TLT的反弹尝试面临失败风险，历史上看涨突破后往往引发新一轮抛售和收益率走高，短期宜保持谨慎。
逐段跳播
最后是TLT债券，我们知道它们的情况，对吧？当10年期债券收益率达到5%时，我们触及了新的历史低点，而现在我们正试图回升至该水平之上。因此，许多人认为5%可能代表一段时期的最高水平，这或许是真的，但我们将关注的是短期内会发生什么。
在我们看到这轮上涨的地方，似乎已经开始形成一个上行形态，但我们以前见过这种情况，不是吗？一路上，即便TLT继续录得更低的高点和低点，我们也看到看涨形态反复形成，而突破要么在这里根本不存在，要么在6月仅持续了几天，随后在8月持续了更短的时间。
这表明我们应当非常清楚这样一个事实：TLT有时会——或者说过去曾经会——在它开始反弹、看起来不错、看起来突破会强劲得多的时候，抛售又回来了，收益率又开始上升。
And finally, TLT bonds, we know what's going on with them, right? We hit a new historic low when the 10-year bond yield reached 5%, and we are now trying to get back above that.
Therefore, many believe that 5% may represent the highest level for a period, and that may be true, but what we will be watching is what happens in the short term. Where we have seen this rise, it seems that an upward pattern has begun to form, but we have seen this before, haven't we?
Along the way, even as TLT continued to record lower highs and lows, we saw a repetition of bullish patterns forming, where breakouts were either nonexistent here, lasting only a few days in June, and then for a shorter period in August.
This shows that we should be very aware of the fact that TLT sometimes does, or has done in the past, when it starts to bounce back, and looks good, when it looks like the breakout will be much stronger, then the selling comes back, and yields start to rise again.
这个频道对 $TLT 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。