TLT 目前处于历史支撑位；过去多次在此反弹暗示存在上行潜力，但当前缺乏反弹迹象则预示可能跌破。
逐段跳播
如果看TLT的技术面，TLT目前处于——其平均久期约为25年期债券的水平。如果看TLT的周线图，你会发现TLT正处于这个近乎辉煌的底部。
If you look at the technicals on TLT, TLT is sitting which which is an average duration about 25-year bond. If you look at the weekly chart of TLT, you'll find that TLT is at this nearly glorious bottom.
我们一直处在这个水平上，这只债券ETF一路暴跌。我们只是在2023年才在这一点位跌破，但我们在22年就处在这个水平，24年也处在这个水平。25年处在这个水平。25年又处在这个水平，现在又到了这里。
而每一次我们触及这个水平，除了2023年这里短暂的一段时间之外，我们都直接反弹回去，这表明现在可能有什么东西正在破裂。
We've been at this level on this bond ETF which has been plummeting. We only broke down right over here in 2023, but we've been at this level in 22, been at this level in 24. Been at this level in 25.
Been at this level in 25 again, and here we are again. And every single time we have hit this level, with the exception of right here for a brief period in 2023, we have bounced right back up, which suggests something might be breaking right now.
这个频道对 $TLT 的历次判断
Meet Kevin 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。