$SPCX

SPCX 有望实现技术性突破,若收盘价站上 155,则至少上看 174。

看涨他说的是几天内
《SpaceX Trading Strategy: The Breakout Is Coming》
T3 Live发布 2026-09-22 · 13 段内容
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13 段内容
0:003:59

这些只是从IPO中整理出的成交量分布。你可以看到,成交量最高的节点在152.25附近,现在它正在充当支撑位。如果收盘站上155,这匹马就要跑起来了。这就是我在等的。我需要价格在155上方被接受。

So those are just the volume profiled out from the IPO. And what you can see here is your highest volume node is around 152 and a quarter and now it's acting as support. We get a close above above 155 and this pony is going to go.

So that's what I'm waiting for. I need a price acceptance over 155.

我们正在经历一个周期,基本上是在消化来自IPO的上方供给。人们在回调时买入,做了152那批,他们又买了一次回调,然后这里的突破失败了,这在左侧制造了大量的上方供给。

We're going through a cycle of um basically overhead supply absorption from from the IPO. people bought the dip, did the 152s, they bought the dip again and then they the breakout failed here which create a whole lot of overhead supply on left side.

在我看来,光看这张图,一旦你突破155,价格在它上方被接受,你可以看到左侧这里的成交量分布要稀薄得多,对吧?这可能意味着上方供给少得多,而更稀薄的分布可能意味着更快的走势。所以,我认为我们正处在一个技术性突破的边缘。

Um, in my opinion, just looking at this chart is once you once you get through 155, you get press acceptance above it. You can see the volume profile to the left here is much thinner, right?

Indicating potentially uh a lot lower red supply and a thinner profile would probably indicate a faster. So, I think we're on the on the brink of a technical breakout here.

它每突破155一天,甚至152,都是白送的钱。就像你只要买入,花一两美元买进去,你就赚到白送的钱。

Uh, every day that it breaks 155 is um even 152 is free money. like you just you drive buy just buy it for a dollar or two and you make free money.

但我们还没有得到那种价格接受。这里仍然有卖方。所以他们让它涨上来,然后吸收掉那些供给,再把它压回去。但你会注意到,重要的是更高的低点。现在左侧到处都是更高的低点。那些低点在抬高。

它们不再回到锚定VWAP。明白吗?它们在这里盘整。这可能形成一个楔形。最终可能形成一个三角旗形、一个旗形。我们不知道。

But uh we haven't we haven't had that price acceptance. There's still sellers here. So they're you know they're letting it come up and then they're they're uh absorbing that supply and bringing it back down.

But you can not you'll notice here what's important is the higher lows. You have higher lows everywhere now to the left. And that uh you know the the the lows are higher. They're not coming back to the anchored VWAP.

Okay? They're they're consolidating here. This could form a wedge. It could form a a pennant, a flag eventually. We don't know.

但我们确实知道的是,这里已经出现了性质上的转变,在我看来,我们正处在未来几天至少向174技术性突破的边缘。这是我的看法。

But what we do know is that um there's been a a change of character here and we're on the brink in my opinion of a technical breakout to at least 174 in the next few days. That's my opinion.

他在谈SpaceX。我为亲友持有相当一部分。JR说得对。从技术上看这只股票没问题,但显然问题只在于内部人的上方供给。

He's talking about SpaceX. I own quite a bit for friends and family. JR is right. Technically the stock is fine but clearly the issue is just the insider overhead.

那么JR,技术面对你来说是否压过了对内部人抛售的担忧,因为是不是就是这种情况:图表这么说,那就把其他一切抛在脑后?

Now Jr. do the do the technicals for you override the concerns about the insider selling because is it just a situation where it's like the chart says this so just forget everything else.

听着,我主要是个技术交易者,但如果有人告诉我,你知道,如果你打开那个柜子,里面会有个僵尸,你懂我的意思吗?那是我会记在心里的基本面信息。

Look, I'm I'm primarily a technical trader, but if somebody tells me, you know, if you open that closet, there's going to be a zombie in there, you know what I mean? Like, that's some fundamental information that I'm going to uh that I'm going to keep in mind.

现在,SpaceX一直在发生的情况是,市场正在处理的基本面信息与价格走势并不匹配。引用一位价格行为的先驱的话,价格即真相。归根结底,图表即真相。

Now, what's been happening with with SpaceX, okay, is the the fundamental information the market is processing does not match the price action. And um to quote my uh to quote one of the uh pioneers of price action, price is truth. The chart is truth in the end.

如果有人告诉你,听着,我们只解锁了流通盘的多少,7%吧。有一场抛售的雪崩即将到来,而你在一个更高的枢轴低点上持有,成交量是正delta。这意味着你买入多于卖出,你正在为突破打底。

归根结底图表是对的,但我认为基本面信息很重要,只要它能引导我了解其他交易者可能在想什么、他们可能如何行动,以及叙事可能如何展开。

I if you're told, listen, uh we're only we've we've only unlocked what is it 7% of the float. There's an avalanche of selling coming and uh you're high you're holding a higher pivot low on a positive delta in terms of volume.

It means you're you're buying more than you're selling and you're basing for a breakout. The chart is right ultimately, but uh you know I I I think fundamental information is important in as far as it can guide me in terms of what other traders may be thinking, what how they may be behaving and what how the narrative may may unfold.

所以我认为,就这一点而言,关注基本面数据很重要。但显然在这里,你知道,我在160做空了SPCX,在低点回补了一大批,显然那个交易想法已经不再奏效了。

So I think paying attention to fundamental data is important in as far as that is concerned. But like clearly here, you know, I shorted I shorted SPCX at 160, covered a bunch at the lows and like clearly that trade idea is no longer working.

所以你必须足够谦逊地说,好吧,图表现在在告诉你别的东西,老兄。你要么错了,要么你曾经对了一段时间,但现在你不再对了。你必须调整。归根结底,对我来说决策的最后堡垒始终是图表。

So you have to be humble enough to say like, okay, the chart's telling you something else now, dude. You know, you got you're wrong or you were right for a while, but now you're no longer right.

And you have to uh just adjust. And ultimately like the last bastion of decision-m for me is always the the chart, you know.

观察点

价格能否站稳155上方
收于155上方
很快市场数据
确认突破逻辑;若无法守住,则意味着继续盘整或下行

这个频道对 $SPCX 的历次判断

T3 Live 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-22看涨本条
这些只是从IPO中整理出的成交量分布。你可以看到,成交量最高的节点在152.25附近,现在它正在充当支撑位。
2026-09-22看涨
SpaceX 现在看起来绝对漂亮,SanDisk 看起来也快要真正爆发了,今天已经涨了将近 7%,但让我们先从 SpaceX 说起,因为这显然是我们观众——我们的观众叫 dour,我不知道这说明散户交易者和投资者什么,但 T3 live 的观众目前最痴迷的头号股票毫无疑问就是 SpaceX。
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