,让我们开始更详细地分析这次最新的分配公告。如果我们在这里稍微放大,可以看到最新的分配为 0.2625。我们将通过年度增长来开始讨论它。

This is why this fund has become a favorite among income investors. So, let's begin analyzing this latest distribution announcement in more detail. If we zoom in a little here, we can see the latest distribution push of 0.2625.

Which we will begin to talk about through annual growth.

首先,让我们谈谈季度分配的同比增长。看 2025 年第三季度,股息金额为 0.2604。今年达到 0.2625,增长不到 1%。当然算不上大幅增长。

To begin, let's talk about the year-on-year growth of quarterly distributions . Looking at the third quarter of 2025, the value of dividends was 0.2604. This year it reached 0.2625, a growth of less than 1%. Certainly not substantial growth.

我们也可以将股息支付与上一季度进行比较,这并不是最好的评估方式。但它再次经历了小幅增长。但当你看到目前为止与上年相比的这三个增长率时,它们并不令人印象深刻。我的意思是,我们谈论的是 2026 年迄今为止仅 0.32% 的股息增长。

We can also compare dividend payouts to the previous quarter, which is not the best way to evaluate. But it experienced slight growth again . But when you look at these three growth rates so far compared to the previous year, they are not impressive.

I mean, we're talking about dividend growth of only 0.32% so far in 2026.

再次,为什么会这样?这里我们需要了解关于这些交易所交易基金结构的一些非常重要的事情。SCHD 实际上是如何收取和分配其利润的?

Again, why is this happening? Here we need to understand something very important about the structure of these exchange-traded funds. How does SCHD actually collect and distribute its profits?

这相对简单。SCHD 基金做什么?看看基金的资产。该基金从其资产中收取股息,然后将收入分配给基金的份额。请记住这一点,因为份额数量很重要。但这里有一点非常重要,需要理解。净现金流量的规模和时机对像 SCHD 这样的基金可能意义重大,因为在积累期间,大规模的创设或赎回会改变份额数量。

It's relatively simple. What does the SCHD fund do? Look at the fund's assets. The fund collects dividends from its assets and then distributes the income to the fund's shares.

Keep this in mind, because the number of shares matters. But here's what's very important to understand. The size and timing of net cash flows can be significant for funds like SCHDs because large creations or redemptions change the number of shares during the accumulation period.

举例来说,假设SCHD已经收取了它将在第三季度分配的大部分利润。这很可能是真的。然后假设SCHD在分配前几天经历了管理资产规模和份额数量的大幅增长。这突然意味着SCHD每股股息变小了。

For example, let's assume that SCHD collected most of the profits it will distribute for the third quarter. This is likely to be true. Then let's assume that SCHD experienced a significant increase in assets under management and in the number of its shares a few days before the distribution.

This suddenly means smaller dividends per share at SCHD.

这一点很少有人讨论,但Charles Schwab已经确认这种情况可能发生。现在,有趣的地方在这里。看看我制作并发布在Seeking Alpha上的这张关于SCHD过去一年资金流向的图表。

This is not something that is discussed much, but Charles Schwab has confirmed that this could happen. Now, here's what's interesting about this. Take a look at this chart I created and posted on Seeking Alpha about SCHD fund flows over the past year.

首先,你可以看看2025年末和2026年初,当时投资者对SCHD的悲观情绪达到顶点,并开始真正抛弃这只基金,而这是最糟糕的时机。

To begin with, you can look to late 2025 and early 2026, when investors were at the height of their pessimism about SCHD, and actually started to abandon the fund, which is the worst possible time to do so.

但如今这只基金表现良好,投资者正在回归,投入创纪录的资金。SCHD是最受欢迎的股息基金。

But now that the fund is performing well, investors are returning to it, pumping in record amounts of capital. SCHD is the most popular dividend fund.

但由于我们近几个季度看到的这些大规模资金流入,这很可能对我们现在看到的较小分配起到了作用。理解这一点很重要,但这并不是唯一值得提及的数据点。请密切关注这里。股息派发在今年前三个季度实现了增长。

从历史上看,你可以看到几乎每年都处于绿色区域,增长显著。

But as a result of these massive inflows that we have seen in recent quarters, it is very likely that this has played a role in the smaller distributions that we are seeing now.

This is important to understand, but it is not the only data point worth mentioning. Pay close attention to this here. Dividend payouts grew during the first three quarters of the year.

