SMH 的整体周期转换偏多/看涨，下一轮上涨有较大概率触及约 636（78.6 斐波那契位）。
逐段跳播
如果我把鼠标悬停在SMH旁边的对话框上，会有一条注释告诉我们，日线周期可能显示强势，因为同步低点可能已经到位。
if I hover over the dialogue box next to SMH, there's a note that tells us that the daily cycle might show strength because the synced trough might already be in place.
所以现在SMH这里是一个非常早期的转向，目前只是需要监测。我们实际上还没有突破任何区间高点，但这是肯定要留意的事情。
So this is a very early turn here right now in the SMH to just be monitoring right now. We haven't actually cleared any kind of range highs yet, but uh this is something to certainly be aware of.
目前，这里的整体周期转换一直是正面的。这是什么意思？这意味着这是一个看涨的转换，高点远高于旧高点，而且低点很可能也远高于那个旧低点。
Right now, the overall cycle translation here has been positive. What do we mean by that? Well, that means that this is a bullish translation with with a far higher high versus the old high and in all likelihood a far higher low versus that old low.
好。也就是说，一旦我们形成那个低点，接下来的上升阶段很有可能至少先移动到大约636的78.6斐波那契回撤位。然后上方有旧高点67183。
Okay. So that says once we form that low that next rising phase has good odds of moving at first at least to that 78.6 fib at about 636. Then you have the old highs up here at 67183.
如果我们跳到ASLM的MCM，你会看到在短期时间框架上，截至今天早上它现在略微偏多。所以这是要留意的事情。在中期它也是中性。
If we hop over to the ASLM MCM you will see on the shortterm time frame this is now slightly bullish as of this morning. So that is something to be aware of. On the intermediate term it is also neutral.
我们继续跳到短期，你可以看到我们显然仍处于区间震荡。我们实际上还没有明确突破任何摆动高点或摆动低点。
Let's go ahead and hop over to the short term and you can see we are clearly still rangebound. We haven't really moved out of uh any clear either swing highs or swing lows yet.
我们的RS刚刚在日线时间框架上转为上行，我们在slim ribbon上是中性状态，有一个低点预计在9:15到9:22之间。
Our uh our RS has just now turned up on the daily time frame and we have a neutral condition on the slim ribbon with a low that is due 9:15 to run 9:22.
我们需要突破大约587左右的78.6。如果这能实现，那么上方有旧高点600。如果能突破600，这将真正相当显著地改变整体形态，因为我们可能会看到从周期低点到高点再到低点这样的走势。
你可能很容易就会看向上行方向616到637的区域。
We need to move through that that uh that 78.6 six at at about 587 or so. And then if that can happen, you have the old highs at 600. If you can move through 600, this would really change the overall pattern quite meaningfully because we could be looking at a move like this from cycle low to the high to the low. You could be looking for a move easily towards the 616 to 637 area uh on the upside.
一旦这些关键区域在上行方向被突破，让我们回到光标这里，当然就是78.6和旧摆动高点。这些是我们上行的关键底线。在下行方向，有这些现在实际上已经相等的低点54075。
Once these key areas are moved out on the upside, let's get back to our cursor here, which are of course the 78.6 and the old swing high. Those are our key upside lines in the sand. On the downside, you have these really now equal lows at 54075.
这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 4 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。