Valero 近期的下跌因前期趋势强劲且处于技术支撑位，构成短线反弹的买入机会。
逐段跳播
但就 Valero Energy 的股票而言，我们有多年交易数据可供观察。我们看到油价下跌，因此 Valero 的股价在今日交易中也小幅下跌，跌幅约为 2%。但你现在如何看待 Valero，Charles？
But as far as Valero Energy stock is concerned , we have many years of trading to look at. We are seeing a drop in oil prices, and consequently, Valero's stock also fell slightly during today's session, by approximately 2%. But how do you view Valero now, Charles?
说实话，趋势非常出色，所以股价的任何回调都很引人注目，而这正是我在寻找的：一个快速反弹的机会。我认为这里的入场点在一个关键技术水平上是合适的，我会把它视为一个快速进出的机会。
Honestly, the trend was amazing, so any pullback in the stock price was remarkable, and that's exactly what I'm looking for: an opportunity for a quick recovery. I believe the entry point here is appropriate at a key technical level, and I would consider it a quick entry and exit opportunity .
原油价格确实下跌了，这有两个原因：第一，鉴于胡塞武装袭击了那条几乎是他们霍尔木兹海峡以外唯一出口的管道，沙特阿拉伯似乎准备恢复运营。第二，如你所知，市场上有传言称，如果美国退让，伊朗可能愿意做出一些让步以开放霍尔木兹海峡。
就我个人而言，我并不相信这些传言，而这正是我偏好“从低到高博取”策略的原因。因此，我将关注 10 月 2 日到期、执行价为 395 的看涨期权（calls），成本在 850 或更低。
止损水平应略高于 40% 的止损水平。股价有可能在 393 附近止步，这一水平覆盖了一个小的价格缺口。但如果它上涨，我们可能看到快速跳升至 415 或 420 附近，而如果股价回到或接近那些纪录水平，这很容易带来超过 100% 的回报。
因此，我偏好“从低到高博取”策略。我只是想利用一次快速反弹。
Crude oil prices have certainly fallen, and this is due to two reasons: First, Saudi Arabia appears ready to resume its operations, in light of the Houthi attack on the pipeline that was almost their only outlet outside the Strait of Hormuz.
Secondly, as you know, there are rumors in the market that Iran may be willing to make some concessions to open the Strait of Hormuz if the United States backs down. Personally, I am not convinced by these rumors, and that is precisely why I prefer the " exploitation from low to high" strategy.
Therefore, I will be monitoring the buy options (calls) on October 2nd with an execution price of 395 at 850 or lower. The stop-loss level should be slightly higher than the 40% stop-loss level.
There is a possibility that the stock will stop at around 393, a level that covers a small price gap. But if it rises, we could see a rapid jump to around 415 or 420, and that could easily yield a return of more than 100% if the stock returns to or near those record levels .
Therefore, I prefer the " exploitation from low to high" strategy. I'm just trying to take advantage of a quick bounce.
好的，Rick。好，我们来看一下技术分析。正如 Charles 刚才指出的，你看 Valero 的图表时显然会注意到这个趋势。但我们在回调中有一个潜在的买入机会。你在技术分析中注意到了什么？
Okay, Rick. Okay, let's take a look at the technical analysis. As Charles just pointed out, it's clear you notice the trend when you look at the Valero chart. But we have a potential buying opportunity on the dip. What do you notice in technical analysis?
在快速看过这张图之后，我们现在可以认真地讨论它了。上升楔形形态，即两条边界线收敛的形态，看起来在这一点已经被跌破。通常，这被视为下行趋势的信号。我始终非常谨慎地说这一点，因为趋势随时可能改变。
价格并不一定会下跌。在这种情况下，看起来我们正在把价格压向趋势线下方。我们尚未能回补绿线附近373处的缺口。我们已经触及最高价位419.04。因此，我们也看到在这些水平下方、接近351处反复出现一个天花板。
另一个旧高点也突出地出现在320附近。这些水平目前还有些远，但我只是指出我所看到的重要水平位。现在，我们已经跌破深蓝色的5日指数移动平均线，它与趋势线重合。因此，向下突破可能比最初看起来更为明显。
蓝绿色的21日指数移动平均线位于378，看起来是今天到目前为止我们的一个枢轴点。在此之后我们录得当日部分最低点，但我们仍高于这一水平。因此，随着封锁临近，这成为另一个值得关注的重要水平。
关于相对强弱指数（RSI），我们注意到它已跌破趋势线，并跌破代表超买区的70关口。因此，动能开始有所减弱。我们仍高于50中轴线，但此时已出现小幅下滑。关于成交量，我们有一些明确的点位需要考虑。
其中之一在这里，从298到311。另一个在这里，从341到353。还有我们现在所处的点位，也许是其中最小的，但在图上仍然突出，从380到392。因此，如果我们略微跌破380，那将为回测其中一些旧低点打开道路。
还要注意，我们最近看到成交量显著增加，在这波上涨过程中出现了相对较大的成交量。同样值得注意的是，在这些高成交活跃水平上存在买家。
After this quick look at the diagram, we can now discuss it seriously. The rising wedge pattern, where the two boundary lines converge, appears to have been broken at this point.
Typically, this is considered an indicator of a downward trend. I always say this with extreme caution, because the trend could change at any moment. It is not certain that the price will decrease.
In this case, it appears that we are pushing the price down the trend line. We have not yet been able to close the gap near 373 at the Green Line. We have reached the highest price level, 419.04.
So, we also saw a recurring ceiling here just below these levels near 351. Another old high also stands out near 320. These levels are somewhat far off at this point, but I am only pointing out the important horizontal levels as I see them.
Now, we have fallen below the five-day exponential moving average in dark blue , which coincides with the trend line. Therefore, the downward breakout may be more obvious than it initially appeared.
The 21-day exponential moving average in blue-green at 378 appears to have been a pivot point for us so far today. We recorded some of our lowest points of the day after this point, but we are still above this level.
Therefore, this stands out as another important level to monitor as the lockdown approaches. Regarding the Relative Strength Index ( RSI), we note that we have fallen below the trend line and below the 70 threshold, which represents the overbought zone.
So, the momentum began to wane somewhat . We are still above the 50 midline, but it has seen a slight dip at this point. Regarding trading volume, we have some clear points to consider.
One of them is here, from 298 to 311. Another is here, from 341 to 353. And also the point where we are now, perhaps the smallest, but still prominent on the chart, from 380 to 392.
So, if we go a little below 380, that will open the way for a retest of some of these old lows. Note also that we have seen a significant increase in trading volume recently, a relatively large trading volume during this upward wave.
It is also worth noting that there are buyers at these high levels of trading activity.
好。现在，正如Charles所指出的，随着油价跌至每桶约91美元，Valero的股价下跌了2%。看起来沙特管道可能比最初预期更早恢复运行。
Good. Now, Valero's stock is down 2%, as we see oil prices fall to around $91 a barrel, Charles noted. It appears that the Saudi pipeline may be back in operation sooner than initially expected.
这个频道对 $VLO 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。