Historically, you can see that this has been in the green zone almost every year with remarkable growth.

然而,我们在这里看到一年。这是哪一年?好,是2016年。让我们放大并仔细看看发生了什么。在前三个季度,我们可以看到现金股息增长为-1.81%。这是有史以来最差的,但全年总分配增长最终为9.72%;在2016年第四季度,分配同比增长了46%到近47%。

However, we see one year here. What year is this ? Okay, it's 2016. Let's zoom in and take a closer look at what happened. During the first three quarters, we can see that the growth in cash dividends was -1.81%.

It was the worst ever, but total distribution growth for the year ended at 9.72%; In the fourth quarter of 2016, distribution grew by 46 to nearly 47% year-on-year.

因此,请记住,今年前三个季度分配增长疲软,并不一定意味着全年整体增长会疲软。然而,正如我们现在所知,这只基金的资金流向通常会影响这一点。关于SCHD股息派发较小的原因以及它们未来可能的表现,有两点非常重要的观察值得注意。

Therefore, keep in mind that weak distribution growth during the first three quarters of the year does not necessarily mean that overall annual growth will be weak. However, as we now know, the fund's flows will generally affect this .

These are two very important observations that should be noted regarding the reason for SCHD's small dividend payouts and what they may look like in the future .

现在,我想快速介绍一下我的SCHD股息情况,因为你可能知道这只股票在我的投资组合中。那么我们就来谈一谈。我持有SCHD约3,717股。

Now, I want to quickly go over what my SCHD dividend looks like, because you probably know that this stock is in my portfolio . So let's go ahead and talk about that for a moment. I own approximately 3,717 shares in SCHD.

我们现在知道股息将是0.2665。所以如果我们输入这些数字0.2665,我们可以看到我的SCHD股息将约为975.71美元。

What we know now is that the dividend will be 0.2665. So if we enter these numbers 0.2665, we can see that my SCHD dividend will amount to approximately $975.71.

我再说一遍,我已经说过很多次,但重要的是要明白,SCHD的魔力不在于你现在收到的股息,而在于你未来将收到的股息。

I repeat, I've said this many times, but it's important to understand that the magic of SCHD isn't in the dividends you receive now, but in those you'll receive in the future.

那么让我们看看股息分配的滚雪球效应是如何真正开始发生的。以这些季度股息和SCHD目前约每股73.74美元的交易价格,一旦股息再投资,我将增加约28到29股。

So let's see how the snowball effect of dividend distributions really starts to happen. With these quarterly dividends and SCHD’s current trading price of around $73.74 per share, I would add about 28 to 29 shares once the dividends are reinvested.

以SCHD目前的分配水平,这将增加约31美元的年度分配收入,如果按年计算,将增加约124美元。

With SCHD’s current distributions, this would add about $31 to annual distribution income , and if calculated on an annual basis, it would add about $124.

这很好,但更强大的是我的分配实际上如何通过分配本身的增长而增长。所以,如果我的派发约为975.71美元,假设年度股息增长为11%,这一增长带来的额外股息收入将约为107美元。

That's great, but what's even more powerful is how my distributions actually grow through the growth of the distributions themselves. So, if my payout is approximately $975.71, assuming an annual dividend growth of 11%, the added dividend income from this growth would be approximately $107.

如果把两者结合起来,你可以看到,一旦我保留SCHD,我的预计年度股息收入将增加约231.10美元。换句话说,你在这里看到的这个数字,即预计年度股息收入,仅通过持有SCHD,今年就增加了约231美元。

If we combine the two, you can see that once I retain the SCHD, I add approximately $231.10 to my projected annual dividend income . In other words, this figure you see here, which is the projected annual dividend income , is up by about $231 this year just by holding SCHD.

现在,我还想快速指出一点,那就是我知道有些人担心SCHD“估值过高”,因为其股价在2026年迄今出现了大幅上涨。然而,这样看待SCHD是错误的。

Now, there is one more thing I would like to point out quickly, which is that I know some people are concerned that SCHD is "overvalued" because the share price has seen a significant rise so far in 2026. However, it is wrong to view SCHD in this way.

但SCHD有趣的地方在这里。它是对昂贵市场的一种极佳对冲。很多人认为:“哦,那只是因为他持有的股票类型。他持有的是价值股、派息股。”但实际上,这是由所采用的方法论造成的。

But here's what's interesting about SCHD. It's an amazing hedge against an expensive market. Many people think, "Oh, that's just because of the type of stocks he holds . He holds value stocks, dividend-paying stocks."

But in reality, this is due to the methodology used.

是的,SCHD 有主要的筛选条件,会寻找具有股息增长记录和最低市值门槛的股票。它们有质量筛选。但它们还做了一件很多人不会想到的事,那就是按照所声明的年度股息率对初步筛选的结果进行排名,只保留前 50%。

Yes, SCHD has primary filters that look for a track record of dividend growth and a minimum market capitalization threshold. They have quality filters. But one thing they also do that many people don't think about is that they rank the results of their initial filters according to the declared annual dividend yield and keep only the top 50%.

那么,这为什么有意思呢?当一家公司的股价上涨速度快于其股息支付时,其回报率就会下降。然而,由于 SCHD 所跟踪的指数寻找的是高于平均水平的回报率,并将回报率纳入其综合评级,因此一只股票的价格偏离其股息越远,它被纳入的竞争力就可能越低。

Now, why is this interesting? Well , when a company's stock price rises faster than its dividend payouts, its return decreases. However, because SCHD’s underlying index looks for above-average returns and includes the return in its composite rating, a stock can become less competitive for inclusion the further its price deviates from its dividends.

那么,这在估值方面究竟意味着什么?设想一家公司的股票以 100 美元交易,每年赚 5 美元,并支付 4 美元的股息。市盈率(P/E)约为 20 倍,股息率为 4%。然而,如果股价上涨到 150 美元,而盈利和股息保持不变,市盈率就会升至 30 倍,股息率则降至约 2.67%。

这家公司并没有变得更能盈利,但投资者现在为同样的股息和派息多支付了 50%。

Now, what does this actually mean in terms of evaluation? Okay, think of a company whose stock trades at $100, makes $5 a year, and pays out $4 in dividends. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 20 times, and the dividend yield is 4%.

However, if the share price rises to $150 while earnings and dividends remain unchanged , the price-to-earnings ratio rises to 30 times and the yield falls to about 2.67%. The company has not become more profitable, but investors are now paying 50% more for the same dividends and payouts.

因此,悖论在于,这种方法论导致 SCHD 排除高价股票,并纳入那些股息率更高的同类股票。换句话说,这不仅带来了分配的人为增长,还使 SCHD 年复一年地保持在一个趋于收敛的估值区间内。它阻止了该基金持有昂贵的股票。

The paradox, therefore, is that this methodology leads SCHD to exclude high-priced stocks and add their higher-yielding counterparts . In other words, this not only provides artificial growth in distributions , but also keeps SCHD within a converging valuation range year after year.

It prevents the fund from holding expensive stocks.

出于这个原因,这只基金在高价市场中是一种极佳的对冲工具。以上就是对 SCHD 基金的简要概述。我们希望这提供了一些有趣的见解,说明为什么其分配低于许多人的预期。我们也希望它清楚地表明,正如 2016 年那样,年度股息增长依然非常强劲。

For this reason, this fund is an excellent hedging tool in a high-priced market. That was a quick overview of the SCHD fund. We hope this has provided some interesting insights into why the distributions were lower than many expected.

We hope that he also made it clear, as in 2016 for example, that annual dividend growth remains very strong.

观察点

2026年全年分派总额的增长
尽管前三季度疲弱,仍实现强劲增长
年底年报
支持当前疲弱只是暂时的论点;若全年增长仍然低迷,则削弱该论点

这个频道对 $SCHD 的历次判断

Dividendology 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-22看涨本条
季度股息分配刚刚公布。金额为每股 0.2665 美分,将于 9 月 28 日支付。
2026-09-09看涨
然而,许多人忽视的是,真正的泡沫,至少在人工智能竞赛中,不会在价格上,而在于潜在盈利增长的下降。我看到很多人提到这一点,但仍然被误解。然而,我的钱包是为这种情况设计的,原因有几个。首先,我投资组合中的核心资产无论市场状况如何都继续增加股息支付。这意味着我从股息中获得的收入继续每月增长。在某些情况下,这是好事,因为它让我能够以较低的价格再投资股息,使我能够购买更多股票,从而以更快的速度增加我的股息收入。但我的投资组合不仅以这种方式受到保护,还因为它形成了其主要支柱,SCHD,约占我投资组合的40%。
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